JotCast | Kiley McDaniel Chat

Kiley McDaniel Chat - 6/19/19

Prev Page View Full Chat Next Page

Jasson Dominguez

12:52

Would I be ready to play in the states immediately after signing?

Kiley McDaniel

12:53

i mean you should be in the GCL right now but that won't happen. given the talent, i think the expectation is to get to the GCL and/or Pulaski next year, Charleston in 2021, then 2022 he could really move if it happens how many are exepcting

12:55

the hype for Dominguez is on par with Maitan, maybe higher and the next guy that was at this level as an amateur may have been Sano? Wander Franco was also right there. Everyone was worried about Vlad Jr's body so he was a notch below until his debut, then it was clear his body didn't really matter.

12:56

Maitan and Sano and Vlad Jr. all had concerns the body would blow up and they all basically have. Franco was maybe too small/erratic/not a SS but that clearly doesn't affect things much. I'm cautious to overhype, but that's the horse race amongst the all-time J2 guys at the same stage

12:57

Even guys like Eloy and Gleyber weren't 30 out of 30 teams agree they are the tops on signing day, but consensus was they were. Devers was another good consensus bat type that everyone was sold on

Alan

12:58

Who is the better long term catcher? Contreras or Langeliers?

Kiley McDaniel

12:58

Both definitely catchers, Langeliers is a little more advanced but Contreras has the offensive upside/performance/age edge. I also think his frame will age a bit better, no hamate injury, just a lot of little edges that add up.

Xolo

1:00

What is keeping Campusano from making a jump up THE BOARD?

Kiley McDaniel

1:00

he has an up arrow next to his name, is somewhere around 200th overall, give or take https://www.fangraphs.com/prospects/the-board/2019-in-season-prospect-...

Beef Lastname

1:00

Why did Brayan Rocchio jump so far on THE BOARD (110 to 82 I think) before even debuting in A- this year?

Kiley McDaniel

1:00

the reports/Eric's eyes from extended have been very positive

1:01

Wander Franco also was rising coming out of extended last year

Mason

1:02

Does the 55 fv Fastball on Juan Then take into account reports that he is topping out at 96 mph currently? Do you think the Mariners did well on their return for Edwin?

Kiley McDaniel

1:02

for reference, 92-94, touching 96 is an average MLB fastball for a RHP. maybe a touch above if you separate RHS and RHR

Alan

1:03

Trying to get more information on Mahki Backstrom. Looks like he was in the PG All American game last year, so I was surprised he wasn't on the board. What do you think about him?

Kiley McDaniel

1:04

6'5 with longer limbs and big power, didn't perform this spring, fringy D at 1B/LF

we've seen him, that's just not a profile you want to pay big for out of HS

Beef Lastname

1:05

Deivi Garcia. A 45+ FV jumping to 63 on THE BOARD. Just struck out 15 of 21 batters last night. Thoughts? What's the tippy top upside here for a guy listed at 5'9"?

Kiley McDaniel

1:06

I think him and STL 1st rounder Zach Thompson may be in that McCullers/Rich Hill area where they never give you 180-220 IP but can give you a really good 80-120 IP depending on the role. Those guys are 55 or 60 FV in production, can be even better if healthy for the playoffs when that type is even more valuable

so a fringe contender could value that player similarly to a 3-4 win player given the leveraged playoff upside

Adam

1:07

If the Braves get serious in their pursuit of relief help, which prospect between Christian Pache and Drew Waters are they more likely to part with?

Kiley McDaniel

1:07

Given how they've approached things so far, I don't think they trade a top 100-200 level guy until they think they are knocking on the door and are 1-2 players away from being 1st or 2nd best in the NL

1:09

I just checked and our projected standings have them 2nd in the NL, but 11 games behind the Dodgers

1:10

so I think next season may be the year ATL feels like moving the big chips in, after 2 years of evaluating the system and letting the best assets turn into what they're going to be

Clinkers

1:10

Any genuine concern on Luciano's hit tool yet? Seemed like there were whispers about it in extended spring

Kiley McDaniel

1:14

See this is what I mean. Dude is 17 with bonkers power, if you go through THE BOARD he's literally the only 17 year old position player on the planet that's a 50 FV...now he's played two pro games and this is your question?

1:15

1:16

here's video of him in extended/instructs hitting rockets.

Clinkers

1:17

Surprised to see Woods Richardson dominate (at least in terms of K/9, K/BB) the SAL at age 18? He trending up?

Kiley McDaniel

1:18

Not surprised, we stuffed him pretty good this offseason. Still think he's behind most of the 1st round arms from last year, but not by much

Matthew

1:18

What made you decide to move Kevin Alcantara to the top of the Yankees 45 fv tier

Kiley McDaniel

1:21

also standing out as a 16 year old in the DSL, and the type (6'4) that usually is a bit of a later bloomer. the tools are similar to Lewis Brinson and Brinson looked like an uncoordinated giraffe somewhat often until about 21. I saw Brinson at 18 and he was not a good hitter, it was all potential. Look at this from 16-year-old Alcantara last week: https://streamable.com/sm0tz

Every single Mets fan

1:21

What would you put the odds of Allan signing at this point?

Kiley McDaniel

1:22

65%

Purple Mays Haze

1:22

Willi Castro has been given a Game Power of 20/45 but he's hit two HRs at 439 and 457 ft. Should that be boosted?

Kiley McDaniel

1:22

Game power is how many homers, raw power is how far

D Back fan

1:25

Hey Kiley, thanks for doing the chat. You mentioned the d backs targeting vertical arm slot pitchers in the draft. Is a better strategy to target low arm slot guys and move them to a vertical arm slot to get more spin and break? Did the d backs miss an arbitrage opportunity by targeting vertical guys?

Kiley McDaniel

1:26

lol no. good luck changing a bunch of arm slots or arm actions. i can't even think of one success story where there was a notable change made

1:27

there's plenty of little ones, like Verlander with Houston going a little higher or Kyle Wright with Vandy going a little lower, some guys will make their hand break a little earlier, etc. but big changes like short arm action becomes medium length one may have literally never worked?

and your premise is flawed that somehow moving a low slot guy to vertical, if even possible, would somehow be better with the new slot than guys that are used to it?

Connecting…

Your current subscriptions

None

E-mail Address	Chat Owner	Status	Remove

Enter your email address to be notified when Kiley McDaniel hosts a chat