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Kiley McDaniel Chat - 8/15/18
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tb.25
12:06
12:05?! You're turning into those radio shows that start 5 minutes late to get listeners tuning in at the top of the hour to listen to commercials
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:06
You've figured us out
12:07
Scout is wandering around but I am here to chat with you people. Lets see what you've got for me today
D Money
12:08
Rank these guys - Madrigal, India, Kelenic & Swaggerty
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:08
Gotta have one of these every week. All of our rankings are sortable and available for your perusal here: https://www.fangraphs.com/scoutboard.aspx
Keefths
12:09
What do you make of what Nolan Gorman has done thus far?
Is the boy legit ?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:09
Already had him comfortable top 10 in the draft class before he slipped on draft day, still is
AspiringScout
12:09
Thoughts on Jerrion Ealy? Looks a little more raw than Jordyn Adams was at this point, but could he follow a similar path and get enough $ to pass on Ole Miss?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:10
One of the most athletic players in the 2019 prep class. Still not a clear consensus around him, in part due to the funky swing mechanics I've mentioned before. Somewhere in the compensation thru 3rd round area, potential to go better than that.
Jim Leyland Palmer
12:10
How shocked are you by the PTBNL in the Archer deal? Seems crazy to throw last years 1st rounder on top of that package
sean
12:11
does it seem the pirates   really overpaid for archer
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:12
Seemed reasonably fair as a 2-for-1 with once team cashing in a valuable player and another moving guys that weren't impact guys right now and still had some prospect sheen, but I leaned toward TB's end of that deal, since I don't think Archer will be much better than he is now. Throwing in Baz does make it more clear that TB did well here. Still could've done better a year or two ago...like you wouldn't believe how much better...but they did very well with what they had to work with right now.
Jo-Nathan
12:13
Hey Kiley, aside from Puason who are some 2019 international guys to watch out for?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:15
There's a couple other clear million dollar types, but no one particularly close to Puason at this point, though we haven't diven/dived/doven/doved into it a ton yet. Bayron Lora is a likely left fielder with huge present raw power and some idea how to hit from the DR.
Nihilist Duda
12:15
What’s the fv on Mets SS Shervyn Newton? Seems to rake but I haven’t found much on him? Also, on a scale of 1-LOLMets how dumb is it to keep Alonso in AAA for the rest of the year with no Sept callup?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:17
It would be pretty dumb to keep Alonso down this year to get that extra year six years from now when he's a quick-aging R/R first baseman that might be a DH anyway and you'd benefit from seeing what he can do in the big leagues when you're making the team this offseason. Normally the silly service time stuff makes logical sense for the club, even if it's not a universal good, but there isn't much to gain for the Mets here. Alonso won't be a 5 win player in 6 years where this could be worth it.
Baloo
12:17
Are you optimistic about the Tigers' org future, given the apparent depth of the farm system, or do you think it's too lacking in top-end talent still?  Do you see any of their current crop as potential future 60+ FVs?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:18
12:20
And the Tigers do have a surprising amount of depth, but I would agree there aren't a lot of high ceiling, impact types. But when you have a big league team full of useful 0-3 service time guys that are everyday quality...that's a step forward. TB is basically there, so they can complain about impact since MLB-ready depth isn't an issue (but TB has some impact on the horizon too).
Prouster
12:20
Royce Lewis is hitting well at the high-A level—wOBA .421, wRC+ 165. He just turned 19 do you think there’s a chance he could debut for the Twins sometime next year?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:22
He's really good, saw him a few days ago. He's the type of talent where that is on the table, but comes down to how the org wants to handle it and MIN seems on the conservative side.
Mike
12:22
Queue up 100 Braves related questions smh
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:22
Man, you aren't kidding it's like half the queue and it isn't all Acuna either
Largest Adult Son
12:23
Brock Burke of the Montgomery Biscuits is off to a quick start at AA.  Is there anything special about him?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:23
Big lefty into the high 90's, the rest comes and goes
All Cats Are Beautiful
12:23
Is there any area that teams could use money to gain an advantage over their rivals other than major league payroll?  If a team were to have a scout for every minor league team every game, would they gain an advantage?  If a team were to have 20 coaches in every affiliate, would that help?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:24
I've been stumping for a bunch of DSL teams. I talked to an exec with a club that had multiple additional minor league teams and he said they ran into a problem where non top prospects would perform well and have nowhere to go, getting sent back to the same place the next year. We agreed it made some sense to have, for example, 3 DSL teams, 2 complex league teams, 2 short season teams and 2 Low-A teams, then the normal 1 High-A/Double-A/Triple-A
12:26
That way there's more of an on-ramp for the 3 additional short season teams to feed to the upper levels. That would also be a lot harder since you'd have to either make an expansion team in Low-A  with a stadium and commit to like 10-15 years, have an uneven number of teams, etc. So, baby steps is probably the answer here
And there is diminishing returns with more scouts/coaches. Much better to have the right scouts/coaches.
John
12:26
Gimenez looks good in AA so far...Is he legit or will his lack of physical projection limit him?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:27
He's legit, by almost any definition of the word. He is limited by his physicality, but Gimenez may be a 60 bat and 55-60 glove, so that's still a 2-3 win player if there's little power.
That's Andres Gimenez, SS with the Mets
Bo
12:27
Current contracts included, would you rather have Acuna or Trout?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
Trout was 4 and Acuna 17 about a month ago. Acuna has probably moved up since then, but not to 4.
Scott
12:28
Let's say a guy literally had to crawl to first. Would you then give him a speed grade under 20? Could he be given a 5?  That would clearly be under 3 standard deviation a from the mean
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:29
We joke about "this guy is a 10 runner" but 20 is the bottom of the scale
All Cats Are Beautiful
12:29
How do some teams like the Yankees end up with a disproportionately high number of the top international prospects?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:29
In the current climate, deals are done for most top players 12-24 months ahead of time. So, good scouting and some good fortune can lead to unusually good returns right after J2.
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