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Kiley McDaniel Chat - 8/29/18
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Kyle
12:42
Who is Eric Pardinho? Been tracking his statline (damn) but know nothing else about him
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:43
Oh he's not a short season mystery man, he's the best amateur pitcher out of Brazil since Luiz Gohara. https://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/top-22-prospects-toronto-blue-jays/ and https://www.fangraphs.com/scoutboard.aspx?draft=&type=&pos=&team=tor for more
Peanuts Wilson
12:44
Would you rather have the top 20 prospects in your system or the next 80?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:44
top 20 by a lot. Probably even 10 over next 90
Josh
12:44
What were your impressions after seeing Cease?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:46
For me, less of a chance to start than Manning. Fastball has hop and sneaky velo given his delivery tempo and he holds it well, has trouble throwing the breaker for strikes consistently and it's best as a chase pitch. CH is really inconsistent. much more control than command, which will cause problems at higher levels. Needs more consistency with his finish and he's a smaller guy with a TJ in the rear view. Seems ideally suited to a Rays 2nd pitcher role where he can go two times through the order and not hold back. Don't think it's a 180 IP type guy.
Pirates
12:48
Should we feel shame about the Chris Archer deal?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:48
I'm more confused by the big picture strategy/timing
12:50
a 0.4% chance to make the playoffs this year and they're cashing in chips that they were collecting just this offseason for Cole/McCutchen...and the types of chips they'd never discuss for almost a decade. Why now?
54
12:50
Kiley if a plague suddenly destroyed the world's coffee crop would any industry suffer more than journalism? (Not including the coffee industry and all industries directly coffee related)
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:50
Weird quirk: I don't drink coffee
Jason
12:50
What are your thoughts on Waters ?  Can he be a true 5 tool talent ?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:51
More 55 runner for me and fringy in CF, think he moves to RF, but the arm is already 60 and the raw power probably will be 60, so doesn't really change the projection much. And Inciarte/Acuna/Pache were always going to be better defenders.
12:52
And this was known to be a very possible outcome when he was an amateur. He hasn't really filled out physically yet
Matt
12:52
Disappointed in the lack of a call up for Alonso?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:55
Mentioned it on twitter, but yes. Alonso is a husky R/R 1B that's gonna be 24 this winter. This is exactly the type of player where that 7th year of control is almost worthless. What 31 year old DH has a robust market right now? Big step forward this year in terms of prospect standing and I'd be way more interested in knowing what I have for next year with him and Dom Smith than playing Austin Jackson and Jay Bruce. I assume ownership has something to do with these inexplicable decisions given the limp defenses I've heard so far.
J
12:55
Was William Contreras behind the dish when you saw him? What's his outlook behind the plate, the kid can hit
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:56
Average to above defender, 60 arm, has changed his swing up and it seems to work for him. Think the power will come later.
John
12:56
Is there anyway to scout game calling for catchers at the MLB level, let alone the MiLB level?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:57
Similar to command, you have to know intent and also who made the decision, which seems kinda impossible to do on a large scale
LAD
12:57
If LeBron James asked you to mold him into a baseball player what position would you push him towards based on build, athleticism, arm length etc.  Thinking about total WAR and not quickest path.
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:57
RF, just follow the Stanton/Judge development playbook
Matt
12:58
Do reports of a player's makeup affect FV at all? Thinking in terms of whether makeup affects the likelihood of a particular player will take advantage of physical tools. Makeup is obviously highly subjective and wondering whether it's considered in FanGraphs rankings/evaluations at all.
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:59
Yes, sometimes heavily for some players. We try to stay away from "this guy has makeup concerns" in a vague sense and either tell you what we can tell you, or if it's not something that can be mentioned for whatever reason, factor it in quietly (that doesn't happen much).
Ozzie Ozzie Albies Free
1:00
Does Moniak look at all like a future big leaguer?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:00
big leaguer, sure. The tools haven't really progressed, have regressed for some. He's made progress at the plate and is hitting it harder, but it's more useful role player than standout right now.
Matt
1:00
tell me what you saw out of my boy Brusdar
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:01
Well, in official communication, his correct first name is BRUSDAR!
1:02
95-98 t99, plus slider, CH flashed 55 but was too hard and was below a lot of the time. Command could end up at 50, dont love the short stride but it's Alex Reyes level easy arm speed. I'd take him over Cease and him and Manning would be close.
Ryan
1:02
I cannot find the prospects board. I must be overlooking it somewhere. Do you have a link?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:03
under the LEADERS on the top nav bar
Gavin
1:03
Reports of Triston McKenzie throwing 94-97 recently - if that holds, how much does it impact his overall outlook?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:03
Just talked to a scout that saw him 92-94 t96, saw a mid rotation type. Stuff has progressed and he's still skinny as hell, so that's a nice development
Daniel
1:04
Why does the board have Bobby Witt with 60 grade speed when he ran a 6.4 at PG National?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:04
Those are generally juiced by 2-3 tenths across the board
Nick
1:05
Which minor leaguer has improved his stock most this season?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:05
Wander Franco went from about 120 to the top 20. Juan Soto from 50 to like 1 or 2 if he was still eligible.
Brian
1:06
What separates Vientos from Kelenic? Vientos is younger and has put up better numbers but is a 45 to Kelenic's 50. Is it all about future defensive value?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:07
And track record. Vientos hasn't really performed until this year. Kelenic has performed for three summers now. Kelenic also has makeup that's seen as a separator. He's basically never failed before.
JT
1:07
Why is it that some guys on the board have a 10-15 point jump from PV to FV on their CB or CH while other guys only have a 5 point jump. Like what is it you see that makes you say this guys CH is gonna make a huge jump while this guys isn’t?
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