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Kiley McDaniel Chat - 9/14/18
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AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:42
Petriello references this some (I think?) but yes, the smart teams had pretty advanced ERA estimators (using proprietary data) in like 2010
Probably some before that, too
But they got much more accurate when Trackman type data became available
Bobby Witt Jr.
12:43
Where would you set the over/under right now on where I go in the 2019 draft?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:43
12.5 overall
Tim
12:47
Jesse Sanchez is reporting that Victor Victor Mesa and Victor Mesa Jr. just cleared and are now eligible to sign. Care to venture a guess (or have inside info) on where they land?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:49
Orioles have ~$5M and Marlins have ~$4M, no other team is above $3M. So there's your favorites. From the scuttlebutt, sounds like Marlins were going to sign Cuban RHP Sandy Gaston for over $2M then...didn't. Could have been to save money for Victor Victor? Would expect the Orioles to offer the most, but there's no telling what they'll actually do, especially internationally.
andy
12:49
Has Grant Lavigne improved his stock at all this season? His power dropped off, but the walk rate and contact rate stayed pretty steady in a non-complex league. For a cold-weather hitter, that seems impressive, no?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:49
Impressive, but very hitter friendly conditions
Maybe a slight upgrade, but not too much
Fangraphs reader
12:49
How do we get more information about the sub 40FV on THE BOARD?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:49
Offseason lists will have more
Regular Guy
12:49
Thanks for the Chat....Georga Valera - does he have enough projection to be a middle of the order hitter?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:50
Yes
Doug
12:50
What % of international prospects would you say are actually signed years before they're even eligible to sign?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:51
The overwhelming majority are just the seven figure or very high six figure types. There are more than a few 2021s that are done...so maybe 10 or so get done 1.5-2 years in advance?
Captain Clarence Oveur
12:51
Can you give us your vector on Victor (Victor) Mesa?  I know throwing comps on guys is kind of lazy, but who does he remind us of?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:53
Draws a lot of Albert Almora comps. Line drive swing, plus run/throw/D, 50 raw, and some inconsistency in the contact against top pitching. Is seen as a low-end type everyday guy by most, helped by the instincts/feel, some say more 4th OF but that's a minority opinion.
BoJackDonkeyMan
12:53
Were you ever a member of Bone Thugs and Harmony?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:53
i miss my uncle charles ya'll
The Old Buccaneer
12:54
Will the Braves be moving the Fire Frogs to North Port as well or will they stay us Kissimmee?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:54
Don't know for sure, but can't imagine you build a fancy new stadium and leave it empty during the season
Brehmz
12:54
Why is the MLB so insistent on saying its trying to crack down on early signings for July 2 when everyone does it?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:55
They aren't trying to crack down on early signings. They've told teams directly that they don't care about that. Now, why it's still a rule that you can't agree to early deals is a little confusing, because MLB could just change their mind and start enforcing that rule, but they're at least clear at this point that they don't care about that. It's the package deals and identity/age/steroid/buscone fraud that they're focusing on
MDN
12:56
What are your thoughts on Ryan Mountcastle? Bat good enough to make up for defense question marks?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:57
Similar to Nick Castellanos in a number of ways. I think a little lesser of a player, but that general idea
Trev
12:59
Who is the first player in MLB history to be born in the year 2000 or later?  When do they debut?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:59
I'll go with Nolan Gorman, but there's a lot of solid candidates for this
1:00
2021
James
1:00
Eppler is having 2 MiLB OF work on pitching in instructs, not to make them true two way players, but just develop that aspect of the game. Will this be a trend? Having position players retain enough of their pitching abilities so that they can fill in during mop up games?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:00
Smart teams are all looking into this, TB started the trend. NYY is doing it with Dermis Garcia
Manuel
1:00
Vidal Brujan is the hot name right now - is the BB% sustainable?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:01
Another one on the rise. There's some Albies/Madrigal elements here.
Aaron
1:01
With hard throwers going down with injuries more often like Reyes, Greene, Kopech, etc, does this hurt Daniel Espino's chances of going top 5 or even top 10 in the 2019 draft?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:01
Don't think he was ever going to go that high
Hans
1:01
How would Tatis' value be affected by a move to third? It's a less valuable position but would his defense play up more over there?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:01
It wouldn't be a huge difference in value, but some
VivaLaVidal
1:01
Any chance Nate Lowe can be an above average starter in the bigs?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:02
Wouldn't count on it, because the bar is so high offensively for a possible platoon LHH 1B type
Pat
1:03
Which top 100 prospect has the most diversity in opinion around the league
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