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Kiley McDaniel Chat - 9/18/19
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AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:20
Hello from ATL! Scout is napping and I'm sipping a protein shake.
12:21
We've added some high-speed video to the @FG_Prospects twitter account, @fangraphs instagram and @fangraphs YouTube. Trevor Bauer, Ian Anderson, Justin Dunn, Nate Pearson the most recent.
12:22
We've continued to pull prospects off the lists that have graduated and Nate Lowe and Jonathan Loaisiga graduated today, so they'll get taken off shortly. Look at the farm rankings before they change again: https://www.fangraphs.com/prospects/the-board/2019-in-season-prospect-...
12:25
Okay, sorry for the delay, I just took both of them off the lists
12:27
to your questions:
BlueJayMatt
12:27
If you were in charge would you change the rules to allow draft pick trading in mlb? Maybe with some restrictions in place like the nba who don't allow consecutive first round picks to be traded?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:28
Yes and I think the owners/MLB have come around on this. They let comp picks be traded in the last CBA and are proposing and int'l draft where all picks can be traded. Their reasons for not doing it was to control the process and not let agents dictate picks, but now that the draft/J2 are hard-capped and that doesn't even happen in the NFL, they can't even come up with a reason to not do it. And it'll make the broadcast more fun/watched/profitable.
12:29
Yeah, maybe something like can't trade 3 straight 1st rounders but there's so many picks in MLB vs. just 2 rounds in the NBA and the NBA is dictated by a handful of stars that this wouldn't be as big of an issue in baseball
Jung Tom Morris
12:30
Josh Jung had just 1 home run in roughly a quarter of a season in the Sally League.  That seems like a big red flag, particularly given the questions about his power pre-draft.  How concerned should Rangers fans be?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:30
If you've been here you probably know the answer to this one: NO
12:31
also, if you read out Jung pre-draft report, he's notable for

1. he can hit
2. he has raw power
3. his current swing doesn't allow him to consistently pull/lift the ball, so the game power with wood vs. good pitching won't be there
that combined with a super long season/fatigue and this shouldn't be surprising at all
Serious question
12:33
Would Roki Sasaki be eligible for the MLB 2020 draft or considered an international FA? Will you guys be doing any articles on him?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:34
Japanese HS kid up to 100 mph, for those not aware. He's J2 eligible but Japanese HS kids don't sign with MLB teams, even though they technically could, for cultural reasons. Ohtani almost did but ultimately opted to go to NPB for a set amount of time, rather than letting the team dictate when he was posted.
Purple Mays Haze
12:34
Rotowire has minor league "hard hit%"  (not sure what their source or definition is). Will Fangraphs get this or equivalent soon?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:35
CTRL+F "Hard" on an MLB player page and you'll find it
Ric Okay Sic
12:35
Can Nick Solak hit enough for the Rangers to live with his glove at 3B?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:35
I think so
Aaron
12:35
Hey Kiley. Aaron Bummer here. I wanted to- ... oh sorry, I'll leave
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:35
a real gentleman
All Star by Smash Mouth
12:37
In a world where budget constraints and service time manipulation didn't exist, when would the Rays call up Franco?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:37
Probably in AA to end this year with a chance at a call up if there was a need, but some time between May and July of next year, playing between AA/AAA would make sense on merit
BarryBondsJuicedForOurSins
12:39
So, you and Eric come to a consensus when making the BOARD, correct? But at some point there has to be some disagreement, so I'm wondering which players are either higher or lower than you personally would put them at?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:39
The disagreement is usually one of us thinks a guy will perform well and move up and wants to be aggressive now, while the other wants to wait and see the performance...so in that case we go conservative with a quick move if the performance is as good as expected
Tony the Tiger
12:40
Will JJ Bleday be on track to be with the big league club by 2021 if all goes well health wise and development wise?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:40
Sure
AZL Guys
12:41
What roster has the most appeal? What's some dope on guys you're looking to see.
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:42
For an objective view on this, check out our AFL prospect board: https://www.fangraphs.com/prospects/the-board/2019-arizona-fall-league...
Guest
12:42
Is it meaningful / telling of approach that ARI doesn't have any prospects above a 50 FV?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:42
There's only 38 players above a 50 FV right now, so 0 is just 1 away from a league-wide average
sadman
12:43
Has prospect valuation peaked? Everyone seems to hold tight to their minor leaguers.
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:43
I can't imagine it getting higher
Randy
12:43
Have you seen enough from Yordan Alvarez for him to warrant top 50 trade value status next year despite probably being limited to DH?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:43
Yep, answered a few weeks ago that he's probably in the 30's or 40's now
Purple Mays Haze
12:43
If a minor leaguer hits a bomb in Batting Practice 450 ft, does his Raw automatically go up? How many HRs at that distance would he need to hit before it goes up? Also, are there distances which correlate to the grades (e.g. 400 ft is 50, 425 ft is a 55), etc.
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:43
Once you do it once it's possible, once you do it twice, it's repeatable
12:44
450 ft multiple times in one BP session, without a super juiced ball (Futures Game BP got one in 2018) or super strong winds blowing out would be 70 or 80 raw power
400 feet is generally a 60
12:45
hit a squeaker 400 feet that scrapes the CF wall on the way out and it's a 60, all things being equal
sadman
12:45
Kiley, I'm at work and I'm booooorrrreeedddd. Help me escape...
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