JotCast | Kiley McDaniel Spooky Chat

Kiley McDaniel Spooky Chat - 10/31/18

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Kiley McDaniel

12:40

I mean if we're using Glasnow+Meadows+Baz as a floor, Soroka+Riley seems pretty close to that range. Soroka's injury complicates things a bit more.

Jim Bob Cooter

12:40

There has been very little new info out of Baltimore on the GM search. Does any top candidate actually want that job?

Kiley McDaniel

12:41

Heard a lot of different things there, so not really sure what to believe. Best info I have is Kim Ng and Ben Cherington are leading names and the Angelos family has said they will be more hands off. I guess we'll see if that ends up being true.

Rod

12:41

Does the BvW hiring mean the Mets are more or less likely to sell off deGrom & Thor?

Kiley McDaniel

12:42

He said in the presser that they're in win-now and win-future mode (or something like that). I assume that means there won't be a tear down, which means those guys stay, at least for the winter.

Draftnik

12:42

How does scouting change in the next 5-10 years. Will hi-def video and rapsodo/scoutcast be everywhere (with technology continuing to come down in cost) so you can just sit back in Florida and watch 5 giant screens with data feeds 24/7?

Kiley McDaniel

12:43

I wondered when they announced Google Glass years ago if that meant a scouting director would sit at home and flip between games from the POV of his scouts or specially-placed cameras. We didn't get flying cars either.

Jay

12:45

What direction do you see the Diamondbacks taking this winter? They hinted at listening to offers for some guys, but that sounds like eyewash since all teams (in theory) do this every winter. If they try to hold it together than attempt to dump Greinke/Goldschmidt, etc., in season, their returns are going to be significantly less. Then it's definitely over for thie group.

Kiley McDaniel

12:46

I would guess cautiously try to stay competitive (avoid big contracts for guys 30+) for 2019 and if things aren't going well, then all the 2-3 years or less of control guys (and maybe Greinke) are on the block

Aaron

12:46

FA predictions on Monday, but FA period starts Nov 3. You'll miss out on some predictions.

Kiley McDaniel

12:47

We'll have the projections locked in by then, so you'll have to take our word when we tell you. Also don't think a bunch of huge deals will be signed in the first few days. Look at how long it took for anything to happen last winter

Jacob Wohl

12:47

Do you think certain scouting grades will transition to objectivity in the future? For example, what's holding teams back from eliminating the need for raw power grades and simply rating players based on average or max exit velo? I see the need for subjective game power, but if a guy hits a ball 116+ mph I struggle with how to give him sub 70 raw (*cough* Monte Harrison *cough*). Maybe I'm just misinterpreting what raw power is?

Kiley McDaniel

12:49

I've had this conversation with more than a few people before, and even the specific one about when a couple crazy high exit velos replacing a raw power grade. The game is moving in this direction but I think the path to more than 1-2 teams writing most of their reports off of Trackman type stuff alone is still a long way off

That would definitely make my job harder, tho. Or maybe if there's fewer scouts we'd all be better friends like the last scenes of a horror movie when almost everyone has died? This really is a spooky chat.

Brusdar Graterol

12:49

Has this last season changed my overall outlook at all?

Kiley McDaniel

12:50

Yep, has moved up some. Shown more sustained control/command than in the past, stuff held up, showed some durability, etc. I think he went from 45 to 50 and has shown enough upside to move more.

12:50

You’re the new Mets GM! Do you: trade DeGrom? Not trade DeGrom.

Kiley McDaniel

12:51

Well the issue here is when I'm named GM, I've already been told/come to an understanding about how this will be handled. I would lean toward blowing it up since I don't see a road to short-term contention with this core at this payroll level.

12:53

And it sounds like there needs to be some wider-ranging blowing up of processes and whatnot, so doing that in a rebuild environment at the MLB level would fit culturally. And I think Mets fans would kinda like to follow in the footsteps of Sixers fans if they knew at the end of the rainbow they would have a perennial contender. A big market rebuild is more palatable if there isn't a long history of winning. SF would be a much tougher sell for this course of action.

Matzabal

12:54

Is it wrong of me to think the shift makes the game less entertaining?

Kiley McDaniel

12:55

Kinda depends on what you think is interesting. I think the average FG reader likes the game getting more efficient/strategic and the average non FG reader probably thinks groundouts suck while ground ball singles (and O'Doyle) rule

But there's room to disagree with that characterization within those groups

Dub

12:56

I can only keep 3 of Luis Robert, Francisco Mejia, Wander Franco & Vlad Jr. Which one doesnt make the cut?

Kiley McDaniel

12:56

Robert or Mejia depending on whose time horizon/position fits your team less

James

12:56

Has any fading team trying to put it all together for "one last shot" ever actually won the World Series? Or come close?

Kiley McDaniel

12:59

There was a movie about a cop on his last case before retirement where he determined he was too old for this shit but I don't remember a baseball game in that one so I'll say no

Shameless Cardinals Homer

12:59

Do you ever see MLB going to a full-on NFL-style draft for both domestic and int'l? I mean trading up/back in rounds, etc.

Kiley McDaniel

1:00

Man I hope so, but seems like the owners aren't real interested in it

scottz

1:00

Re: the Twins hiring Baldelli - does a guy who was a prospect who never reached his peak have any more insight for current prospects than any other manager type, or is it all just dependent on how you communicate/relate?

Kiley McDaniel

1:01

I'd say being a scout and coach on a progressive MLB team are much more important context for Baldelli's future as a manager than his playing days.

Boba Chett

1:01

Any names to watch on the J2 scene for 2019? I.e. Miguel Tejada Jr?

Kiley McDaniel

1:01

Dominican SS Robert Puason still sounds like the best guy

Davoink Showerhandel

1:02

You're trapped in a zombie apocalypse and a zombie is running toward your group of survivors. You need someone in your group to bean the zombie with a fastball to the dome and put him down. You've only got one baseball and your group's survival depends on someone nailing this throw. Which prospect do you want in your group - you need a combination of velocity and accuracy to put down this zombie

Kiley McDaniel

1:03

Gotta factor in CLUTCHNESS and WILL TO KILL and that's why I want Bob Gibson because he'll kill the zombie, kill his zombie family, and then he'll really go to work on him

Mayor Quimby

1:03

What's a rough FV for Nico Hoerner?

Kiley McDaniel

1:04

In fact, we have an exact one for you here: https://www.fangraphs.com/prospects/the-board/?type=&pos=&team=chc

Marshall

1:05

A lot of teams passed on Trout in the draft. Did the Angels' experience with Salmon influence their willingness to make that pick?

Kiley McDaniel

1:05

I see what you did there

kevinthecomic

1:05

is this your last chat from florida or your last chat from anywhere?!?!?!?!?!?!

Kiley McDaniel

1:06

Next one will be in Georgia or Alabama

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