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Klawchat 1/10/19.
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Keith Law
1:39
Offer him a longer deal.
Jerry
1:39
Who do you see being the Astros 4th and 5th starters by June?  Assuming no injuries of course....
Keith Law
1:39
Josh James and Forrest Whitley.
Granfalloon
1:40
How much responsibility do you think you and other saber-oriented writers, who spent the last 20 years arguing online that free agent contracts were bloated and that teams were overpaying for veterans, bear for the current state of things where franchises are being cheap and not fairly compensating players?  In retrospect, do you think y'all shouldn't have been making those arguments?
Keith Law
1:40
That's dumb for a few reasons, not least among which is that more analytical writers have talked up players like Harper and Machado, hitting free agency at 26, and their markets are thin too.
Green Book
1:41
I am a piece of shit movie that is racially bananas. What is happening and how am I winning things when movies like Beale Street, Favourite, Blackkklansman, and Roma are out there. (Granted this was still a poor year IMO on the film front).
Keith Law
1:41
I think it was a tremendous year for movies. I have 40 films ranked over Green Book.
Chris D
1:41
What do you think about Nathaniel Lowe? Will he carve out an above average MLB career?
Keith Law
1:41
I don't think so.
Frank Thomas (not that one)
1:41
What would your solution be to fix what has become a major problem in MLB as far as owners spending on MLB talent? Salary cap? Higher floor? Less service time before a player hits FA? Limiting lengths and values of max contracts a la the NBA?
Keith Law
1:41
Speed up free agency, raise the minimum salary for 0-2 guys.
Mat
1:41
Who's your #1 Prospect for the June 2019 MLB Draft?
Keith Law
1:41
TBD. There isn't a clear one yet.
Ricky
1:42
Favorite meal to make during the week when you are tight on time?
Keith Law
1:42
You can spatchcock and roast an entire chicken in about 45 minutes. I also like to do simple chicken cutlets - sometimes just panko breading, sometimes adding sesame seeds and maybe some chopped sunflower seeds - as a main dish because they scale well and reheat nicely in the oven.
Mark
1:42
Would you ever consider writing a book about your experience as a GM?  I think it would be very fun to read about trades, player development, constructing a team, etc...
Keith Law
1:43
I'd love to, but I'd need to be a GM first.
Sean
1:43
I'm thinking now is the time to go all in if I'm running the brewers. So close last year, why not trade for Bumgarner and sign Keuchel?
Keith Law
1:43
Don't think they need two starters - they have Burnes and Woodruff, both good, both ready for the rotation.
Sean
1:43
Hi, Keith. Thank you for doing these and I hope all is well.  I wanted to get your opinion on what the Padres should do this offseason.  Stand pat?  Focus on 2020?  Go after an Ace?  I still think we're a year away and would hate to see us make another move like the Hosmer signing of a year ago.
Keith Law
1:43
Focus on 2020, try to dump one of Myers or Hosmer for a bad contract at another position.
Econ
1:43
Is there a space somewhere in between where "players deserve more" and "overpaying marginal players is a bad idea" that can exist?
Keith Law
1:44
The idea of overpaying free agents also oversimplifies the part about how the value of a marginal win varies by team. An extra win for the Nationals, who are in a decent-sized market and really should be a playoff team, is worth more than the same extra win is to the Padres, who are not contenders, or even the Reds, who need to pick up maybe ten or more wins to become contenders.
Everett L
1:44
Did Nico Hoerner change how you rate him based on his play in the AFL?
Keith Law
1:45
No. I like to watch and think about players there, but try not to make dramatic changes to evaluations off that look because it's not normal minor league play.
AGirlHasNoName
1:45
Ok, I have a crystal ball, if the Cubs cut Russell they win 91 games and miss the playoffs, if they keep him they win 94 and make the playoffs. As a fan, do you still want them to cut him? Is there a point where the cost isn't worth the benefit?
Keith Law
1:45
Then he's more than worth his salary - the playoff berth is worth a lot more than the marginal $6.5 million or so to keep him. It becomes a moral decision. I personally would not employ a player who did what he did, such as choking his wife (which, I've mentioned many times before, is a major precursor to homicide).
Sean
1:45
Giants looking at signing potentially trading Panik and signing LeMahieu, that would be a net positive IMO. Thoughts?
Keith Law
1:45
Depends on what you get for Panik.
TomBruno23
1:46
If Bumgarner is available, I think the Cardinals should be all over that.  Fits in well with their older player/short term contract roster and wouldn't/shouldn't cost too much in terms of a trade.  Dakota Hudson for a year of Bumgarner?
Keith Law
1:46
Hudson's probably a reliever so I'd do it.
Roma
1:46
I think I *might* be the easiest choice for Best Picture in the last 10 years. This is like Mike Trout competing against Mike Moustakas, Jean Segura, and a replacement level player who is also racist.
Keith Law
1:46
Yes, but I still think A Star is Born wins.
I'd vote for Roma among the likely nominees.
Canadian Jesus
1:46
I get your answer, but if plate discipline is a skill shouldn't fielding be classed as a skill as well? There is obviously way more to fielding than just range or loose hips.
Keith Law
1:46
You're being a little pedantic here, but also, much of fielding is determined by physical skill.
LukeM
1:47
Who is a comparable player to Nolan Gorman? Tons of power but strikeouts are a concern. Is a Joey Gallo or Khris Davis comparison fair?
Keith Law
1:47
I like him more than I ever liked Davis as a prospect. I think Gorman will hit a bit more than Gallo. Gallo has the most raw power I've ever seen on a prospect.
Adam
1:47
Is there any logic to the Padres signing Hosmer to that big deal last year and now going back to penny pinching mode? I get that Hosmer contract was a mistake but cant deter you from making any other big financial decisions.
Keith Law
1:47
Are they pinching pennies or just avoiding a second mistake?
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