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Klawchat 1/11/18
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Keith Law
1:00
My mind's diseased, even my vision is impaired ... it must be Klawchat.
RyderGreen
1:01
What's your take these days on Kyle Lewis? are you bullish on his ability to return and be something close to a GUY?
Keith Law
1:01
Bearish until we see him on the field for any consistent length of time. He was not 100% at all last summer or fall.
Roger
1:01
If you are the Astros, do you trade Tucker and Fisher and Moran for Gerrit Cole, or just wait for Whitley to make his way through the minors?
Keith Law
1:01
You could do both; given their depth, Tucker is the only one of those three I think they'd miss. But I wouldn't give up Whitley at all. He's in my top 10 overall prospects.
Devin
1:02
Do you think Duggar can handle Centerfield at AT&T, or should the Giants sign someone like Jarrod Dyson?
Keith Law
1:02
If they don't want to sign Lorenzo Cain because of the draft pick, which I understand, sort of, then I'd give Duggar a shot. He's a really good athlete with more than enough speed for center.
Marvin
1:02
If the Cubs sign Darvish would you still have Quintana as your #1 starter?
Keith Law
1:03
I think that's more of an academic debate, but yes, I probably would.
Forrest Boy
1:03
Hey Keith, are scouts properly adjusting guys like Forrest Whitley and Walker Buehler's rate stats? Their K and BB rates are tremendous, but they also never go through the order a 3rd time and average around 4 innings pitched, sometimes they have their pitch count capped. Knowing that, I'm sure their stuff plays up when they can go 100% on every pitch. What should be gathered from that when comparing those guys to Keller, McKenzie, and Kopech who are averaging around 5.5 IP or better while still maintaining good K/BB numbers?
Keith Law
1:05
Scouts aren't adjusting the stats; scouts are scouting. I wouldn't compare those two guys, either - Buehler's older, coming off TJ, while Whitley is just 19 and being held back strictly for precautionary reasons. I also do not agree that a pitcher can go 100% on every pitch when facing 18 batters, which Whitley did 8 times last year.
Paul (San Francisco)
1:05
Requesting your considered opinion on the respective ceilings and likelihood of reaching them for Giolito and L.Castillo.  Thank you!
Keith Law
1:06
Giolito has top of the rotation potential, although given the performance the last two years and the trouble he had throwing his curveball with the major league baseball last year, I'd probably say more of a #2 starter. I'm expecting some regression from Castillo this year given his total lack of a breaking ball.
Jim
1:07
When do you plan to start rolling out the Org. Rankings, Top 100 and Team Top 10's? Thanks!
Keith Law
1:07
January 22nd is the current start date for the package; it'll roll out over two weeks this year, rather than three.
TR
1:07
If you are the White Sox, what do you with A Garcia? What could they reasonably expect to get for him? Appears to be a likely regression candidate.
Keith Law
1:07
Yes, he is, given his BABIP, and I would certainly shop him ... but there are so many free agent corner guys this year that it may be the wrong time.
Josh
1:07
What were your favorite books you read in 2017?
Keith Law
1:10
In no particular order: The Fifth Season, The Erstwhile, Betaball, The Underground Railroad, Mister Monkey, Blackout/All Clear, The Last Days of Night, Not a Scientist, The Cooperstown Casebook, Everybody Lies, Lab Girl, Wise Children, Smoke, On Immunity, The Chimes, and Hi, Anxiety!
Jim
1:10
Is Gohara, Wright, Allard and Pache enough to get Yelich from the Marlins?
Keith Law
1:10
Heh. I'd say yeah, that's more than enough.
Lucas
1:10
Besides Greene, do the Reds have any intriguing pitchers in their farm system that should give me hope that they could win the division in 2020? Or do you think they ultimately have to trade/sign an ace? Thanks
Keith Law
1:11
I think they can still hope for someone like Robert Stephenson to take that leap, but you are correct that other than Greene, who is still a long way off, they have a bunch of depth starters but nobody likely to post a 5-WAR season or show up on Cy Young ballots. Mahle's their best upper-level pitching prospect and I think he has a very high probability of being at least an average starter, but almost no chance of being even a soft #1.
Chloe
1:11
Hi Keith. Big fan of your work. Do you think the A's have the necessary high end prospects to warrant the top-5 farm system ranking that some analysts have bestowed on them?
Keith Law
1:12
No. I can't imagine them in the top five.
Moe Mentum
1:12
Which phrase best describes Maikel Franco - "breakout candidate," "change of scenery guy," or "not as good at baseball as we thought"?
Keith Law
1:12
I'm not expecting a breakout, so one of the others. His pitch selection is why I was concerned about him as a prospect, and unfortunately, it hasn't improved.
Moe Mentum
1:12
Ferris Bueller's Day Off or Risky Business?
Keith Law
1:13
I don't think I've ever seen Risky Business, so FBDO by default.
Nelson
1:13
If you were blindfolded and plopped down in the stands of a minor league stadium and given no context, just watching the gameplay would you be able to determine the level?
Keith Law
1:13
I doubt it unless I could extrapolate from the players' apparent ages and sizes.
john wick
1:13
I've heard positive things about Logan Allen without much detail. What's his realistic ceiling?
Keith Law
1:13
Mid-rotation starter.
Joseph G
1:13
Keith, I've missed these chats, hope you had a wonderful holiday. Does Luis Urias have an 80 hit tool? I've heard some prospect evaluators at least entertaining that grade.
Keith Law
1:14
That's not accurate at all. Anyone tossing that around is more likely trying to get your attention.
Bruce
1:14
What are your thoughts on Braden Shipley? He struggled in a few brief call ups last season. Is he a future major league starter?
Keith Law
1:15
I would try him in relief in the short term to see if his velocity bounces back at all. His fastball has been down since maybe a year out of college, although his secondary stuff is still intact.
James
1:15
I've read a few professional prospect evaluators that have Fernando Tatis, Jr and Mackenzie Gore rated similar in their FV, with some placing Gore ahead Tatis, Jr. Is he a top 10 prospect for you? Or is the hype inflated at this point?
Keith Law
1:15
This is not the Bad Takes Klawchat. You want the room down the hall.
Dan
1:16
Are there any no-go zones in Pandemic: Rising Tide? Or is that just fake news?
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