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Klawchat 1/11/18
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Brett
1:42
Assuming a healthier 2018, where do you envision Juan Soto finishing the year?  AA?
Keith Law
1:42
High-A. Barely played in low-A last year.
Don
1:42
I think Andujar will be respectable overall if he is given a fair chance, your opinion?
Keith Law
1:42
I do. The rare unheralded Yankees prospect.
Frank
1:43
Hey Keith, what are your thoughts on Allard? I'm confused why the industry seems to like him so much. Isn't he just 88-91? What's the realistic upside with him?
Keith Law
1:43
Some pretty good big league pitchers are "just 88-91," and he has a knockout curveball.
Stanley
1:43
Rumors of a reboot of "The Office" are swirling, with many using the successful return of "Will & Grace" as inspiration. That show kept the same cast, whereas Michael Scott ain't walking through that door. Do you agree that bringing the show back with supporting players from the first run and other new cast members is likely a mistake?
Keith Law
1:43
If they're not reassembling the cast & the writers from a show's peak, then a reboot is likely to fail.
Mike
1:44
Do you prefer Darvish or Arrietta for the same money/term?
Keith Law
1:44
Darvish.
Patty O'Furniture
1:46
Thoughts on Johan Camargo?
Keith Law
1:46
Utility infielder. Doesn't have the bat to start.
Steve
1:46
Good afternoon Keith, I think I read somewhere you mentioned a family vacation to Aruba...What were your thoughts of the island?
Keith Law
1:47
Loved it. The fact that we could walk from our hotel into a little commercial area with shops, restaurants, and of course a Starbucks made it better and less costly (because we weren't captives of hotel food).
Mark
1:47
You've said Johan Santana comes up short for you. Santana's 2003-2010 peak of 1670 IP and 67 ERA- is pretty close to Koufax's 1961-66 peak of 1632 IP and 63 ERA-. Koufax did more outside that, but was ultimately only a league average pitcher in his first six years. Is that really the difference between going in and not?
Keith Law
1:48
Yes. And Koufax is a bit of a special case, too; he doesn't have a typical Hall career.
Jesus
1:48
Do people ever spam you with the same question in hopes that you'll answer it? What do you do with those people/questions?
Keith Law
1:48
Yes. I usually ignore it; that's not necessary for readers in this chat software and just makes my job harder.
Jake
1:49
Since you're giving out spoilers (i.e., Whitley), is Tatis a top 10 guy?
Keith Law
1:49
That wasn't a spoiler on Whitley - I've said it before - and I said in August Tatis was a top 10 prospect.
Paul
1:49
Is Ohtani eligible for your lists?
Keith Law
1:50
No. I exclude players with NPB and KBO experience; those are major leagues, regardless of MLB's interest in holding down their salaries. However, if I have an AL ROY vote this year, I would absolutely consider Ohtani, since he's eligible.
Mike
1:50
What's your opinion on how cold the off season has been? Are teams avoiding long-term deals to not be handicapped by the next free agent season? Should Bob Mueller investigate if there is collusion among the teams?
Keith Law
1:51
I feel like he has bigger fish to fry. An orange huffy, specifically.
Dr. Bob
1:51
Some love to rail against "tanking" in the style of what Houston and Chicago did. I think this is mislabeled. Neither organization tried to purposely lose a bunch of games to get a top pick. Rather they traded big contract guys who were not going to help the team win to get assets. Maybe they lost 105 games instead of 95 because of that strategy, but it was sound. They should be more concerned about what Miami is doing--unloading good players to make more money.
Keith Law
1:53
Agreed. Houston and the Cubs had a strategy to improve in the long term by avoiding that 70-80 win purgatory, trading players who wouldn't be there 4-5 years down the road for longer-term assets, then filling the gap with short-term signs and/or fringe guys from their own system to sort those players out and possibly flipping some of those guys for prospects too. Dallas Keuchel wasn't a top prospect, and the kind of pitcher he is now is not reflective of what he was in the minors, but because the Astros were bad, they gave him a shot in the major-league rotation. Maybe he doesn't get that chance if they're trying to win a few extra meaningless games in 2014.
Chris
1:54
I'm a little weirded out by all the Oprah and The Rock for President stuff. Don't we need to go back to someone who is actually, you know, qualified for the job?
Keith Law
1:54
Yes. And I was surprised how many people took my "Oprah/Portman 2020" joke seriously.
Dan
1:54
You were super high on Addison Russell when he was a prospect, why do you think he hasn't "broken" out yet?
Keith Law
1:55
Some is pitch selection, some is the nagging shoulder injury that bothered him most of 2017.
Dr. Bob
1:55
What hasn't Cain been signed yet. Surely there are more than a few teams who could use a guy who could potentially give you a few 5 WAR seasons, even if he is 31.
Keith Law
1:56
I think the draft pick is a big impediment; teams are more reluctant than ever to give up a top pick because it wrecks your bonus pool.
Harry
1:56
You mention Giolito's issues "with the major league baseball" is that specifically last year's juiced ball, or the MLB ball in general as compared to the minors?
Keith Law
1:56
The major league and minor league baseballs are different.
Alex
1:56
What is your approach for reading a cookbook like The Food Lab? Cover to cover, or reference page/topics as needed?
Keith Law
1:57
I look for recipes that interest me and try them. Cookbooks aren't written to be read cover to cover, and a book of that length and scope is going to include stuff that doesn't interest or apply to you.
Chris
1:57
Thoughts on the band Local Natives? I've never seen you mention one of their songs of albums.
Keith Law
1:57
Not a huge fan although "Happy Feet" made my top 100 a few years ago.
Brett
1:58
Is this as good as Taijuan Walker and Danny Salazar are going to be?  Or do you think either will improve?
Keith Law
1:58
Both have untapped potential, Salazar needs to get healthy, Walker may just forever be inconsistent.
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