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Klawchat 1/25/18
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Keith Law
2:05
No. Not enough glove or power.
JD
2:06
Reports say Manfred will impose (1) a firm 20-second pitch clock with a one-ball penalty and (2) only one mound visit per pitcher per inning *by anybody*, player or coach. Thoughts?
Keith Law
2:06
I oppose 1, I'm fine with 2.
Rick C
2:06
So you're saying we shouldn't pay much attention to your midseason rankings?
Keith Law
2:07
I'm saying you should not place equal weight on the two, or harp on the idea that a player's ranking changed dramatically between the two. I start every top 100 from scratch, not by writing down the midseason top 50 and moving guys around.
Martin
2:07
My wife is 12 weeks pregnant, any book recommendations on parenting etc would be highly appreciated!
Keith Law
2:07
Congratulations! Happiest Baby on the Block: http://amzn.to/2DISPbz
Brett
2:07
Does Yordan Alvarez's move to the OF hurt his prospect stock?
Keith Law
2:07
Don't see why it would hurt his stock, but I can't imagine he'll be OK out there either.
Adam
2:07
If you’re the Marlins, with that system, how seriously would you consider making “lottery ticket” trades with Yelich and Realmuto? I feel like getting 7-8 high risk/reward prospects for them has potential to be more rewarding than 2-3 guys in the Top 100 right now.
Keith Law
2:08
Absolutely. Go big. You may not get this chance again.
Chad
2:08
KLaw - Any chance you want to take pity on me re: the top few of your 2018 draft, like I asked on twitter? I dont want to step on content but i need to draaaaaaaaaaaaft lol.
Keith Law
2:08
I won't even think about this until February. I don't like answering questions when I haven't done the work to give thoughtful answers.
Joe
2:08
Did Blake Rutherford get any consideration?
Keith Law
2:09
No. He and Moniak were both far worse than they should have been, different reasons but same outcome.
Anthony
2:09
Was Willie Calhoun not considered due to the lack of defensive position?  Where do you see his upside and at what position?
Keith Law
2:09
Lack of defensive position is kind of a problem, yes. Not a 2b at all. Probably not a good LF. Not many 5'6" power hitters in today's game either.
JD
2:09
Have the Coppolella ban and the Braves' other punishments affected the upcoming J2 process?
Keith Law
2:09
No, they were in the penalty box anyway for going over their limits in 2016-17.
Richard
2:10
You missed my joke. I meant an additional list “the just missed the just missed the top 100”.
Keith Law
2:10
My apologies. Sometimes I read too fast.
Josh
2:10
Nine movies being nominated for best picture seems a bit much, no?
Keith Law
2:11
To me the extra 5 slots are justified by the boost lesser-known films get from such nominations. I'm pretty sure the nomination just got Darkest Hour another week at my local theater. People will go seek out movies that earned nominations, so if there's a good indie film that was worthy anyway, why not give it that last slot?
Steve
2:11
I could be misremembering weren't you against the O's stopping Arrieta from throwing across his body but it's now not a good approach for Harvey?
Keith Law
2:11
Pitcher mechanics are not one size fits all. Arrieta had success throwing across his body and never got hurt. Harvey started throwing across his body in pro ball and almost immediately blew out.
Matt
2:12
Hawaii isn't part of N America?
Keith Law
2:13
Um ... Hawai'i is in the middle of the Pacific Ocean, 2500 miles away from California. It's on the Pacific Plate, not the North American Plate. Are you new?
Chris
2:13
I'm sure this has been asked a bunch but why doesnt dot com run your lists 51-1, etc as titled? i think this came up last year too.
Keith Law
2:13
Not my decision.
Eric
2:13
Why should Hall of Fame voters care what teams use to judge players? Teams are trying to predict future performance, and Hall of Fame voters are trying to measure past performance.
Keith Law
2:13
Teams also measure past performance. They do it a lot better than dingbats who use W SV RBI AVG DERP.
Paul
2:13
Has your opinion on whether Royce Lewis can stay at shortstop changed or is it just the Twins who are optimistic about it?
Keith Law
2:14
Twins are optimistic. I try to reset judgments on players when they get into pro ball because they get help from new coaches and of course the entire game is different - wood bats, play every day, faster pace, etc.
Dr. Bob
2:14
If a pitcher's job is to get outs, then why are you so dismissive of WHIP? Too broad?
Keith Law
2:16
I explain more in Smart Baseball, but in short, pitchers don't really control hits on balls in play enough for WHIP to be meaningful, and WHIP itself is bad math (measured in batters on top, innings on the bottom). I don't look at BB/9, but at BB/PA -- really (BB-IBB)/(PA-IBB).
Sorry, for a pitcher PA in that denominator would be TBF, and you'd take out SH if it's included too.
Kevin
2:16
How many people asking questions in the queue throw fake names at you. Like, how did Chauncey Gardiner not make the top 100? That guy walks on water.
Keith Law
2:17
You reminded me of the fake Coachella poster going around that has band names created by a machine-learning program that took in hundreds of real band names as inputs. It was something else.
Mike
2:17
Where would you rank your player evaluation knowledge with someone like Theo or anyone else who is running a team?  Is there a high ceiling where some people are really much better than others or is it many ways a skill that doesn't allow one person to be much better than anyone else who knows what to look for?
Keith Law
2:17
I do not put my skills or knowledge up against those who do this for teams. They have more information, they need to base major decisions on their evaluations, and they aren't trying to entertain anybody.
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