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Klawchat 1/30/20
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dan
1:12
Do you see any common factors in prospects that in prior years you have projected highly who haven't succeeded or in prospects you've rated fairly low who do well?  Is there a type of player, position, age, organization or the like which is a factor on missing either high or low?
Keith Law
1:12
If I notice any sort of bias like that in my evaluations, I change my process. Otherwise I'll just keep making the same mistakes.
Nick
1:12
If/when O'neil Cruz moves off shortstop, can he make it work in center?
Keith Law
1:12
Right field is the floor. I'd try him at third first.
Gunther Centralperk
1:13
I asked the Kershaw/CH question (in a poorly-worded way) in last week's chat. He's been quoted as saying it's "tough" for him to throw one and he "doesn't have very big hands." You said there were no mechanical issues, so it's just a feel thing for him then? I'm trying to understand why a CH would/could be tough for him when he so quickly developed an excellent SL in 2010.
Keith Law
1:14
Maybe he has never found a grip that works? You do need to hold the ball in one of a few ways to make a changeup effective.
Mark
1:14
A report in the SD paper said the Pads / Sox have discussed either Lucchesi or Quantrill and either Neylor or Margot, plus Myers and a top prospect (but not in their top 5) for Betts. Assuming that's accurate, what prospect would consider including - Baez? Morejon?
Keith Law
1:14
I'd include either of those in a deal for Betts. I've heard from multiple teams that their internal defensive metrics rate Margot very highly in center.
Steve
1:14
What do you know about Luis Rojas? Right hire by the Mets?
Keith Law
1:15
Great hire. Lot of managing experience, loved by players, data savvy, works well with R&D folks. They accidentally got it right.
Brian B
1:15
Hi Keith.  Thanks for moving to a platform where this Canadian can read your work.  I'm curious whether Outs Above Average has changed your outlook on any players?  As a Blue Jays fan, I was unsurprised by the Vlad Jr. (last place) ranking, but pleasantly surprised by Bo (maybe can stay at short?) and Biggio (not your favourite, I know, but perhaps there is something there?)
Keith Law
1:15
I like it a lot for outfielders. For infielders it's incomplete, per comments from Mike Petriello, so I'm not using it.
Mark
1:15
Think Kris Bryant gets moved soon, now that his grievance has been decided?
Keith Law
1:16
The last I'd heard the Cubs hadn't discussed him much with anyone, so I would still guess no.
Ben
1:16
Any favorite places to eat in Nashville? I've never been but may have a few days there soon.
Keith Law
1:16
Tons. Tremendous food city. Search this site for nashville (search bar up top) and you'll find my posts.
Scott U
1:17
With the Astros hiring of Dusty Baker, how will that affect the development and 2020 playing time of the team's up and coming young players like Kyle Tucker, Forrest Whitley, Jose Urquidy et al?
Keith Law
1:18
I don't think it will. One, Baker was better at handling pitchers at each stop after the Cubs. Two, they're going to need those players you mentioned to play and do well to win, so I am not worried that he might choose not to play a player who's helpful - I'm not sure why he'd even do that at this point - because they don't have great alternatives available.
Jim
1:18
How screwed is our republic if the Republicans vote no on witnesses? Corruption floodgates open wide, right?
Keith Law
1:19
You have to hope enough voters see this for what it is - and the media reports it accurately - that something changes in November. Otherwise, yes, we're likely to see corruption expand to unprecedented levels.
Ian
1:19
Do people realize that saying that it is too soon to talk about Kobe's rape case in the context of his legacy is the same thing as people (conservatives?) saying it is too soon to talk about gun control after a school shooting?
Keith Law
1:20
They don't realize it. And now is exactly the time to talk about Kobe's history, including the rape accusation and public treatment (including by the media) of his accuser. There is no  such thing as a "former rapist."
Jason
1:21
Keith, are you troubled by the actions at the Washington Post in suspending their reporter for posting a link to an article (but now backtracking) and their reasons for suspending her especially with hundreds of reporters there supporting her and now with what has come to light about how in 2008, they were basically fawning over Kobe and divided the newsroom then?
Keith Law
1:21
Yes, and I contacted one of the editors involved in the decision to voice my support for Sonmez. They reversed the suspension, but it speaks to a poor process that catered to sentiment rather than reason.
Debra
1:22
Is George Valera a possible top 100 candidate or do we need another year of actual production at the plate before that happens?
Keith Law
1:22
Eventually, yes, he has that kind of upside.
Marcus
1:22
I have really hit it off with a person we hired for our company, but technically I am a superior on the chain of command. Others have remarked to me that they can tell this person likes me and I like this person for sure, but last thing I want is to make her feel uncomfortable if that is not the case. How do I go about things? Wait for her to say something to me or be honest about it?
Keith Law
1:22
I'd ask a lawyer - or HR - but boy does that sound like a terrible idea to me.
JJ
1:22
Soft class next year for the HOF.  How does this affect Curt Schilling's candidacy?  Are there really voters so wishy-washy, that they won't vote against Curt because of his racist tweets, but will change their minds if they have no one better to vote for?  That's just bizarre.
Keith Law
1:22
I think he gets in next year.
Justalittleoutside
1:22
Hi Keith - If the robo-ump idea prospers, will that benefit hitters like Aaron Judge who (anecdotally) seems to get a fair number of pitches outside the strike zone called on him?
Keith Law
1:23
Such a change won't affect all hitters and pitchers equally, but I'd like to see some data to support a claim that it will help/harm a specific player.
Dark Johnny
1:23
Does Tyler Anderson have a chance to start in SF?  Can he be a back end starter now that he's out of COL?
Keith Law
1:23
I would lean no.
Marani
1:23
Matt Harvey's still a FA.  What kind of contract would be reasonable for him?  I remember him as being the toast of NYC just a few years ago, but he's been pretty awful the last 3+ years, and I'm wondering if anyone would give him more than a Triple A contract at this point.
Keith Law
1:23
Triple-A with invitation to spring training. He has to show he can get someone out at this point. It's been too long.
Ryan
1:23
Have you noticed yourself getting more aggressive in ranking J2 signings earlier than you perhaps would have in the past?
Keith Law
1:23
No.
Matt
1:23
What would you guess is holding up a Betts to Dodgers trade at this point?
Keith Law
1:23
Probably the two sides not agreeing on the players involved. Just a guess.
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