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Klawchat 10/11/18
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Keith Law
1:14
No, unless they find the spurs damaged the UCL (I don't think they did).
Adam
1:14
If Manny Machado is the ceiling of Fernando Tatis Jr, is Trevor Story the realistic outcome?
Keith Law
1:14
I'd be floored if Tatis struck out with that frequency.
Nick
1:15
Who are some names I should I be excited to hear for the Mets GM search? Who are some names I should roll my eyes at that they’ll likely end up with?
Keith Law
1:15
The Mets need to hire someone who is comfortable with analytics. That can be someone of just about any age. It would not be, say, Ned Colletti. (Rinse and repeat for Baltimore.)
Jeff
1:15
Keith, thanks for your insight and wisdom.  Regarding the Dodgers, if money is not a factor, would you consider signing Machado and trying to shuffle Seager or Turner to make room in the infield?  What other priorities would you have in the offseason regardless of the playoff outcome?
Keith Law
1:16
I'll answer with a question: What is Seager capable of doing after TJ? Is his arm affected at all, so that shortstop is no longer feasible? That may determine the correct strategy more than anything about Machado per se
A big dumb idiot
1:16
How popular would this chat be if your dad was a plumber from Poughkeepsie?
Keith Law
1:16
Good question. My dad was actually an electrical engineer from the Bronx, which I don't know if it's better or worse.
Adam
1:16
Are HS corner only bats undervalued in the draft?
Keith Law
1:17
Not in my opinion. Their floor is essentially zero and their failure rate is pretty high. I would not include HS 3B in that group, though - third base is a skill position, much more than the other three corner spots, and a HS player who can play third should be grouped with second basemen.
Hernando
1:17
In three years what do you envision from the following: Jarred Kelenic, Amed Rosario, Andres Giminez, David Peterson?
Keith Law
1:18
Star, above-average regular to star, regular, mid-rotation starter. I hate the Mets, by the way.
Guest
1:18
If you were Brian Cashman, would you: a) sign Manny Machado and move Andujar to the outfield or b) sign Bryce Harper and live with Andujar's bad defence at 3rd?
Keith Law
1:19
If they want to sign Machado, Andujar isn't a factor. That's a four- to six-win upgrade at third. You sign Manny and figure the rest out later.
Asking4aFriend
1:19
Which prospects are you excited to see in the AFL?
Keith Law
1:22
All of them is a little facile .. but it's my favorite trip of the year. Nate Pearson is one. Luis Robert is another. Lucius Fox. Hudson Potts. Forrest Whitley, of course. Taylor Trammell. Nico Hoerner, Jahmai Jones as a 2b. Jazz Chisholm. Juan Pablo Martinez. And there's this big guy from the Jays who can rake...
Mike
1:22
Is there any reason to believe Gary Sanchez will ever become a league-average defensive catcher? It seems that his defensive struggles are getting worse: I've never seen a major league catcher react so poorly in trying to receivable "catchable" pitches.
Keith Law
1:23
He's looked bad, although I feel like he catches a lot of guys who throw really hard with a lot of spin on everything. We've seen a lot of catchers get better once in the majors, so I hate to rule it out, but I do feel a bit like he's regressing from where he was as a rookie or even in double-A when he finally seemed to have taken the defensive side of his game seriously.
Dr. Bob
1:23
Is the key for deciding starter/reliever the number of pitches he can command? 1 or 2 pitches = reliever? 3 or more pitches = starter?
Keith Law
1:24
Very few ML starters have only 2 average or better pitches. If you don't have a change or split, you're going to have a real platoon issue. If you don't have a breaking ball, you may have a lot of trouble with same-side hitters.
AES
1:24
Would you start Price, or move him into a fireman's role?  10 starts is tiny, but there are other viable options.  .  .
Keith Law
1:24
I don't think his postseason data tell us anything, but I do worry that he's not fully healthy.
Ed
1:25
If you're the Cubs, do you pick up Hamels' option for next year?
Keith Law
1:25
Absolutely - or, before that, I offer him something like 2/$35 million instead.
All Mets Fans
1:25
Do you think the Wilpons are financially capable of giving out a contract to Machado or Harper?
Keith Law
1:25
Whether or not they're capable, they ain't willing.
JL
1:25
Hi Keith, thanks for the chats. Apologies if this is too personal or you've covered this before. But my wife and I have an 11 month old and due to how difficult the pregnancy was on her with some health issues, he will likely be our only child and we are ok with this. Is there any unique advice you can share about having only one child? We try to focus on all of the positives of it! Thanks!
Keith Law
1:26
All the stuff we learned or heard about raising an only child turned out to be not that useful. I don't think we ever did anything different because she was our only one. It was easier for us that she never wanted a sibling, too.
Steve
1:27
What did you see as the biggest change in Michael King? What would his upside be given 2018 success?
Keith Law
1:27
Addressed a few weeks ago in a column. Stat line is very misleading.
Taylor
1:27
Alek Thomas seems like a potential plus hit, plus defense, average power center fielder. What do you think of his potential? Is he a future star? Thank you!
Keith Law
1:27
Potential future star, yes. Thought he had first-round ability in the draft but had the downside of playing in the cold against weak competition.
Dana
1:28
If the Yanks sign Machado, do you think Andujar has the ability to become an OK first baseman?
Keith Law
1:28
Probably, if they're willing to move on from Bird at that spot. But see above - the presence of Andujar shouldn't affect their choice on Machado.
Taylor
1:28
Lots of rumors in the second half of Severino tipping his pitches...again now after his most recent start. As a scout, how difficult is it to notice when someone is tipping their pitches and do you think this actually happens often or is just a convenient excuse?
Keith Law
1:28
Occasionally true, usually an excuse. Here I think it's an excuse. His command has been noticeably off in the second half.
addoeh
1:28
I was reading this book called Smart Baseball (the author's name eludes me right now) and there were sections about high-spin fastballs and average spin rate fastballs.  But what about the effect of below average spin rate fastballs?  Is the effect of spin rate linear based on the spin rate or is it more of a curve?
Keith Law
1:29
More of a curve. Way worse to have average spin. Better to be near the extremes of the range.
Nate
1:29
Do you see Weigel ever factoring into the Braves plans, or did the lost time due to injury result in him being passed by too many other arms?
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