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Klawchat 10/19/23
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Keith Law
1:01
I built this thing for you. Klawchat.
TomBruno23
1:01
What role, if any, should the Democrats play in helping to solve the issue of the next Speaker?
Keith Law
1:02
None. Not their circus. Let the other side struggle.
Sam
1:02
Any good food recommendations in the Raleigh area?
Keith Law
1:02
Bharvana Brewery, MOFU, Beasley's, Poole's Diner, Jubala Coffee.
mac
1:02
Is there a systemic problem in the yankees’ approach to hitter development? Do you see Volpe, Peraza, Pereira, and others’ helplessness against major league breaking balls as linked or coincidental?
Keith Law
1:03
I don't see the link other than that two of those guys (Volpe and Pereira) were promoted to the majors before they were ready. I think Volpe will adjust. Pereira was having trouble with contact in the minors so the promotion was pretty risky.
Dave
1:03
Does the tremendous success of Jackson Holliday impact how teams view his brother, Ethan?
Keith Law
1:04
Yes, naturally, but I'm not sure that it should. It's just human nature to assume they'll follow similar paths. Everything I've heard on Ethan is wildly positive, though, even before Jackson became the #1 pick in 2022.
Ian
1:04
What in the world is going on with the Red Sox?
Keith Law
1:04
I have no idea. Some of the names that have been floated have been ... uninspired?
Chuck
1:05
Glad to see you posting on Bluesky a bit. With Twitter suppressing links and non-blue checks, it's become increasingly useless. The conversation on Bluesky seems like Twitter 10 years ago.
Keith Law
1:05
I'm on Bluesky more than any other place because of what you just said - there's some actual conversation, and a lot of my favorite Twitter follows migrated there already. I'm still on Threads and Spoutible as well. I'm not that invested in any particular site taking off, but I want to be where you folks are.
Alex
1:05
Maybe too long for a chat, or maybe not possible with publicly available data, but... while your player analysis is franchise-agnostic, is it possible to apply sabermetric analysis to team-level competencies? E.g. we know that Cleveland and Los Angeles have a track record of success at improving pitchers in their farm system. Tampa is *really* good at assembling a bullpen. How rigorous can we get in analyzing those kinds of skills?
Keith Law
1:06
We do know these things, but they're also quite subject to change - if one particular coach leaves an org, do they take that competency with them? I don't view any of those things as permanent to a specific club.
Sedona
1:06
hey Keith, I enjoyed your read on the MVP predictions. Too bad we couldn't get your thoughts on NL ROY. Wanted to see your thoughts on Nolan Jones. He's shown even splits home and away as well as righty vs. lefty (very unusual). He's gonna strike out a ton, but hits for a high avg. What to make of this? The next CGON?
Keith Law
1:08
I'm not really buying that as sustainable ... there's still a ton of swing and miss there even with the benefit of altitude. He had a .401 BABIP this year! I do think the L/R evenness is a function of playing half his games in Denver, so the LH breaking stuff that gave him trouble in AAA isn't breaking as well, giving him more of a chance. I think he's a useful but flawed player.
Bret
1:08
Have you seen Jung Hoo Lee play enough to have an opinion on his MLB potential?
Keith Law
1:08
He'll be on my free agent rankings later this month.
Greg
1:08
I just can’t imagine Vaughn Grissom is in the Atlanta organization next year. What would his value be in a trade? Could he bring back a controllable starter like Cease?
Keith Law
1:09
By himself, no, but in a package, sure. He's valuable - I think a lot of teams would see him as a future starter.
doug dennis
1:09
When might we expect an updated prospects list?  thank you for your work.
Keith Law
1:09
Prospect rankings will be in late January/early February.
Andrew
1:09
Any thoughts on the Tigers moving Jung to 3B, as has been reported? I was surprised because I thought Keith would play 3B and Jung 2B. Can either be an above average defender?
Keith Law
1:10
Keith probably ends up at 1b. I wish I'd see Jung play third in the AFL but he DH'd the one game I saw him play, and didn't start the other two times I saw his team. It was not my most productive AFL trip with several days where all games were at the same time plus some odd lineup choices.
Ryan
1:10
Two part question. When do you see the Brewers bringing up Jackson Chourio, and when should they bring him up? I assume both answers will be sometime in 2024?
Keith Law
1:10
Yes to both. I wouldn't rush him, and I don't think they will since CF is one place where they have depth.
Louie
1:11
Do you think Tyler Stephenson has any trade value left after a pretty poor season both at the plate and behind the dish? With Reds bringing Luke Maile back, it feels like he could be on the way out.
Keith Law
1:12
I thought his 2021 was kind of his ceiling, but 2023 seems way below his true talent level. I'm shocked that he's not making harder contact - that was his profile as a prospect, in HS and in the minors when healthy, a catcher who might be power over hit but you can live with that for that position. So yes, I think he has trade value, since there are always 6-8 teams looking for help behind the plate.
Marc
1:13
Keith, have you seen enough of Nick Gonzales to say he’s not a first division 2B? Not a big board game person but bought Lacrimosa based on your review and my wife and I love it. Anything you’d recommend that’s similar is style of play? Thanks!
Keith Law
1:15
I'm probably the wrong person to ask on Gonzales because I've always been a skeptic, at least since he signed; I took a fair bit of grief from Pirates fans for leaving him off my top 100 several times, but I saw below-average D and too much of a dead-pull approach. He needs to make several changes to be a regular. I'm thrilled you like Lacrimosa - check out Red Cathedral and Merv: Heart of the Silk Road.
Larry
1:15
Why don't the Astros play Chas McCormick every day? 3.8 fWAR, above average vs lefties and righties. Am I missing something?
Keith Law
1:15
About ten years too young, maybe?
1:16
I don't know any details, but I thought the Astros dismissing Sara Goodrum, kind of a rising star over there, when that system keeps kicking out players who exceed expectations was surprising, even before we consider the bad look of firing one of the highest-ranking women in any baseball ops department. She'd be a good hire for any team.
JJ Picollo
1:16
Is trading Salvador Perez to the White Sox an actual thing?
Keith Law
1:16
Why would the White Sox do that?
Matt C
1:17
Who is your preferred pitching prospect between Chase Hampton, Tekoah Roby, and Jairo Iriarte?
Keith Law
1:17
Roby.
Guest
1:17
I saw your report on Chase Delauter's wonky swing mechanics. Do you think he gets exposed in AAA and MLB?
Keith Law
1:18
I think that's the risk; it's what several area scouts around here expected, given the hips and the swing and his tendency to cheat to get to good velo. I noted that there are guys who get away with suboptimal swings, so I don't mean to say this is definitive, but I'm more worried about him getting exposed at those levels than other hitters of comparable performance and backgrounds.
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