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Klawchat 10/19/23
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Keith Law
1:30
First Pitch? It's really too late for me to come to the fall league. By that point a lot of the better prospects are gone.
Brad
1:30
Everyone here in Chicago seems to believe that trading Burger is like trading Sosa or the cubs trading Lou Brock.  To me this is his ceiling and it’s about a 2 WAR player. What do you think?
Keith Law
1:30
Yeah the OBP problem really caps his ceiling. Nice player. If he turns into a star, I would say that wasn't likely to happen in Chicago.
Jay
1:31
I wouldn’t say I struggle with mental health, but I can’t put the damn Twitter down and as a result I cannot get my mind off this dumpster fire of a country and world we’ve got here. Have you benefited from not being on Twitter as much as you used to, or do you just keep up with the shit show in other ways?
Keith Law
1:31
I've definitely been happier using it far less. Some fan of a specific team got mad because I tweeted about one bad strike call but not others, and it was just such a reminder of how stupid that site has become. (I was on a plane most of that day and happily offline.)
Dr Who
1:31
Do you have any thoughts on Kim Ng leaving the Marlins? I thought she was doing a pretty good job over there.
Keith Law
1:33
It sounds like she stood up for herself in the best possible way. The most concerning detail I've read is that the owner wouldn't let her hire her own people for some scouting and PD jobs. If that's true, then she's not really the GM! I believe she'll get another opportunity this winter or next. I'm not saying the glass ceiling is gone, but it's cracked, at least.
Matt
1:33
Apologies if I missed your coverage on this, but curious about your thoughts on Rintaro Sasaki forgoing the NPB draft to play college baseball. Are there development advantages to going this route or is this more about earning potential?
Keith Law
1:34
He'll get paid a lot sooner this way, assuming he stays healthy and performs as expected. I'm not sure we want a flood of Japanese and Korean amateurs coming here and damaging NPB/KBO, though. I'm all for players getting paid, but I don't want to see two of the three strongest leagues in the world destabilized, either.
John
1:34
What is the deal with Andrew Vaughn? Seems to have actually taken a step backward this year. With his limited defensive value this worries me
Keith Law
1:35
He was one of my breakout picks for this year who plateaued instead. Really thought that approach from college would carry over to pro ball but he has never gotten the patience back.
Sedona
1:35
Is Jakob Marsee in consideration to make your top 100 on your  next update?
Keith Law
1:35
No.
Cwsoxfan
1:35
Will Montgomery / Ramos actually be the future of our MI? Thanks
Keith Law
1:35
I wouldn't bet on either guy being in the middle infield
Rich Campbell
1:35
Do you play Immaculate Grid, Keith? If so, thoughts?
Keith Law
1:35
I do not, sorry.
John
1:35
Is Colson Montgomerys ceiling Seager? To me I see maybe a light Seager. Not as good defensively and not the same power but just solid all around. Agree?
Keith Law
1:35
Seager Lite is a good way to put it. I was a little disappointed to see Montgomery look less mobile in the field in the AFL.
George
1:36
Yohandy Morales really popped in pro-ball after the draft. Did you see enough for you to bump your evaluation on him?
Keith Law
1:36
No, a major college product going off in low A (where he spent the most time) isn't that meaningful.
Matt
1:36
I went to Ocotillo last week on your recommendation. My friends were skeptical when I explained that a baseball analyst I had never met recommended it, but everyone loved it. Just wanted to say thank you.
Keith Law
1:37
Awesome - I haven't been in some time and am glad to hear it lived up to what I wrote several years ago. I always run into this challenge in Arizona, where I want to revisit old favorites but feel compelled to try new places so I can write about them.
Adam D.
1:37
Obviously Reggie Crawford (pitching) and Bryce Eldridge (hitting) are far superior on one side of the ball than the other, but do you see any real issues with the Giants approach to at least give them each some chances to show what they can do on the other side? At what point in their development would you say doing so becomes detrimental?
Keith Law
1:38
Yes, it risks needless injury (more a concern for Eldridge) and takes time away from developing in the role where they'll end up.
Jim
1:38
Keith, no skin in the game, but a follow-up to your Nolan Jones comments.  The Rockies AAA club plays at over 5,000 feet in ABQ (as are several other PCL cities), so wouldn't the issues regarding breaking balls be at least as relevant, if not more so because of the talent level?
Keith Law
1:38
Jones spent 2022 in AAA in Columbus because he was still with the Guardians.
Codey
1:39
Do you think Ivan Melendez could grow into an every day 1B or DH at the MLB level? His power seems top of the charts
Keith Law
1:39
No, it's way too power over hit.
Matt
1:39
Does it feel like Counsell is the likely guy for Mets skipper?
Keith Law
1:39
I don't know any gossip on this but he's done a great job in Milwaukee and really grew into the role. I was a big skeptic, and remain so with managers who have zero experience, but he's a success story.
E
1:39
Trey Sweeney upside? Platoon type or something more?
Keith Law
1:39
Maybe? Or utility infielder? I've seen him a bunch the last two years and I don't think there's enough stick there for more.
Sam
1:40
If I offered you the choice between winning 54% of your games every season for a decade (and the corresponding chance at winning a WS) or a decade with a guaranteed title and 9 years of 2023 A's performance, which one would you pick?
Keith Law
1:40
Flags fly forever.
mcgiveittome
1:40
Is there enough untapped upside for players like Lewis, Julien, Ober, etc., to help the Twins take the next step toward World Series contention? It feels like they're so close, yet so far.
Keith Law
1:41
They're going to miss Gray's production if they can't re-sign him, but I think they're still contenders. A healthy Lewis is a potential star, now that they've fixed all his swing issues. Still some talent marching up that system too.
KC
1:41
Gold Glove award is a joke, kinda surprised a DH doesn't win it someday. Oh forgot that already happened when Palme8ro won it
Keith Law
1:41
Yeah I stopped paying attention to it a while ago. They tried to update the criteria but it's still flawed.
Sedona
1:41
I read your piece on Chase Delauter's swing for the AFL.  He describes his swing as a "Scissor Swing".  He has a high contact/hard hit rate, low strike out rate, and seems like he hits the ball oppo on pitches that he's late on and it still flies w/ strong wrists.  Built like a freak athlete.  I've seen Kyle Tucker comps.  Does he have to adjust his swing to succeed?
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