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Klawchat, 10/22/20
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Keith Law
1:17
It's hard to reason with the unreasonable. You're wearing a mask to protect other humans in your community.
Big Fan
1:17
Hi Keith, after a few years of patience, Dansby Swanson finally blossomed.  I know you've always been skeptical of his bat speed, but did Austin Riley show you anything this year that would warrant the same patience?
Keith Law
1:20
Nope, on the contrary, he has had every bit as much trouble with velocity as I expected. He whiffed on average or better fastballs more than twice as often as he had base hits against them. This is what he is.
Troy
1:20
IMO giving $200M to a C is a mistake. Am I wrong in thinking JT will be overpaid and Philly is right to let him walk?
Keith Law
1:21
Yeah I wouldn't give him $200MM ... even at a six-year deal, which seems like the longest he should get, that's more than he's likely to be worth as a catcher in his 30s whose durability will probably decline over the course of the deal.
Dab
1:21
On a scale of 1-10 how much does it bother you to see fans at the games now? I really don't care for it at all. Pretty hypocritical of the league to make players be ultra cautious for months only to let thousands of people into the same stadium as them
Keith Law
1:21
A 10. Tiny reward, huge risk. And look at how few fans are actually wearing masks.
1:22
The biggest risk is going in/out of the stadium, where fans will be clustering at the entry/egress points and unable to distance.
Jason
1:22
Do you think the brewers window from 2018-2019 has closed?  If so, what should they do-- Trade Hader?
Keith Law
1:23
No, not closed, not with Burnes and Woodruff looking like a 1-2 now. But it's going to get harder and more expensive to build the rest of the roster around them because their system is so thin now.
Diego
1:23
Hello Keith - what will be your first travel spot after covid?
Keith Law
1:23
Sort of depends on when that point is, but if you're talking leisure travel involving a plane, probably Europe.
Jay
1:23
Are there people out there who actually enjoy Buck & Smoltz?  Buck seems to have a pretty low level of baseball knowledge for a broadcaster, and Smoltz repeatedly criticizes the product and harps on all the confidence/momentum nonsense.  When Smoltz tries to explain mechanics, he uses weird terms of art that no casual fan is ever going to follow.  How do these two smug buffoons keep getting tapped to call LCS and World Series games every year?
Keith Law
1:25
I do not understand why we're stuck with Smoltz, who seems to disdain the product on the field and utterly refuses to learn about other ways of looking at the game, in the critical role of color analyst. I just can't listen to these guys. If he were just intellectually curious enough to consider different perspectives, and balance his commentary accordingly, it would be a quantum improvement. But I also don't think you should have a job like that (or mine, for that matter) if you lack that sort of curiosity.
Nate
1:25
i know you’re a big Anthony Kay fan, but other than him, Pearson, and ryu, do the jays have anyone internally who you think can be slotted into the rotation starting in 2021?
Keith Law
1:25
Maybe Murphy can't hold up as a starter but I'd give him a shot.
Greg
1:25
I'm not asking you if Bryse Wilson is going to be the guy he was against LA in every start of his career, but what are your future expectations of him? Can he be a mid-rotation type?
Keith Law
1:25
I do think so. Been on my top 100 at least the last two years.
Ted
1:25
Do you think Jonathan Stiever has good chance to be a top-end of rotation guy?
Keith Law
1:25
No, but I like him as a back-end starter who could get to mid-rotation.
Jason
1:26
What are you expecting at tonight's debate, the same nonsense, does a mute button help? And Keith how many Chinese bank accounts do you have?
Keith Law
1:26
Different nonsense, I guess. It's pretty clear Trump believes he can lie with impunity - and he's not wrong in that - although a mute button probably helps Biden stay on message. I refuse to answer your second question on the grounds that I may incriminate myself.
Jack
1:27
If you're GM of the Braves, what are your next steps to getting over that last hump?
Keith Law
1:28
Go add a corner bat. They're weak at 3b, one OF corner (assuming Acuña and Pache handle two spots), DH if that's permanent. Ozuna was a brilliant move. Maybe they try that again, a one-year flier on a guy who was down last year. But I think they also likely need to get a more guaranteed thumper at one of those spots.
Sho
1:28
When a player goes on a hot streak, how much do you attribute to 1) physical 2) mental 3) luck?
Keith Law
1:28
I'd say it's nearly all luck, or randomness, which I think is probably a better word for it.
Jeremy
1:28
does luhnow run a baseball team ever again?
Keith Law
1:28
My guess is no.
Ted
1:28
Have you tried or heard of anyone trying one of those Ooni pizza ovens? I'm considering the pellet wood version.
Keith Law
1:29
I own one. It's great. Gets to 800 degrees pretty easily, cooks a pizza (if you use the right dough, which has to be lower hydration than a dough for your home oven) in 90 seconds.
Bob Loblaw
1:29
The Cardinals are confounding.  How are they so good at scouting and developing pitching but so bad at scouting and developing hitting?  The Arozorena and Voit trades look like debacles, but even going back, why did they trade Marco Gonzalez for Tyler ONeil?  That was a bad trade
Keith Law
1:30
I'm afraid that they overreacted to brief looks on some of those guys - Gonzales was so bad in his debut, and it seems like they concluded that his stuff wouldn't work in the majors. But I give them a complete pass on Voit, who became a different hitter after leaving.
Steve
1:30
Is there minor league baseball next year?  If no how far back will it set talent development and impact the industry for years to come?
Keith Law
1:31
The odds are that there are no fans in 2021, at which point I think MLB has to step up and subsidize at least some MiLB teams/leagues, because the long-term cost in talent development will be enormous. It's a revenue problem.
Minka
1:31
Favorite sushi roll?
Keith Law
1:32
I nearly always keep it simple when I get sushi - if the fish is good enough to eat raw, I want to taste the fish, not fillers. So I usually get nigiri rather than rolls, and if I get rolls they're very simple ones that highlight the fish. I avoid things with sweet sauces, or tempura, or avocado, at least when ordering for myself. I'll certainly eat other things if someone else orders.
Ben
1:33
Do you think there was a true benefit (over what his traditional MiLB path would be) for a guy like Riley Greene to be playing at the Toledo camp this summer? You hear stuff about facing better competition, but how much of that do you buy into? He's an extremely talented guy, but still very young and inexperienced.
Keith Law
1:33
It's a binary question - you had two choices with Greene, or Carroll, or CJ Abrams: They go to the alternate site, or they don't play at all over the summer. In that case, the first option is clearly preferable.
Nate
1:33
The marlins were a great story this year, but do you seem them as a team on the rise that could legit compete next year, or more of a bad team still a while away that just got lucky with some SSS success last year?
James
1:33
Are you concerned about Mike Trout’s defensive metrics? Or are they likely a fluke given the short season? And do you still see him as a 10 WAR player for the next few years?
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