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Klawchat 10/25/18
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Keith Law
1:28
Little early for that. He's a day one guy, but beyond that let's see how he looks in the spring.
Jesse
1:28
How has Gerson Bautista looked at AFL?
Keith Law
1:28
Just another middle reliever.
Mr. Redlegs
1:28
I know positional versatility is a positive, but moving Senzel everywhere but 3rd is a bit worrisome, no? Seems better to move Suarez back to short and platoon Gennett/Peraza rather than hope Senzel can play center.
Keith Law
1:28
I've argued this for a while now. Moving Senzel after he worked his ass off to be an average to above-average defender at third, and given his bat, is nuts.
Este
1:29
So creationism is "fantasy", yet the THEORY of evolution is 100 percent fact...lol
Keith Law
1:29
Imagine finding this chat but not knowing what the word "theory" means in science. It boggles.
JJ
1:29
Thoughts on Counsell's managerial performance in the playoffs? I was pleasantly surprised especially given his lack of managerial experience prior to getting the Brewers job.
Keith Law
1:30
I was impressed too - he was nimble in-game, seemed appropriately aggressive with his bullpen (given the weak starters), chased platoon advantages in high-leverage spots. Nice job.
Guest
1:30
Is Manny Machado and everyday SS.  Per Baseball Reference he had a -1.2 dWAR with Baltimore and and a 1.2 dWAR with the Dodgers.  Is it just positioning and if so, what the hell is wrong with Baltimore?
Keith Law
1:31
I don't think so. That's some small sample size stuff there, and I don't think he's really an Andrelton-level defender at short like the Dodgers figure would imply. He's also really freaking large for a shortstop. Arm would play anywhere and I think his hands are fine, but covering all that ground that we still expect shortstops to cover is probably a bit much. Plus, he's a 70 or 80 defender at third.
Rick Sanchez
1:32
Reds SP Luis Castillo killed it in the second half after an abysmal first half.  What do you project for him long-term?
Keith Law
1:32
His second half was largely buoyed by an unsustainably low BABIP. He's a back-end starter who'd probably be more effective in relief given his lack of a decent third pitch.
Jesse
1:32
Any of the lesser known mets in AFL showing well?
Keith Law
1:33
Nope, bad showing for the Mets guys, but they didn't send a ton either.
Taco Tuesday
1:33
Charles Leblanc has been mentioned as a possible sleeper prospect for the Rangers -- decent bat and the ability to play multiple positions in the infield.  Did you see anything from him in Arizona that would suggest he could be a major leaguer at some point?
Keith Law
1:33
No - he was really bad in the field, too.
Matt
1:33
After finding out Schilling wasnt invited to Game 2, I took a gander at his Twitter account. Umm...he thinks the recent mail bombs are a liberal conspiracy to get people to vote. I mean what the actual fuck?
Keith Law
1:34
Yeah, I can't think of a reason anyone could imagine skipping that guy.
Almir Lima Jr.
1:34
Hi Keith, greetings from Brazil! What do you read from this Mets GM search? After this brief statement by Chaim Bloom, it appears that Melvin is going to get the job. Is this just sad or is there any reason to believe that Melvin is the right man right now?
Keith Law
1:35
Tudo bem! I saw Bloom's statement and it sounds like what I said above about the process was probably accurate.
Bill
1:35
Nico Hoerner is only player from the 2018 draft in the AFL.  He was hurt mid-season so he needs at bats.  How is he holding up against upper level competition?
Keith Law
1:35
Smart player but didn't make much hard contact and he's smaller than I thought. I think maybe a high-average/high OBP second baseman?
Adam
1:35
All this talk about pitchers throwing harder/more breaking balls as an excuse for passed balls and wild pitches this post season seems to ignore the fact that the playoff teams struggling the most with this either have catching as their weak spot or offensive minded catchers in general. Shouldn’t a strong defensive catcher be more of a commodity around the trade deadline (like RP’s) for reasons like this?
Keith Law
1:36
Also, good framers tend to have more passed balls/WP, per ... Harry Pavlidis, I think, told me that on Twitter?
Jordan
1:36
Considering that he will be 20 next July, would it be a bad 2019 for Kelenic if he wasn't in High-A by the end of season?
Keith Law
1:36
No, it wouldn't be bad, but I think he'll get there.
Rob
1:36
Now that the Orioles lost out on the Mesa brothers how do you expect them to spend all that international bonus money they traded for?
Keith Law
1:36
They signed a few guys today - that's what the LaRoche/Machado joke was about.
Jesse
1:37
How much of a GM job is Baseball ops and how much is it business stuff?
Keith Law
1:37
It's all baseball ops, if you count contracts for players as baseball ops (I do). The only non-baseball responsibilities a GM would have would be on the public relations side, such as talking to corporate sponsors at an offseason event or something.
JR
1:37
In a tweet this morning you indicated that the most reasonable criticism of Melvin is that even he admitted the game has passed him by and analytics have changed a bunch in the past 5 years. Do you think the game passed Alderson by while he was still the GM? I know at one time he was seen as being at the forefront of analytics, but it felt like the past few years he was stuck on cruise control while others passed him by.
Keith Law
1:38
They weren't very analytically-minded the last few years, especially when managing the major-league club (much more so in the draft), despite having a real analytics department. I have to assume that came from Sandy.
RyanW
1:38
Anything new to report on Cole Tucker after your time in the AFL? Seems like he lacked hard contact this year in AA, is there anymore strength coming is he a 40 raw power type who needs to get to all of his hit tool to be an average regular at SS?
Keith Law
1:38
Good athlete who still could grow into a little power, but he's also very inconsistent at short, especially when throwing.
As in, maybe he doesn't stay there.
Brian
1:38
If Schoop doesn't rebound from whatever funk plagued him with the Brewers, is Keston Hiura ready to man 2B in 2019? It seems like his bat should be fine, but what about defense?
Keith Law
1:39
I think his defense will be adequate, good enough to stay there. I wish I'd seen him hit anything hard last week - it was one groundball after another.
Zac
1:39
On a scale of 1-10 how surprised are you that Ausmus got another managing job
Keith Law
1:40
Maybe a 2. I figured he'd get it. He went to Dartmouth, he likely interviews well, teams do like to re-hire guys who've managed in the majors. O AN HE SEXY.
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