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Klawchat 10/31/18
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Keith Law
1:24
He's not a $20 million/year player, which is what he's getting paid in 2020-22; he might be worth 60% of that, even if he's returned to first base (he's a better fielder there, but the positional value is also lower). So that's my very rough, outside guess - they'd probably have to offer to pay 1/3 to 2/5 of it.
TP
1:24
Favorite MLB and MiLB cities for food?
Keith Law
1:26
Woof, that's a long list for MLB. For the minors, though, Nashville is the obvious standout. Louisville is also pretty close; Raleigh-Durham, if we count that as one destination, is up there. I haven't spent enough time in Austin but its reputation would put it in the same class.
Nick
1:26
Do you really see the Yankees staying out of the Harper/Machado sweepstakes?
Keith Law
1:26
No.
Mike
1:26
Have you seen Nate Pearson since he returned? Any thoughts on him?
Keith Law
1:26
Yes, please see my second AFL post for a full report: https://klaw.me/2CyTrj5
Jeff D.
1:26
Should the Dodgers be VERY worried about the investigation into their Cuban signees and the laws that may have been broken?  MLB penalties, actual DOJ penalties or arrests?
Keith Law
1:26
Better question for a lawyer. I'm not qualified to answer and haven't even asked anyone in the game about the story (why would they tell me anything?).
CJC
1:27
Why wouldn't the Yankees just play Gleyber at short next year while Didi rehabs? Who would you have play 2nd?
Keith Law
1:27
That is exactly what I would do. Gleyber can play short. You can find a second baseman to fill in for a bit. Maybe it's Tyler Wade.
Stephen
1:27
What would a fair extension look like for the Dodgers and Kershaw, given what he means to the franchise, their place on the marginal win curve, and his declining velocity? Add two years and 70mm to current deal? Or is that just too high even for them?
Keith Law
1:27
Oh god no - that's WAY too much. He's not a $30 million a year guy any more.
Mike
1:27
It seems like teams are getting better and better at scouting amateur players. Is it still necessary to have as many levels in the minor leagues as we currently do?
Keith Law
1:28
I don't see the connection there - we need the lower levels for the raw high school kids and Latin American free agents who sign as teenagers.
Ian
1:28
Any thoughts on what the Rockies should do in 2019? Go all in, trade Arenado, or muddle through with strange choices and over the hill vets (clearly the likely outcome)
Keith Law
1:29
They can compete again for sure, but would need to make some hard internal decisions (like accepting that playing Desmond hurts the club, or that paying for relievers isn't working). I think they're a potential playoff team as currently constructed, helped by Arizona likely taking a step back and the Giants almost certainly starting to rebuild.
Pat
1:29
Carter Kieboom ready to be opening day roster for Nats?
Keith Law
1:29
No.
Jesse B
1:29
If you had to guess, educated of course, which of these three will have the best pro career, Lucius Fox, Jazz Chisholm, and Andres Gimenez?
Keith Law
1:30
Ranked best to worst: Chisholm, Fox, Gimenez.
Bort
1:30
Thoughts on Mejia for next season? Does he get 400 at bats?
Keith Law
1:30
He should play a full season - there is no good reason why he wouldn't.
Mac
1:30
Do you think Spencer Adams has a legit shot to earn a spot in the White Sox rotation out of spring training?
Keith Law
1:31
No, nor should he. He has marginal stuff and struck out only 11% of batters he faced in AAA.
Nate
1:31
Does Hudson have a shot at making the Cardinals rotation, or is he destined to be a career reliever?
Keith Law
1:31
I think reliever is most likely the outcome for him, but they could certainly try him again as a starter.
Kyle
1:31
After AFL is over, do you pay any attention to the other winter leagues (Mexico, ABL, etc)? Is there a MiLB level that those leagues are equivalent to?
Keith Law
1:32
There isn't, not for AFL either, because the range of player calibers top to bottom is much wider in those offseason leagues than it is in a typical minor league. I don't really pay attention to the winter leagues after the AFL but will occasionally get scouting reports on players who looked substantially different there.
Logan
1:32
Will Kolby Allard improve enough from a command and secondaries standpoint to actually be a 4th/5th starter on a solid team?
Keith Law
1:32
He is a 5th starter for me now. He'd need more velocity or life on the fastball to be much more than that.
Nate
1:33
Know it’s early, but what kind of upside does Jenista possess?
Keith Law
1:34
I don't see what position he can play for an NL team. He might be an everyday DH, but that's not an option with Atlanta.
Gabe
1:34
You don't think Kimbrel will get the QO? Seems to make sense to keep the team together one more year while they still have Sale and before J.D. can opt out.
Keith Law
1:34
They might offer it, but I wouldn't. The trend lines on him are largely pointing down and the history of one-inning relievers is that their peaks are short and end abruptly.
Chester
1:35
Are Happ, Contreras, Schwarber all flops?
Keith Law
1:35
No. You could wait a minute.
Radiohix
1:36
Did you get a look at Darwinson Hernandez? what do we got here?
Keith Law
1:36
He's also in the AFL post to which I linked earlier.
Rich
1:36
Starting to play light strategy board games with my young son.  Did your daughter's logic, critical thinking, or general math ability improve by playing those types of games?
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