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Klawchat 10/7/21
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Keith Law
1:23
No. No format will be 'perfect' and trying to tinker with it to achieve a desired result in year N will probably yield an undesirable result in year N+1, and then we'll hear a bunch of ideas to tweak it further.
J. Brenner
1:23
Any surprising omissions from AFL rosters? Personally, I expected to see Corbin Carroll show up.
Keith Law
1:24
Not surprised after his surgery. I was hopeful, but not optimistic. That said I am so fucking happy to see how many good prospects will be there, and that they're having the AFL at all, that I'll take whatever i can get out of the trip. (By which I mean a trip to Changing Hands and very tough decisions on where to eat between games.)
Matt
1:24
Was a little surprised that Joey Wiemer didn't get a mention in your prospects of the year column. Age? Position? Don't believe in the swing? Something else?
Keith Law
1:24
Older guy in single A, and also, I can't mention every single player who had a good year.
Famous Twitter User @Whitey_83
1:24
Any insight into how the Ozuna saga might play out in Atlanta? I would very much like to never see him again, but I have serious fears about the org either bringing him back (when/if it is allowed to do so) or crying poor because of his contract for the next three years.
Keith Law
1:25
I truly don't know, although I share your wish and your fears. I could see Liberty demanding that he play as long as they're paying him.
SD
1:25
I know it’s hard to evaluate managers because there is so much we can’t see. From what we could see I thought Tingler was pretty good. Do you have thoughts you could share?
Keith Law
1:26
From what we could see, I agree. There are a lot of reports of the players not wanting to play for him, and while you don't necessarily want to let the lunatics run the asylum - or to blame the manager for their own play - if the manager has lost the clubhouse, that's a reason to move on. I think Tingler will be a great manager if he's given a second opportunity, a la AJ Hinch and Terry Francona.
John
1:27
Hey Klaw, how rare is it for 2 prospects in the same system to essentially come back from being almost written off like Pratto and MJ? Is what they are doing sustainable?
Keith Law
1:28
Both are for real. In their cases I believe there's a common cause - the Royals changed how they were working with several of their hitters, and they had all of 2020 to do so with these guys. I don't ever want to see another lost minor league season, but it turns out a few players might be substantially better off from a year of instruction without games, or just from the year of rest.
Dave
1:28
Do the Mariners seem ripe for regression? Seems like they could be better next year but have a worse record with how much they outperformed their pythag
Keith Law
1:28
Yes. Future is bright, 2022 may feel disappointing.
Ethan
1:28
Keith, what are your thoughts on this Padres season?  What should be the priorities this offseason?  And what should be their profile as they look for a new manager?  Thanks as always for your good work!
Keith Law
1:31
Darvish and Snell both had 4+ ERAs, in that ballpark, and pitched a lot less than I would have expected. It all starts there, doesn't it? If you knew going into the year that both of those guys would be average-at-best, would you pick them to make the playoffs? I wouldn't have - I thought their rotation would be a major strength, bolstered in the second half by Gore (now going to the AFL!) and maybe the arrival of a more developed Weathers (who was pushed into making 18 starts that I'm sure were not part of the plan). Whose fault is that? The manager? The GM? Or just rotten luck?
Guest
1:31
Anything to read into Daniel Lynch’s struggles with command / control this season? Young guy figuring it out or does it dampen your enthusiasm?
Keith Law
1:31
Young guy figuring it out. They're not all good right away. Some guys take a year or more.
Robert Axelrod
1:31
What due diligence did MLB pay to Cohen's "dark money" past and its role in our political mess? Not to mention his grey dealings in the investment world.
Keith Law
1:32
The Kendricks are established MLB owners and their dark money habits are well known. MLB doesn't care.
Tony
1:32
Do you think Mike Elias should spend some money this winter to not be embarrassingly bad again? And do you think he'll do that?
Keith Law
1:32
I'd think ownership would want to do so. You have the game's #1 prospect on the cusp of the majors. Do you want to field a 60-win team around him?
Ciscoskid
1:32
What is this Giants team in 2022 regardless of the this postseason results. A lot of cap flexibility but also a lot of holes to plug again.
Keith Law
1:33
I wouldn't bet on a lineup with key players this old repeating the way they did, but I also think they'll be more active this winter knowing that they are clear contenders going into the year.
That's all assuming the CBA stuff gets settled. who knows what happens there.
Henry
1:33
Dave Roberts did an excellent job managing the Scherzer/bullpen yesterday, and Mike Shildt managed it like a regular season game. He's lucky Wainwright wasn't worse but he kept him in too late. It still befuddles me why managers make stupid decisions.
Keith Law
1:34
I was a little surprised to see Scherzer start an inning and come out with 2 men on ... I'm not saying it was wrong but it felt more ad hoc than it needed to be. Shildt got very lucky on Wainwright. If Turner doesn't chase a pitch he seldom chases, the Dodgers might put 2-3 on the board in the 4th (?) inning and change the whole course of the game.
1:35
Good pitch by Wainwright, of course. Just surprised Turner offered at it.
Neil
1:35
As a Jays fan this weekend hurt, but the last month was awesome.  I see tons of people pushing for expanded playoffs, but I really think that would devalue September, which can be so much fun.  Im guessing expansion of playoffs is inevitable, any way MLB avoids it?
Keith Law
1:35
No, there's too much money in it for MLB. They will always take the option that increases their revenues in the short term regardless of any deleterious long-term consequences. Always.
Snarfle
1:35
Do you see a viable compromise on the whole service time thing? Start the clock when the player is drafted?
Keith Law
1:36
Can't see that taking. I like the idea of at least connecting free agency to the player's age at debut, or when drafted, to recognize that players who go to college are at a relative disadvantage (since they likely won't see free agency until at least 29, versus ~27 for the best HS draftees and international FAs).
Luke
1:36
Will the 2022 MLB season start on time or are we looking at a work stoppage?
Keith Law
1:37
I believe there will be a deal, we won't lose all or even half of the 2022 season, but the hot stove will be delayed and maybe even spring training will too.
Pete
1:37
Hey Keith, I was really excited to see Gabriel Moreno so high up on your rankings in the middle of the year. What’s his ceiling stat line? Is it higher than someone like Francisco Alvarez? Or was he ranked higher because he’s so close to being ready for the majors?
Keith Law
1:38
Moreno is closer to ready but as hitters they're quite different - they will both probably be stars, but get there in different ways.
Josh
1:38
Were you a fan of the Dune novel or the David Lynch movie?
Keith Law
1:38
Loved the first novel. Never saw the Lynch movie. The sequel novels get increasingly ridiculous and I wouldn't recommend anyone read past the first.
Jason Bersani
1:38
should I stay in on Corbin Martin, for sim/DMB purposes? I bought when shortly after the draft Calls thought there was a chance he trend into the best arm of the class.
Keith Law
1:39
He made my top 100 then too. Hold.
Kevin
1:39
Why would ESPN have Arod call the wild card game on Tuesday? He was incredibly biased the entire game, not to mention he isn't good.
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