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Klawchat 11/16/18
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Adam Trask
1:31
When do you think the Padres profile as contenders? And how should that guide them this offseason?
Keith Law
1:32
That's my objection - not this year, not with the Dodgers and Rockies still good and the Padres' talent just starting to reach the majors, and a dead spot at first base and not much value from Myers. They're not ready to make that big splash.
Tom
1:32
I'm not buying the Cubs not having the money to make a run at Harper/Machado.  Everyone keeps saying they are at the top of budget but anyone who sees the organization knows they're swimming in money especially with a TV deal a year away.  Do you really think Theo doesn't have the means to go after Harper or is it smokescreen?
Keith Law
1:32
Of course they have the money. Probably 28 teams have the money. It's about willingness to spend it.
Randall
1:32
Cochon in NOLA is always a must for us.  Any change to your opinion on Nico after strong AFL season? At Wrigley by 2020?
Keith Law
1:33
No change - didn't see good contact from him, smart player, limited ceiling, moves fast but don't see over a regular.
Zac
1:33
Where would you start Casey Mize this year and would you be surprised if he reached the majors this year?
Keith Law
1:33
Start in AA. Comes to the majors when he's ready, which is probably this year.
John
1:33
How do you feel about Eminem as a rapper? I’d presume you have no time for him, given his history of um, problematic lyrical content - but wondered if you had a favorable opinion of his skills independent of the awful stuff he says.
Keith Law
1:35
His peak output - Slim Shady, Marshall Mathers, Eminem Show - established him as one of the best MCs of all time both for technical skill and lyrical ingenuity. I find a lot of his views to be trash, though, and never listen to him myself. From Encore on, I've had no use for him, because I think he's also lost his fastball and still says the same hateful shit.
Mike
1:35
Is the AFL good for player evaluations, or too small of a sample? I'm trying to be encouraged with the hitting of Cole Tucker, but I'm not sure if its just SSS. Still not showing much power though
Keith Law
1:35
Great for scouting, bad for stat-line reading.
EG
1:35
Do you support the electoral college for presidential elections or would you prefer a true popular vote?
Keith Law
1:36
True popular vote. The Framers didn't trust the voters to make choices of which the Framers would approve. Instead they created a system you can game.
JP
1:36
Yankees Twitter seems to think Florial is a 5-tool stud, while ignoring that the Hit Tool requires striking out in less than 35% of ABs. What’s a realistic projection for him? Outfielder Moncada?
Keith Law
1:36
Yeah, four tools, but the fifth one is a big deal. Moncada was better at the same age, though.
Ryan
1:36
Do you buy the Cubs actually are shopping Kris Bryant?  I really like Buster Olney but that article screemed click bait and seemed to take what Theo said out of context.
Keith Law
1:36
They're not shopping Bryant. I'm sure of it.
Denji
1:36
Yeah, I'm referring to the departures. Some people left before they had new jobs, and it seems like Fast made what reads as a lateral move (though I might be wrong). Yesterday in Kiley McDaniel's chat when he was asked if there was a mass exodus or it was just a coincidence, said, "Lets just say there’s a lot going on there."
Keith Law
1:37
Fast and Mejdal reached the end of their contracts and chose to go elsewhere. I don't know what Kiley was referring to.
John
1:37
We have several of the board games you recommend each year and it's become a Christmas tradition to buy two from Santa for the family. Recommend a game or two that came out this year?
Keith Law
1:38
Everdell, Charterstone, Reef, Forbidden Sky all come to mind. Probably forgetting some. I updated my top 100 all-time list this week: https://klaw.me/2QCjNVx
Kacey
1:38
I was looking at Joe Mauer's draft year. Not only were there only 3 All Stars from the first round (Mauer, Prior and Texiera), but the next best player drafter was probably Gavin Floyd and most players didn't make the majors. Plenty of great players in other rounds. It seems the last 5-7 years or so first round picks make a quicker impact. Has scouting gotten that much better?
Keith Law
1:39
I think teams have gotten better in two major ways - they've incorporated more analytics into the process, from using traditional stats to now working with Trackman data, and they've started to value high school pitching differently, both drafting it later and treating those pitchers more carefully after they sign.
Steve
1:40
Should I be excited about any of the players the Pirates received in return for Moroff and Luplow?
Keith Law
1:41
Tahnaj Thomas is the sleeper. Least known of the three but an upside play. Chance for plus FB/CB combo, good body. The Bahamas are starting to churn out some serious dudes.
T
1:41
Joel Sherman seems to be super against signing Manny Machado because of hustle concerns. This whole thing is overblown, right?
Keith Law
1:42
Yeah, totally overblown for me.
Mike
1:43
Can you name names of anyone in the industry - player or office- who you walked away disappointed after meeting them?  Either they're a jerk or just overall not impressive person.
Keith Law
1:43
I could, but I'm certainly not going to name them publicly.
Damon
1:43
Donaldson a good option for the Mets? Obvious injury risk but could provide best production for someone who won't cost Machado/harper money since the Wilpons won't spend that much
Keith Law
1:43
Yes. If I'm Donaldson's agent, I'm trying to sign the best one-year deal I can, hoping he gets healthy and posts a pre-injury stat line again.
Jared
1:44
For teams looking to rebuild, what allowed the Brewers do it so quickly? I know they had Gomez and Lucroy to deal, but still seems way faster than most.
Keith Law
1:44
They've hit on a lot of gambles, like the Chacin deal. That's to their credit.
Brian
1:45
You’ve discussed the Jays system as obviously strong at the top but not as deep as other outlets seem to think. Given how 2018 turned out, what do you think is a realistic team outcome for 2019? And is true contention anywhere on the horizon?
Keith Law
1:46
I don't see the pitching in that system to make them contenders any time soon; they'll have to add it from outside, most likely.
Jared
1:46
I know Hiura didn't hit for you while at the AFL, but do you think he is a future star with the bat?
Keith Law
1:46
Yeah, I am not really worried about it. Every scout I've ever asked about him has said they believe he'll hit.
JG
1:46
BA didn't have Nick Gordon in the top 10 Twins prospects? Has he fallen that much in your eyes?
Keith Law
1:47
He was atrocious in AAA - like he was swinging a wet newspaper. Hard to overlook that, and like I said earlier, that's a really strong system.
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