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Klawchat 11/29/18
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Keith Law
1:13
No, but it certainly limits his return to the point that it likely makes more sense to keep him.
Bobby Bradley's 40-time
1:13
What on earth is the Mets FO doing? Actively searching for Syndergaard trade partners, but deGrom is off limits. Also pushing for an old, $120M 1B and a young RP?
Keith Law
1:14
We're just pretending that the Mets' GM didn't represent that old 2b (who might be a 1b) and negotiate that deal, right? There's nothing weird about that?
matt klentak
1:15
isnt the opportunity cost for Diaz too high? I mean, you can get Familia and Miller or some duo like that for ~60M, which probably is less than two top 100 prospects + an MLB player for Diaz
Keith Law
1:16
Yes, and also, relievers don't last. Look at the four-year deals just ending - Miller, Kimbrel, Robertson. None paid off well. The first two are clearly less than they were at the start. And I would feel very comfortable betting that Diaz's 3.5 WAR last year ends up his career high.
Tom C
1:16
Yesterday my work was giving out flu shots (I already had mine). Some people around me were debating whether to get one because they didn't want to get sick from the shot.  Me: You know what makes you even sicker? Them: What? Me: The ACTUAL flu. Them: (Blank Stares). Some went and got the shot.
Keith Law
1:16
Excellent answer. Also, you can't get the flu from the flu shot, because the virus in it is attenuated (weakened so it can't cause the flu).
Adam
1:17
What does Francisco Mejia’s stock look like right now? Is it an exaggeration to say that he’s not a Top 5 prospect in the Padres system?
Keith Law
1:17
Yes, that's an absurd statement. Of course he's top 5 there.
Matt
1:17
Thoughts on a couple of Rays rookies from 2018, Joey Wendle and Jake Bauers? Do you believe in Wendle's big second half, and are you buying Bauers as a bounceback guy despite his struggles last year?
Keith Law
1:18
Don't believe in Wendle at all. Bauers is better than what he showed. Probably never a 20 homer guy, but can hit for a lot more average than that. Think he's a solid-average regular at 1b.
Steve from PHL
1:18
Keith, what is your prediction as to what the Phillies do this offseason- signings, trades, etc? Thanks!
Keith Law
1:18
I really don't do predictions like that. I leave that stuff and the rumormongering to others. I'll just react as appropriate when there's real news like a signing.
Paul
1:19
Of course if the Mets are stupid enough to trade Kelenic or Dunn then the other moves are irrelevant. However - what were your thoughts on Mets hiring Baird?
Keith Law
1:19
That's the one move there I've really liked. I know Allard a little - enough that I know not to shake his hand again, because last time he broke two of my metacarpal bones - but more importantly the people I know well who've worked for and with him absolutely rave about him as a baseball guy and a person to work for.
Jon
1:20
With the Mets saying they want to "contend" in 2019 and the absurd rumors about trading all their top prospects for Cano and a closer, why do I get the feeling this will be a half baked offseason that drains the cupboards and in a year or two, they're back in the same spot, only with a terrible farm system?
Keith Law
1:21
This feels a bit like the first Preller year in San Diego, when ownership seemed to want him to go all out to try to win, and they traded away a lot of value (especially Trea Turner) while acquiring bad contracts that eventually hamstrung them. The difference is that Preller was able to do a 180 and, with the help of the old international rules, turn their depleted farm system into the game's best in short order.
JP
1:21
Settle a baseball argument: when talking about years of Team Control, is that referring to the Pre-Arbitration years only, or all the years until the player becomes a FA (PreArb+Arb)?
Keith Law
1:21
Years until free agency.
Andrew
1:21
Given the light return for Paxton, would the Giants be better off holding onto him and taking the comp pick after the season?
Keith Law
1:21
Your given is not a given.
Anthony
1:21
Hi Keith, thoughts on Andruw Jones and his HoF case?
Keith Law
1:22
So I have a vote this year, for the first time, and I have checked off nine names so far. I think I know who my tenth will be, but I'm mulling it over for a few days before I fill out the last one and mail it. I'll do a column for ESPN+ later this month about it.
Marshall MN
1:22
You know what's crazy, we are only 2 months away from your annual top prospect list, wow does time fly.  Are you already hard at work on the top 100?
Keith Law
1:23
I am indeed. I've spent about 15 hours on the phone since Monday morning, maybe a little more, and have another call at 2 pm sharp.
I do a lot of calls first before I write anything at all.
JR
1:23
Does your daughter have a phone? If so, at what age did you get her one? If not, at what age would you feel comfortable? I thought I could hold out until 12/13, but my 10 year old son is already angling for one and many kids younger than him already have one.
Keith Law
1:24
She does. It has been really valuable for her to have it to text or call us, and more than once her bus has had a substitute/temporary driver so she's used the maps to help the driver navigate (which, yes, that's a whole different set of issues).
Gavin
1:24
Is Keston the real deal? He gives me Joe Panik vibes with his lack of power.
Keith Law
1:24
Totally dissimilar players, although I don't think Hiura is a huge power guy. He makes harder contact than Panik.
Jake
1:24
Have you ever had BBQ in KC?  Thoughts?  Q39, Joe's, Jack stack>>
Keith Law
1:25
KC Joes was my favorite. Slappy's was very good too. Jack Stack is a different experience ... BBQ is more of a casual thing, so in a sit-down setting it seems a little weird to me.
Mitch
1:25
Do you take much stock in Dominican Winter ball performances? Small sample size, but Heliot Ramos is doing much better than in Augusta. Not sure if that’s growth or he’s facing worse competition.
Keith Law
1:26
Ramos is Puerto Rican and is playing in the Puerto Rican Winter League, not the Dominican. I don't put any stock in numbers from those leagues, though; the level of competition varies far too much even from game to game. I think it's a positive experience for players, since they get more reps in real game settings.
Andy
1:26
It seems like the Braves are valuing higher dollar and shorter year span with contracts. Do you see becoming more common with all teams and move away from the 8 to 10 year deals in the future?
Keith Law
1:26
No, because the dynamics of the market will always encourage teams to give that one extra year to land the player.
Chris
1:26
Thoughts on Lewis Brinson? That Yelich trade is looking all-time bad right now for Marlins.
Keith Law
1:27
Still see upside there. Also, I wouldn't judge a prospect deal after just one year.
Kyle
1:27
Do you think Bryan Reynolds can stick in center field?
Keith Law
1:27
I do not.
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