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Klawchat 12/13/19
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Keith Law
1:01
Klawchat. When you gonna ring it?
Moe Mentum
1:01
Any predictions on where Odubel Herrera will be when spring training starts – or ends?
Keith Law
1:02
Not with the Phillies. I wonder if some awful team - the Tigers, the Orioles - will decide he's worth the backlash, because he has ability and they'd probably just be able to take him off the Phils' hands for nothing. (I wouldn't do so, but I'm saying someone probably will.)
JK
1:02
What changed from last year to this year to spur so much more activity at Winter Meetings?
Keith Law
1:03
I don't quite know, but I'm thrilled. The Yankees getting in heavy helped, as did the Nats winning the World Series and making a serious, immediate push to retain one of their two big FA. Mike Rizzo doesn't hesitate when he wants a player - he signed Corbin early last year, and signed Jayson Werth once upon a time while I was between the airport and the winter meetings on day one (or zero). He also probably gave this a nudge.
Delco Debo
1:03
Based on the Cole & Rendon contracts, is it fair to say that Harper & Machado deals do not age terribly & neither team should feel buyer's remorse (contrary to what local Philly sports radio might be spewing)? Phillies & Padres both get longer tail of players primes.
Keith Law
1:03
Neither team should have any regrets about those contracts. Sports radio takes shouldn't dictate what anyone thinks about sports.
Josh L from Garnet Valley
1:03
In the event you've read, would you recommend Dune?
Keith Law
1:04
The first book is wonderful. Everything that comes after it is trash.
Tony
1:08
It feels like the Phillies are throwing away so much value by constantly moving Kingery around defensively, and now with the Gregorious signing, there's talk he'll be playing third instead of second. Why won't they just put him at second and let him excel?
Keith Law
1:08
That's also what I would do, but Segura has never played 3b anywhere in pro ball. They needed a shortstop, so they got one, and now they have two second basemen and no current third baseman. If Segura can play third, problem solved. If not, they may put Kingery at third, where his arm doesn't play, and now we have a new problem.
Josh L from Garnet Valley
1:09
What are your favorite modern christmas songs? Feel like the Pogues Fairytale of NY is criminally underrated
Keith Law
1:09
I just heard that one for the first time the other day, as it turns out. I still say Mariah Carey's "All I Want for Christmas" is the best new Christmas song of the last ~40 years.
Dave
1:10
Lots of rumors that Kyle Seager is on the block. Is it reasonable that Seattle can get anything useful for him, or is this just salary dump territory?
Keith Law
1:10
About $40 million left for two years, probably projects to 4-5 total wins in that period. If they chip in a little cash, I think they could get real value back.
Mike
1:12
Is it reasonable to think Andrew Vaughn's ceiling is Freddie Freeman?
Keith Law
1:12
I don't think that's the shape of Vaughn's production if he hits his ceiling.
Deke
1:12
If you're the Rangers, is it Donaldson or bust now? What do you do with the rest of this offseason?
Keith Law
1:13
He's an ideal fit, but does it have to be him or nothing else? What about upgrading other spots, like second base?
Julio Rodriguez
1:13
Where do I rank as a prospect out of these options? Top-5, top-10, top-20, top-50, or top 100 prospect?
Keith Law
1:13
I won't publish prospect rankings until probably the start of February, and I'm not going to spoil them now.
JR
1:13
You mentioned the Porcello signing for the Mets in your recent recap, but not Wacha. Guessing you view it same as me - decent depth move at a reasonable price with the hope he bounces back, but easy to cut him if he's done.
Keith Law
1:14
Wacha came after I wrote that, I think. He's also missed chunks of two straight seasons and last year was a disaster. Bit of a flier, low cost for them. Not a bad gamble.
Greg P
1:15
KLaw - any of the Rule 5 picks going to amount to anything or is it just a waste of time?
Keith Law
1:15
I wrote up the two picks I liked in the column linked at the top of this post. The rule 5 draft remains largely a waste of time.
Kyle KS
1:15
How do you treat Hyun-jin Ryu in free agency if you're running a team?  Plan on 25 starts a year out of a really good pitcher and anything over is just bonus?
Keith Law
1:16
Maybe put him on the peak Pedro plan, where he's getting an extra day of rest every time the schedule permits it, maybe skipping a start here or there, to try to get 150-160 great innings and have him in October.
Sam
1:16
What was the difference between this year and the last few where things seemed to return to normal on the free agency market and not waiting until spring training for many of the top tier guys to sign?
Keith Law
1:17
One other hypothesis: Boras had the top 3 free agents, plus a few other major ones. It wasn't Boras vs Lozano, like last year. Maybe one agent controlling the top end of the market made a difference.
Alex
1:17
The Giants effectively purchased a first round pick for $12M.  What are your thoughts on the strategy and do you think teams will do this more?  Do you think MLB has an issue with this because one of the argument against trading draft picks was they will be sold to the high market teams?
Keith Law
1:17
I think MLB has an issue with it because it reveals how badly first-round picks are underpaid.
Ben
1:17
What comes to mind when you hear "Baz Luhrmann + Master and Marg"?
Keith Law
1:17
I said to someone else on Twitter that I take hope in the fact that every previously reported adaptation of TM&M has failed to come to fruition.
Stanyon Turtze
1:17
Do you have a gut feeling as to how much (if any) correction there will be to the HR rates & distance in the coming season?
Keith Law
1:18
No, not at all. You can't without knowing what the baseballs will be like this year.
Eric
1:18
am i being hyperbolic in thinking the end of the republic is near? one side, for the last 10 years, has broken every rule and norm and gaslights the country on a daily basis, while the other just tries to play nice and get stomped over on the reg. i think we're at the point where "rules" and "norms" in government aren't upholdable anymore.
Keith Law
1:18
If Trump wins re-election next November, I'd feel that way.
Debra
1:18
Do you still project Deivi Garcia to start? Or does the future reside in the bullpen? Still a top 50 prospect in your estimation?
Keith Law
1:18
Nothing has changed since I ranked him top 50 in July. He's small, but I think he has the stuff to start.
Jeff
1:18
Dodgers linked to Lindor & Clevinger a lot recently, what would be a fair exchange for both sides in your opinion?
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