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Klawchat 2/11/21
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Kane
1:12
What can you tell us about the Diamondbacks host of pitching prospects? Anyone stick out to you as someone who pitches near the front of their future rotation?
Keith Law
1:12
If Arias hits, he's your shortstop, but that's a huge if. Rocchio at 2b seems like the most probable of their current MIF prospects to stay at a position and hit.
1:13
Dbacks report will be up next week but I think Walston's their top pitchiing prospect in terms of ceiling and also present value.
Chris
1:13
Hi Keith I'm looking at the mariners ranking of 13th compared to being 11th last year and noticed you increased the rankings of their 1, 3, 4 and 5 prospect from this year to last and that they retained prospect eligibility of the majority of their top 15. What led to this drop, did other systems improve a lot, was last year a down year, or did the graduation of sheffield and lewis (7 and 10 last year) effect their ranking more so than the addition of hancock (rated higher than white) and trammell (rated higher than dunn)?
Keith Law
1:13
There are 29 other teams in baseball and their systems also changed in the last year.
Jason
1:13
Thoughts on Keston Hiura playing first?
Keith Law
1:14
I wonder if he's really going to hit enough to be more than a 50 there. He can hit, but I don't see more than average power, and his other tools are all limited.
Ben
1:14
Do you think Brian Cashman sees the Dodgers acting like a big market team with big revenues and feels frustrated that Steinbrenner won’t let him do likewise?
Keith Law
1:14
I mean, I could see 28 other GMs playing a symphony on the world's 28 tiniest violins.
Mike
1:14
Hi Keith. Love your books and all your writing! Question about PTBNL. When the Sox have 3 of them in this deal do they have an actual list of names they can choose from in the future or are there just parameters of the types of guys? Thanks!
Keith Law
1:14
In this deal I assume there's a list for each team - you can take 2 of these 5.
Thomas
1:14
Your ranking of my team's prospects isn't as favorable as some other media outlets'. Therefore, I will choose to assume yours must be wrong. Definitely no confirmation bias here.
Keith Law
1:14
Every year.
Jake
1:15
I’m curious about what you heard about Seth Corry to jump him into your Top 100. I don’t believe he ever made it to the alternate camp so not even that meager bit of playing time last year.
Keith Law
1:15
Instructs.
Reverend Cory
1:15
Thanks for all your hard work Keith! Long winded question here. I grew to appreciate and generally love the use of analytics in the game over the past 15 years, but the last 2-3 I’ve started to sour on how organizations use them. Seems like we now have a league where every team is run like a hedge fund. It provides a great ROI for the owners, but it’s taken a toll on my enjoyment for the game. Do you think there is a solution for this? Thanks again.
Keith Law
1:15
MLB is set up as an effective profit machine in which it is no longer necessary for teams to win to make money.
I don't know how you fix that other than creating incentives for teams to win.
MannyKay
1:15
I've never seen any mention of The Strokes on your music lists. They're easily my favorite band of the 2000s. Are you not a fan?
Keith Law
1:15
Not really. Not not a fan, but I don't find their music that interesting.
Ben (MN)
1:16
Keith, I appreciate your willingness to discuss your own experiences with mental health. My wife has struggled to control anxiety, and often has trouble sleeping more than 5-6 hours a night (or less), largely due to her anxiety. The problem can spiral out of control at times, with poor sleep leading to anxiety about sleep, leading to more poor sleep, leading to more anxiety in daily life, etc. It seems to be at least partially genetic as her mom had a similar experience. She has been reluctant to seek help, largely because she is worried they will recommend medication, which she doesn't want. Do you have any advice for positively encouraging people who may be reluctant to seek help for anxiety/mental health needs?
Keith Law
1:17
The most significant point I would make to your wife is that there are many medications available for GAD, and they are effective for many people at low doses that have limited side effects. I have been on SSRIs for over 8 years. I was also worried about starting one, worried that it would change my personality (it did, sort of, but for the better!) or that it would dull my thinking (it has not). I understand the hesitancy, but medication for my anxiety has been an unmitigated positive.
Jake
1:17
Have you heard anything more on how teams will organize their non full season prospects without the short season leagues? Any chance we see teams evolve towards 2 complex league teams mirroring hi and lo A ball?
Keith Law
1:18
Yes, that's what will happen, which I think is kind of stupid in that there are communities out there that would gladly host these teams and allow someone to make a little money off attendance while baseball continued to build the national fan base, but instead they're going to run twice as many teams in AZ and FL in the middle of the summer when it's a thousand fucking degrees outside and all those players will play in front of no fans.
Arnold
1:18
Although the pandemic hospital rates are falling, it still seems like a bad idea to be opening spring training so soon.  MLB proposed pushing back the start, but the players objected and MLB caved.  I am pro-player on most disputes with management, but the players seem short-sighted on this.
Keith Law
1:19
The players didn't object; they held to the terms of the collectively bargained agreement. I do think the season should be pushed back, but I don't blame the players on this.
Arty
1:19
Reports are that Nolan Gorman is going to get a position switch now that Arenado and Goldschmidt have the corners locked down for a few years.. Can he handle 2B or is more likely going to have to move to LF?
Keith Law
1:19
I'd say right field.
Eric
1:19
Wader Franco+Fernando Tatis Jr+Ronald Acuña+Juan Soto=baseball is in good hands
Keith Law
1:20
Yes, if MLB gets more serious about marketing its nonwhite players. Especially those whose first language isn't English. I think Tatis should be on the cover of everything, in every commercial, and to be fair I'm seeing more of him out there in the non-baseball world than I can remember seeing previous Latino stars, but MLB has to build massive campaigns around these guys.
Guest
1:20
Hi Keith, I'm wondering, if at all, how do certain teams developmental infrastructure impact your rankings? For example if a pitcher with the Rays get the benefit of the doubt more than say the Cubs who haven't developed a pitcher in what seems like decade. I'm assuming evaluators like yourself would say not at all, but even subconciously
Keith Law
1:21
No, you can't do that because any player can change organizations at any time (like Khalil Lee!). The player evaluations are all team-agnostic.
MannyKay
1:21
Based on your positive comments about Jahmai Jones' potential, is it fair to say the Orioles won that trade in your opinion?
Keith Law
1:21
Yes, no-brainer for them. I love Jones and think he'll thrive there.
Chamaco
1:21
Apologies if he is on your top 100 list or graduated off of it (and I just missed this), but I was wondering what you thought about Michael Kopech’s potential this year and in the future? If you Google “Michael Kopech,” you find a lot of non-baseball related articles, which can make it more challenging to find good information on him.
Keith Law
1:21
He's on the top 100.
Matt
1:21
FYI- Many board games, including some on your Top 100, are buy 2 get 1 free at Target and Amazon today.
Keith Law
1:24
I'm looking at the amazon list now - from the BOGO list, I would recommend Splendor, Ticket to Ride, Blokus, Castles of Burgundy, and King of Tokyo.
Chris P
1:24
While I think Cavan Biggio is at least deserving of a roster spot, I really think the Jays should try to move him now while his value is likely going to be at its highest. The fact he struggles against quality fastballs is concerning.
Keith Law
1:26
It's fatal. He can't hit what is now an average major-league fastball. That's why his best month in the majors has been September - he sees lower-quality pitching and pads the stats against them. I agree, I would shop him now, but to be honest, most other teams see the same flaws. His value is very low.
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