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Klawchat 2/11/21
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Keith Law
1:40
High bar to clear.
Jason (D.C.)
1:40
If you're the Rays, what do you do with middle infield when Wander Franco ready? Should they trade Adames or move to 2B? I assume Brujan will be there.
Keith Law
1:41
I bet Adames ends up traded. Not a knock on him, but he'd have more value in trade than he would as a 3b for them.
Tom
1:41
Can Brian goodwin be a league average OF for the pirates?
Keith Law
1:41
No. I'd bet on Oliva over Goodwin, although I think Oliva is a food 4th OF.
Todd Boss
1:41
In all your time ranking organizational farm systems, what would you say were your individual best and worst systems?  Like, 2018 Atlanta or 2019 San Diego as best and maybe Baltimore 2018 as worst?
Keith Law
1:42
The Angels had the worst ever, maybe five years ago. This year's Rays' system would make my top 3. San Diego 2019 is probably the best.
Casey
1:42
Do you think the Reds offseason was bad enough that they should look into kick starting a rebuild? Suarez and Gray look like great trade assets, and with the coming compensatory picks, that could move the Farm System in the top 10 in my opinion.
Keith Law
1:42
I'd trade Suarez to try to fill shortstop, move Senzel back to the infield, and still hope to compete this year.
xxx(yyy)
1:44
What prospect were you the most "sure" on that ended up missing? Why? Assuming that guys like Josh Hamilton doesn't really count since his issues were off the field-based
Keith Law
1:44
Justin Smoak.
1:45
It wasn't just me - I remember pro scouts seeing him in his first go-round in pro ball, saying how did this guy get to the 11th pick.
Adam
1:45
Should the Padres regret not delaying Tatis' service time? He's already two years closer to FA without even playing 162 games.
Keith Law
1:45
I don't think they regret it one bit after that playoff run in 2020.
JL
1:45
Assuming they have rotational health this year (a big assumption), what happens with Kyle Wright and Touki Toussaint and Bryse Wilson? Especially for Wright and Touki, proving they can pitch in AAA isn't the problem. If feels like a waste to have them not getting big league innings. Will it hurt development to have them pitch in Gwinnett for most of another season?
Keith Law
1:46
I'd put Touki in a longman role. He needs reps in the majors and that's the best way to get them.
Sim
1:46
You mentioned in your last chat that Oneil Cruz's legal issues had no bearing on him dropping off of your top-100. Was there something specific in his performance in the Dominican this past year that caused you to drop him 30+ spots in the rankings? I'm assuming the Pirates list will clarify some things.
Keith Law
1:46
There is no "dropping." This isn't Billboard where players move up or down with a bullet. I start each list from scratch.
I couldn't tell you without looking where O'Neil Cruz was a year ago on my rankings. I can tell you I really don't think he's a shortstop.
Eric
1:47
Is a regular-stuffed Oreo still an Oreo?
Keith Law
1:47
That is the only Oreo.
Scully
1:47
In the Red Sox '21 prospect rankings, you mention Dalbec could wind up on the roster depending what they do with Devers.  Would that be a positional move to 1B for Rafael?
Keith Law
1:47
Yes, I know that's been discussed.
Ed
1:47
What do you see as probability of a Vlad Jr breakout this year? He seems to be more committed after his down, by his standards,  last season and seeing his contemporaries explode on the scene.
Keith Law
1:48
It's really about the swing. He's a bright enough kid to figure it out on his own but my understanding is he's not someone they're going to be able to take aside for a whole swing optimization.
nb
1:48
Keith - Mazel Tov on the wedding!  Glad something good came out of 2020!  I get that the Phillies system is bad, but do you think there's hope for it to move up?  Seems like the oast 2 drafts have been good and they have some younger guys like Kendall Simmons.  Thanks!
Keith Law
1:49
I agree. Also one of their best prospects, Luis Garcia, had a horrible 2019 (not entirely his fault) and didn't get 2020 to reestablish himself.
Scully
1:49
I'm sure you'll write up an analysis of the KC-BOST-NYM trade... any quick thoughts you'd like to share here?
Keith Law
1:49
I won't write it up, not with 3 players' identities still unknown.
JL
1:50
No question, but just wanted to say that I re-read Smart Baseball this winter and am halfway through Inside Game and they're two of the best books I've read in a long time. I even got a co-worker who is marginally interested in baseball to read Smart Baseball and he loved it.
Keith Law
1:51
Thank you. You can pre-order the paperback edition of The Inside Game, due out April 6th.
1:52
Sorry, I suddenly needed to eat some Oreos.
Paul
1:52
What does GM do all day? Not sarcastic, but when they're saying we're monitoring the trade market etc. does that mean they're on the phone with 29 other GMs just asking if they're buying or selling? If you're Al Avila and you're know you're not making any big moves in the offseason - what are they doing all week?
Keith Law
1:53
Running an entire organization. The job of a GM is a lot more than just player acquisitions.
Jim Ed
1:53
Thoughts on the Red Sox returns in the Beni trade?
Keith Law
1:53
I like PTBNL #2 more than PTBNL #1 or PTBNL #3.
Jeb
1:54
No desire to have this posted. Just wanted to say thanks, as an Athletic subscriber. Love the content. I used your signup code so hopefully you get credit for my account in some manner.
Keith Law
1:54
I do get 'credit,' at least in the sense that the Athletic keeps track of such things, and I do too to see what readers particularly like or don't like.
Ridley
1:54
I've seen you list "True Faith" as a perfect song and I wholeheartedly agree. Are there any others on your list? *stares in "Under The Milky Way"*
Keith Law
1:54
Great song as well.
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