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Klawchat 2/14/19
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John
1:24
If you had to guess, where will the Rays and A's be in their stadium searches a year from now?
Keith Law
1:24
Exactly where they are now.
1:25
Sorry, had to go get the Samoas.
War biscuit
1:25
What have you heard on Will Holland and are you gonna go to auburn again to scout him?
Keith Law
1:25
doubt I'll go to Auburn - more likely I'll see him on the road against a potential first rounder.
Nick
1:25
Feel like the market is ripe For a team to get real creative to try and land Machado or Harper. Something like 9 years 300 million (110m over first 3 years) and player opt outs every season after year 3). The player could pocket 9 figures and still hit free agency in their 20’s, or essentially go year by after that for $32m a year and wait til they come off an MVP type year and then hit free agency again. Don’t think a contender would complain of 3-6 years of their prime if they walked at any point.
Keith Law
1:26
Agreed.
Quinn
1:26
Vlad Jr.’s wRC+ was 70 points greater then Tatis’ in AA last year. So, when you put Tatis above Vlad Jr. in your top prospects ranking is it because the difference in defensive ability really is that great or because you expect to improve comparatively more then Vlad Jr.?
Keith Law
1:27
wRC+ is utterly useless for prospect evaluation. So that's your first problem. The differences are position, defensive value, baserunning, physical projection, and probability of improvement.
AGirlHasNoName
1:27
Am I wrong that a team made up of the remaining free agents could win 90 games?More even? Certainly more than the Marlins, right?
Keith Law
1:28
I can't be the only one who thinks if the free agents wanted to they could put together a baseball team and dominate the troops.
LD
1:28
A few weeks ago, you tweeted that you were giving your daughter guitar lessons. How are you going about it? Is there a set time weekly? Nylon vs. steel string guitar? Hoping to start doing the same with my kids soon... Many thanks for all your writing and thinking.
Keith Law
1:28
Steel strings. I hate the sound of nylon, and it's not going to sound like what she wants it to sound like (for pop songs). I haven't pushed her at all - when she wants to practice, we practice.
Chris
1:29
Hi Keith,  I was surprised Moises Gomez, wasn't mentioned in the Rays write-up.  Are there defensive or approach concerns that limit his upside?
Keith Law
1:29
Massive approach concerns.
SeanE
1:29
Adam Frazier still a utility guy in your mind or can he hit enough at 2b to cover for the below average defense.  Or should they just give the job to Kramer and see what he can do?
Keith Law
1:29
Utility guy.
Alex Anthopoulos
1:29
What's the one big move I can make, either now or in July, that would push the Braves from the 85-90 win range to actual world series contenders?
Keith Law
1:29
Signing Harper, certainly. I don't see Liberty doing that.
1:30
Also, aren't you Cobb County taxpayers glad you built the team that stadium to line Liberty's coffers? Much better than funding schools or improving your roads or employing more first responders.
Tom
1:30
Why wasn't Daulton Varsho on your list of D-backs prospects? What do you think his ceiling is?
Keith Law
1:30
He was on there.
Guest
1:30
I know you dont like to speculate - but do you think there has been collusion among owners or just a bad CBA?
Keith Law
1:31
I could never prove collusion, but teams all deciding to hold the line on spending at once is an awfully large coincidence.
JP
1:31
Would it be a good idea to let Tanner Houck break into MLB in the bullpen? I’m oddly optimistic of the young gun bullpen with Mata, Feltman, Lakins.
Keith Law
1:31
Yes. I still think it's the most likely outcome for him but he did show more than I expected as a starter in the last 2/3 of 2018.
Zach
1:31
Amazon pulls out of NYC. Oh no, now who can we give billions in tax breaks to?
Keith Law
1:31
Right? don't let the door hit you on your way out through the Holland Tunnel at 15 mph.
Dan
1:32
How big of a concern is Victor Robles' exit velo? He's in Tony Kemp territory in both of his MLB stints.
Keith Law
1:32
Tiny sample size.
Gabriel
1:32
Considering that I don't think draft pick trading will happen anytime soon, do you think draft pick swaps would be an easier sell? They could limit it to the same round and get rid of the "small market teams will just sell their picks to the large market team" debate
Keith Law
1:33
The reason I don't believe it'll happen is that neither side has any real incentive to push for it. CBA changes involve a gain for one side or the other, and each side pushes ideas to the center of the table that will benefit them. Nobody clearly benefits from trading of draft picks, not enough for either side to push for it.
Tom
1:33
What are your critiques of Spider-verse beyond it being silly and derivative? I usually agree with your movie reviews, but I thought that movie was very well done
Keith Law
1:33
The whole film relied way too much on violence to solve every problem. Fine in a big superhero movie, not fine in an animated movie aimed at kids.
Nacho
1:34
Curious about Nolan Watson, 1st rounder few years back for Royals. Do you see any future for him, as either reliever or sp? Thanks!
Keith Law
1:34
Non-prospect.
Saw him last year, FYI.
Matt
1:34
Considering their relatively young age and the fact that they should be in their primes for several more years do you think a team should try to sign Machado or Harper even if they don't plan on competing until say 2020 or 2021?
Keith Law
1:34
Yes, I think that's reasonable, especially for a team looking to compete in 2020. And then maybe you sell a bunch more tickets in 2019, or pick up more stadium revenue from ads and suites and sponsorships, so you can go buy another big piece in a year.
Rob
1:35
Out of curiosity, non Tatis division, who is your *favorite* Padres prospect? The one you hope most hits his potential because you want to watch that career?
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