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Klawchat 2/15/18
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Rod
1:31
Keith - I know the constant whining on Twitter can get irritating, but what’s with yoir disingenuous “I prefer to get paid for my labor” retort? Tons of writers get paid and their work isn’t behind a paywall. Just be honest, if that’s how you prefer to operate.
Keith Law
1:31
Nothing disingenuous about it. What I earn has always been a function of the revenue I generate for my employer. That's how the world works.
Todd
1:32
If healthy, Clarke Schmidt Yankees a legit top of the rotation starter one day?
Keith Law
1:32
No.
David
1:32
Hi Keith - Theo said after the Cubs signed Morrow they’d treat him like wade Davis (1 inning; come in if warmed up) treatment to keep him healthy. If this contributes to staying healthy (vs a lot of up and downs) why not make this the rule instead of the exception. Perhaps any loss in situational value could be made up in increased effectiveness and health over the course of the season.
Keith Law
1:32
I have a hypothesis that it's less the up-and-downs and more the back-to-back-to-back days that lead to reliever breakdowns. Better to throw 2 innings today and not throw again for 3 days than to throw one inning three days in a row?
Joe
1:33
Why does JD Martinez believe he is worth over $20m per season and Hosmer think he deserves 8 years?
Keith Law
1:33
Deserves? Or just wants? There's a difference; the first is a moral question, the latter a negotiating stance.
Jonathan
1:33
What would Shane McClanahan have to do this spring to be in the mix for top-5 pick?
Keith Law
1:34
He's in my top 15; that would certainly mean he's a possibility for the top 5, given how much baseball is left before the draft.
Santos
1:34
Fangraphs has Aaron Judge listed as 70 game power and 70 raw power. If he's not 80, what's the point?
Keith Law
1:34
I would rate his power at 80.
Jeff
1:34
The trait among the newly “woke” that bothers me the most is their tendency to act as if they weren’t late to the party when in fact, they arrived after the keg was already dry.
Keith Law
1:35
I like that analogy. Better than Prager's claim on gravity, certainly.
Jonathan
1:35
Orioles send Hunter Harvey and 33rd pick in the draft to the Rays in exchange for Jake Odorizzi. Who says "no?"
Keith Law
1:35
Doubt the Orioles would do that.
Phil
1:36
Which gaming conventions are you planning to attend this year? I was bummed to miss you at PAX Unplugged.
Keith Law
1:36
That and Gen Con. Origins never works bc of the draft. Always possible I'll do something semi-local if my schedule permits but nothing planned yet.
Beau
1:36
Read your top 30 this morning: how close is Cadyn Grenier to a 1st rd talent? Does he have any untapped upside?
Keith Law
1:36
I think if he hits - if he performs and answers questions about his hit tool - he'll be a first rounder.
Todd
1:36
Did Luis Severino hurt you in some way? You seemingly have hate for the guy, and back in the day, even the 90s, top flight starters used to struggle early, guys like Smoltz were terrible early in their careers. Its ok to admit your wrong Keith
Keith Law
1:37
Grow up, Todd. #your
Dr. Bob
1:38
The Cardinals signed Mike Maddux to be their pitching coach to go a new direction and away from the Dave Duncan/Derek Liliquist approach. I think it's a gutsy move, considering their success with pitchers. Do you have an opinion on Maddux?
Keith Law
1:39
He hasn't had a great track record with young pitchers so far, which would concern me given how guys like Flaherty, Weaver, maybe Hudson will all be expected to contribute in St. Louis this year.
AJ
1:39
Speaking of Sale, I know when he first came up you weren't sure of him sticking as a starter because of his arm slot (or maybe I am mis-remembering).  What has allowed him (and other lower arm slot starters) to stick?  Development of a change up?
Keith Law
1:40
Also had a grade 35 slider in college. The White Sox shifted his hand position without truly altering his slot - although it was his delivery with its high elbow in back that bothered me more than just the slot - to allow him to get on top of the ball. Within about 18 months it went from a below-average pitch to a grade 70.
Scott Boras
1:40
Can Beer be more than a DH for an American League team?
Keith Law
1:40
Probably 1b. Would help his cause if he showed he could play average defense in LF.
Nick
1:40
Surprised to see Swaggerty ranked so high.  Does he have a high enough upside to be a top 5 pick?  Do you see him as a Jacoby Ellsbury type (the good version)?
Keith Law
1:41
I wouldn't have ranked him there if I didn't think he had that upside. One of the best pure hit tools in the draft with speed and a chance to profile as a good CF.
Jay
1:41
Did you play baseball video games growing up? If so, what was your favorite?
Keith Law
1:41
Lots of them. MicroLeague, Earl Weaver, Hardball...
Kwame
1:41
Is there anything the average fan can take away from spring training or is it all propaganda?
Keith Law
1:42
It's just health. I ignore everything else. Remember the year Andy Oliver set Florida on fire? Gabe Gross hitting 8 HR in Dunedin one spring? Taijuan Walker's almost-perfect spring training for Seattle? They're facing inconsistent, uneven competition in scrimmage conditions. It's not meaningful.
Chris
1:42
Why do people get so personally offended by your views on a player like Sevy. Why not just enjoy what he has become if you're a fan of his? Life's too short.
Keith Law
1:43
I have no idea. This is the one thing that perplexes my wife about my job above all else - why people get so mad (and, often, act so childishly) about baseball opinions.
John
1:44
Pretty random request, but is there a book/article you can recommend for me to share with friends/family who don’t see the link between hundreds of years of explicitly racist policy (primarily toward African-Americans) and the gargantuan gap that exists in general/overall equality today?
Keith Law
1:44
I didn't love the documentary The 13th (on Netflix), because I thought it preached to the choir too much and was heavy-handed in a lot of places ... but maybe that's right for your audience.
Joe
1:45
Keith, do you have a general stance on manipulating service time for prospects?  Is it only worth it for the tippy top guys (Bryant, Gleyber, etc.)?  Should it vary by organization?
Keith Law
1:45
It is good business and bad for the industry. I would manipulate free agency in most cases, but wouldn't waste time playing with the super-two date.
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