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Klawchat 2/22/18
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John
1:19
I read Brian Kenny’s Ahead of the Curve. Does Smart Baseball offer any different takes or more of the same?
Keith Law
1:19
It's not the same, since I wrote it.
Jack
1:19
Would the Phillies be smart to sign Arrieta?
Keith Law
1:19
No.
Chris
1:19
Should more positionless-AAAA bat-only types be tried at catcher? I saw Mets were giving Philip Evans reps there and think it's a low-risk, high reward move.
Keith Law
1:20
I vaguely remember him trying to catch years ago, maybe as an amateur? Kind of a Tony Wolters thing? You have to have the right body, arm strength, and some athleticism to do it. And it's a ton of work.
Sean
1:20
Correct move for Detroit to go move Castellanos away from the hot corner to make room for Candelario? Not like he's a stud defensively either. But both seem to be able to hit.
Keith Law
1:20
Yeah, I think it's time to turn the page permanently on Castellanos at third.
Jay
1:20
If you know, what was the drug Whitley was suspended for, and why all the secrecy?
Keith Law
1:21
I think I know, but I don't know with enough sourcing to report. I think the secrecy is inadvertent - not a steroid, not weed or coke or something worse, so it doesn't fit neatly in MLB's buckets. (It was caffeine.)
Larry
1:21
I was a little disappointed in your Brady Singer answer last week. Did you get an update from when you last saw him in April of last year? Is the AA and stuff improved?
Keith Law
1:21
Disappointed in Singer? He's had the same arm action since high school and it hasn't changed. I'll see him tomorrow night at Miami and Kowar Saturday.
Jason
1:24
Regarding StL outfielder prospects...which would you prefer to keep and which would you prefer to trade?
Keith Law
1:24
Not counting the big leaguers? I don't think they have anyone I would HAVE to keep. If you're getting someone like Archer, you make any of them available. I happen to love Mercado and think there's more growth there, but I would trade him for sure in the right deal. I have said I think O'Neill is the most blocked, and thus the first name I'd make available.
Luke
1:24
Are the Rays really that much worse off than they were a week ago?
Keith Law
1:25
I assume this excludes Honeywell? I agree. Maybe two wins worse. Where they sit, that's essentially zero.
JC
1:25
It won't push them into a contender per se, but considering the Braves are projected to be sub replacement level in the corner OF not including Acuna, should they at least check in on Dickerson? It would also make Acuna not on the OD roster slightly less indefensible
Keith Law
1:25
If you can get Dickerson essentially for free, then yes, definitely.
Machado
1:25
How do you feel about macahdo moving to SS, doesn’t he project better as a 3B? And do you think he will live back to 3B
Keith Law
1:25
Projects very well at SS. I never thought he'd have to move - he moved for Hardy.
Chris
1:25
Sandy hinted that John Ricco could be his successor. Mets fans don't know much about him. Thoughts? (Could also easily see Omar Minaya coup with how dysfunctional they're run)
Keith Law
1:26
I know John a little, but have no experience working with him, and my understanding is he's worked mostly with the major-league side of operations there so I don't know a lot of people who've worked closely with him either.
Eric
1:26
Hi Keith,
What do you think the ceiling for Hudson Potts is this year? He really found his power in the 2nd half of 2017. Can he keep it going and crack the top 100?
Keith Law
1:26
Plate discipline/pitch recognition is (are?) his main flaw. Still just 19 this year, though.
Evan
1:26
Hey Klaw, got an Anova for Christmas and absolutely loving it. I know you've been off of the red meat, but what's your favorite use for it? Pork chops, chicken thighs? Any special recipes? Thanks for the chats!
Keith Law
1:27
Chicken thighs, five hours at 165, then sear off to crisp the skin. I call it the Chris Crawford special: little bit of chicken thighs and cold beer on a Friday night.
Jonathan
1:27
Water: Sparkling or Still?
Keith Law
1:27
Sparkling, please. (burp)
Nick
1:27
With the high washout rate of HS arms, would it be crazy for the Reds to consider moving Greene for a piece closer to the majors?  I wouldn't give him away but if he can be the centerpiece for someone like Chris Archer, for example, should the Reds pull the trigger?
Keith Law
1:28
Arms like his don't come along very often. Some risks are worth taking because the payoff is so high even if the probability is low.
Jim
1:28
...not to mention this Administration removed restrictions on people with mental illnesses buying guns...
Keith Law
1:28
Please do mention that.
Sally Fan
1:28
How many “aces” are there in the majors?  Is this a relatively stable number year to year?  How much does this play in to evaluating “ace upside” in minor leaguers?
Keith Law
1:30
I have personally defined 'ace' during my career as someone who'd be the #1 starter in half or more of the rotations in the majors in a typical year. By definition, that would center around 15, some years a few more, some a few ... fewer. I do not agree that there are 30 aces. There are 30 nominal #1s, but as the scout Abe Lincoln once said, if you call a dog's tail a leg, it's still a tail.
Jay
1:30
Thoughts on who came off the best/worst in last night's town hall?
Keith Law
1:30
Didn't watch.
John
1:30
Someone suffering from the broad catch-all "mental illness" is 5x-10x more likely to be the victim of a violent crime than to be the perpetrator depending on the study you look it. Its a red herring of an argument that people find way too compelling.
Keith Law
1:32
Analogous: Crazy evangelicals & bigots pushing trans bathroom bills, when trans people are almost 4 times more likely to be victims of violence ... oh, wait, sorry, that's 4 times more likely to be victims of POLICE violence. 47% of trans people will experience a sexual assault in their lifetimes. If there's a trans person in a public bathroom and I walk in, I'm more worried for him, not for me or any children in the facility.
Jack
1:32
All your recent amateur scouting has got me thinking - do you believe there’s anybody on the planet that throws 100 MPH+ that you’ve never heard of before? Thanks!
Keith Law
1:33
With a baseball pitcher's delivery? Doubt it. There are probably kids who can throw a rock or other object fairly hard, but 100 mph+ is a combination of a genetic gift and years of throwing.
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