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Klawchat 2/27/20
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Tank
1:15
Not really as a blanket statement towards leaning towards safety in a prospect overall, just a specific instance here: am I wrong for being more confident in Gigliotti being an MLB regular in some form than that Wilmington trio (Pratto, Melendez, Matias)?
Keith Law
1:16
I don't see the path for Gigliotti to be a regular right now.
Greg
1:16
Is an economy-tanking coronavirus outbreak the thing that might actually lead to Trump losing? And if so... worth it?
Keith Law
1:16
I don't think anything would contribute as much to a Trump loss as a down economy, but I could never say the deaths of a few thousand Americans from coronavirus is a cost 'worth' paying to remove anyone from office.
1:17
I do think a disastrous federal response to a pandemic would also contribute to a Democrat win.
Paul
1:17
If Hosmer was a FA, what type of contract would he get? (Lol)
Keith Law
1:17
Less than 2 and $20MM.
Steve
1:17
What do you think of Patrick Weigel? Good bullpen arm for 2020?
Keith Law
1:18
Probably. NL East reports on Tuesday.
SeanE
1:18
I know you are skeptical that Oneil Cruz can stick at SS due to his height.   The Pirates seem intent on keeping him there...at least for now. Considering he is already at AA level  (and could see Indy this year)at what point do the Pirates have to make that call?
Keith Law
1:18
This would be the year for me. Maybe they could hold off one more year but why?
Jason
1:18
Most likely scenario for Trevor Larnach given his defensive limitations - (1) doesn't hit enough to play enough every day; (2) is a league-average hitter for a corner OF but gives back most of his value defensively; (3) is an above-average hitter so his team lives with his limitations in the field
Keith Law
1:18
somewhere between 2 and 3.
Jim
1:18
Keith, Having lots of fun reading through the team-by-team writeups.  A couple of questions:  is there a particular reason you stopped including "Others of Note" after Boston's?  And could you expand on your "willingness to compete" comment on the White Sox's Matt Thompson?  Thanks!
Keith Law
1:19
I didn't stop including them. I'm looking at Cleveland's right now, for example.
EL
1:19
Besides Balazovic, any other Canadian baseball prospects I should follow?
Keith Law
1:19
Dasan Brown comes to mind.
Zach
1:19
Does Lodolo make a big jump in your ranking this year if he has a good year? Seems like ++ control and a good frame to develop.
Keith Law
1:19
Not about a good or bad year but about what he is. If he somehow adds velocity, sure, but I don't think he has the frame for that.
JC
1:19
Isn't it strange on a conceptual level how non-industry people can argue with your rankings? Granted you can't just fall into the appeal to authority trap, but other than comparing it to other lists or looking at a prospect's fangraphs page for 5 minutes, what exposure do 99.5% of complaining people have to the prospects?
Keith Law
1:20
Nothing. A local journalist decided to question my integrity this morning about a player he's obviously never seen and who he said won an award that doesn't exist.
Whatever, it's part of the job, everyone's an expert on everything now.
Rick Delaney
1:20
I'm midway through Gaddis, "A Frolic of His Own." You've read him?
Keith Law
1:20
I read The Recognitions but I can't say I really understood it.
Wait, what?
1:20
Do you think that a large part of Manfred trying to cover up the Astros scandal has a lot to do with preventing other team's schemes from reaching the public?
Keith Law
1:21
I think a large part of Manfred's response to the Astros/Red Sox is to try to prevent the other teams doing this shit from getting out.
And other teams were doing it. Not a lot, but others.
Kevin
1:21
I remember years ago you mentioned you that Severino was a bullpen arm most likely because of his violent delivery. Do you think moving forward after his recovery, should he go into the bullpen or keep starting?
Keith Law
1:22
Really depends on the injury and the rehab, no? He was hurt before the elbow tear, so this isn't like, say, Michael Kopech, who had TJ but didn't have a previous injury and will likely just step right back into starting.
eric
1:22
did you read quinn norton's post about life after being "canceled?" i think the idea of that story is really interesting, but hers just read like "NOT FAIR! I'M A GOOD PERSON (even though i befriended nazis and made offensive homophobic and racist jokes)!"
Keith Law
1:23
No, after how she handled that controversy, I'm not that interested in anything she has to say.
Jack
1:23
Just to confirm - even at a prospect level, there's nothing at all valuable when looking at box scores from spring training games, correct?
Keith Law
1:23
Correct.
Appa Yip Yip
1:23
If Alejandro Kirk does improve his conditioning, could he be an everyday catcher, or he likely a backup C/DH who can rake, like a short Evan Gattis?
Keith Law
1:23
Gattis could never really catch. Kirk can.
JSD
1:23
There is a thread on twitter asking White Sox fans if they would be pleased if Luis Robert's career was similar to Rickey Henderson's career.  Most 'fans' said no.  How is it that people don't realize just how good Rickey was -- it's not the long ago.  Is it because he hung around and was basically an average player at the age of 42/43? Really, what gives?!
Keith Law
1:24
That was astonishing. If you don't recognize Rickey is one of the 15-20 best players ever then, fine, just don't participate in that kind of discussion.
Michael
1:24
I don't think there has been a good explanation as to why "Carona" virus is worse than the bad flu that happened a couple of years ago.  Any insight?
Keith Law
1:24
The virus itself (or the resulting illness) isn't worse. The incubation period is longer, however, so people are spreading the virus before they know they're sick, which makes it much more likely to become a pandemic.
Andres
1:25
As a Mets fan, what should I expect out of Wacha? Maybe a 2-WAR season?
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