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Klawchat 2/28/19
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Keith Law
2:13
Are they an investment? I'm not sure the tuition for four years at a private university has a good enough ROI to quality. The tuition for the same degree at a public university might be the investment; the marginal cost of a typical private university would be an expense.
David
2:13
What is your opinion on the Francona's son vs Kapler issue?
Keith Law
2:13
That is a personal matter and I don't see how or why I would get involved.
Jesse B
2:13
How good of hitter was Michael Lorenzen coming out of college?
Keith Law
2:13
Not good at all.
John
2:13
Thoughts on Miles Mikolas extension?
Keith Law
2:14
Could be great if 2018 was real. Surprising commitment based on one year of performance, although his underlying numbers were all pretty positive.
Robert
2:14
Adley feels like a pretty solid #1 talent. Better than recent years but perhaps not generational. How do you think he stacks up talent wise to recent 1s?
Keith Law
2:14
I'll see him in a few weeks, but I feel like he's below the last couple of 1-1 picks.
Aaron C.
2:14
Previously, you've stated you're "in" on Matt Chapman and "out" on Franklin Barreto from  a growth/development standpoint. Standing pat on Matt Olson? Is this kind of...all there is? (Which is fine...I guess.)
Keith Law
2:15
He's fine. Would be surprised if there's more bat there, and I think his glove isn't quite as good as his reputation.
Robert
2:15
Do you have any hope Quantril will see his stuff return? What if he ditched the breaker and became similar to Paddack if less command. Could he start?
Keith Law
2:15
Needs more stuff, period. Nothing like Paddack, unfortunately.
Jeremiah
2:15
Hey Keith...love your work. Where do you think the Padres start Tatis jr this year...double aa or triple aaa? Thx
Keith Law
2:15
Triple-A. Already has more than 4 months at AA.
JT
2:15
*Last year* was the delay in Vladdy's service time. This year is cruel and unusual.
Keith Law
2:16
Agreed. He should have been up in May or at worst June. I said on the BBTN podcast today that if MLB had an incentive for noncontending teams to win now - such as better draft position, more international money, or increased revenue sharing - he would have been up.
DaveAlden53
2:17
In looking at prospect listings from various sources, there seems to be more variation between than in past years.  I'm not going to ask why you're higher or lower on particular players.  (I'm married so don't need any more snark.)  But will instead ask whether you think increased data (launch angle, exit velo, spin rate), new focus on mechanical changes (DriveLine, etc.), and evolving analytical tools (DRC+, etc.) is causing a divergence of opinions.
Keith Law
2:18
Maybe? I use what the teams use, to the extent that I'm able. Never heard a team mention DRC+, for example, but spin rate, exit velo, extension come up quite often.
Robert
2:18
How far behind is Luis Campusano from a guy like Melendez?
Keith Law
2:18
I think I'd have Campusano ahead of Melendez. Did I rank them the other way somewhere?
Josh
2:18
Do you think the A’s will offer Kyler Murray an MLB contract over and above what he would get in the NFL Draft, like Rosenthal suggested? Seems like all of Murray’s actions have provided great leverage, but at the end of the day the money talks. If you offered him $35mm over 7 years, he’d bank that before theoretically hitting arbitration (4 option years and 3 pre-arb provided the CBA remains largely the same).
Keith Law
2:18
If I'm the A's I just walk away. He's not interested in baseball. Don't throw good money after bad.
Jen Carroll
2:19
Keith - have you followed the rather precipitous fall of Mike Isabella's empire?  The Post did a pretty lurid look at his gross behavior that should be of no surprise to anyone who watched him on Top Chef ("no offense, but a girl shouldn't beat me!", even if she's freakin' Eric Ripert's Chef de Cuisine, you tool?). But even with all that, I'm a little shocked at how quickly it all came tumbling down.
Keith Law
2:19
He just came to mind the other day when I saw a photo of some other past TC contestants - he's completely vanished. Well-earned, though. So much toxic behavior in restaurant kitchens, likely more revelations to come.
Ken
2:19
when you worked for the BJays - did you and did you enjoy living in Toronto?
Keith Law
2:20
I never lived there, but spent a lot of time there and loved the city. Had moving cross-border been easier I would happily have moved.
Gabe
2:20
To be a major league regular, what type of line do you think Bobby Dalbec will need to produce? Will a 220/330/450 line get it done?
Keith Law
2:20
Don't think that he gets there. That's a very rosy OBP scenario.
TK
2:20
Another good reason you left Arizona: lawmakers last week advanced not one, not two but THREE bills that would make it easier to get vaccine exemptions and would require doctors to provide information on "potential harms" of vaccines ... Ugh.
Keith Law
2:20
The population isn't that insane, but the legislature is.
An angry Mets fan
2:20
Given that the two biggest contracts given out this offseason (Arenado and Machado) came from franchises that wouldn't be considered financial juggernauts, can we start replacing "Team X can't afford this player" with "Team X doesn't want to afford this player"?
Keith Law
2:21
We should. Too many writers carrying water for owners, though.
Alex
2:21
Deranged Braves fan with a question that isn't about the Braves. In my view, would it make strategic sense for the players union to negotiate with owners about the share of revenue that goes to players?
Keith Law
2:21
Yes, I feel like this is inevitable. I think it's worked in the NBA, no? At least for sustained labor peace and a positive relationship between players and the league?
barbeach
2:21
Klaw:  Thanks so much for the chat.  Luke Voit or Greg Bird? Could Voit be for real?
Keith Law
2:21
I'd go with an outside option for 1b.
addoeh
2:21
I was pleasantly surprised to see Quinn Priester in your initial top 30 draft prospects ranking.  How big of a disadvantage does he have given his season starts much later than prospects in warmer climates?
Keith Law
2:22
He'll do fine - Kelenic went 6th, from the same general area, and with pitchers it's even easier because you can do a relatively complete evaluation off one start, seeing stuff, size, mechanics, command, athleticism in one shot.
quack quack
2:22
Duck legs.  Where do you get them?  I can get whole duck, but I have to special order leg quarters and pay an arm and (ha ha) a leg for them, $14/lb.  It’s cheaper to buy whole duck and cut it up, so why not just braise the breast quarters too as long as you’re at it?
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