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Klawchat 3/15/19
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John
1:13
Have you seen/heard of any improvement in Chris Paddacks curveball?
Keith Law
1:13
No. I don't think it will ever improve in a significant way.
Dale
1:13
So AZ spring training is far far superior to FL spring training. Baseball, weather, food, girls, driving distance to all the parks. Wouldn’t you agree ?
Keith Law
1:14
Yes. I like how you slipped "girls" in there as if that's a major criterion, by the way. But weather, food, proximity, access to non-baseball culture are all there.
Jim
1:14
Mostly i was concerned about the 3 batter min... seems like using an AX for a scalpel problem
Keith Law
1:14
I would agree. Why not a two-batter minimum?
Thomas
1:14
Would you have the same career right now if you had gone to Arizona State instead of Harvard?
Keith Law
1:14
It seems unlikely. There is no doubt that having the two schools I attended on my resume has helped me in my professional life and career. That's why this scandal is a big deal, IMO.
Dale
1:15
So a guy on the Royals is starting opening day that I’ve never heard of. Their weak division might be the o my thing to save them from being all time bad.
Keith Law
1:16
I think it's amazing that a rule 5 pick (you're talking about Brad Keller, I assume) is their Opening Day starter in his second year. I don't think he's as good as his 2018 ERA implies, but that's a solid find in the usually barren rule 5 draft.
Will
1:16
With the new 3-batter rule, will teams now consider grooming some would-be starter prospects into middle inning guys?
Keith Law
1:17
That's already happening. More likely that potential LHR in the draft get hurt, unless they show a weapon for RHB.
Julian
1:17
When will your next draft projection be?
Keith Law
1:17
If you mean a ranking, like the one I just did, probably in mid-April. I won't project the first round until May because I have always maintained that anything before that cannot be sufficiently sourced.
Steve
1:17
General scouting question for you -- can seeing a player in one game dramatically change your opinion of them? Say you came in thinking someone had 40 power but then you see them in their first game of the season hit a dinger 425 feet. Does that happen often where what you thought you were going to see one thing and it's a totally different player?
Keith Law
1:18
Sort of? But maybe not for power. Velocity comes to mind, or even just seeing a pitch I didn't think a guy had before.
Or just seeing that someone's body is really different.
Thomas
1:18
Hypothetically speaking, if you have an OF with three all-stars and then a young stud in waiting like Eloy, couldn't you just keep him on the 40 man for years until the stars aren't as good?  Thinking the old FL outfield with Stanton, Yelich and Ozuna, there wouldn't have been any room for an Eloy.
Keith Law
1:19
I think the player would have a grievance after some extended period in AAA where, presumably, he's demolishing the league.
Jim
1:19
Do you see the Yankees grabbing another SP with the latest Severino news?
Keith Law
1:19
I would absolutely support them signing Gio.
Will they? I don't know. But I think he fits.
Justin
1:19
Can Dakota Hudson eventually be a league average starter? Or do you think he is bullpen bound? Sounds like STL prefers him over Gant for the 5th starter role.
Keith Law
1:19
Pen guy for me. Limited history of staying healthy, very reliant on that cutter.
Dale
1:19
Did you see Jeters comments saying paraphrase: “many Fans come to the game and leave the stadium not even knowing or remembering who won”
Keith Law
1:19
I did. That's probably true for me, but I don't attend games as a fan.
PhillyJake
1:19
Cole Tucker arrival in the majors?
Keith Law
1:20
Could debut this year but I don't see impact.
Gus
1:20
Hello KLaw, The one new rule that I don't understand the most from either management or the union side is why limit rosters after September 1?  Isn't it the best interest of the clubs to give as many minor league players possible exposure to the MLB environment?
Keith Law
1:20
They haven't been calling up many guys for years now. I would have liked a limit a bit higher, maybe 30-32, but nobody was calling up the entire 40-man roster like they did in the 1980s. Too much expense and particularly risk if the player came up and got hurt in September or in major-league camp the following March.
Scott C
1:21
Donaldson was a worthwhile move, but could you have imagined a worse offseason for the Braves? What are they doing?
Keith Law
1:21
Standing pat and betting on internal improvements. Not a terrible strategy, but I think there was some low-hanging fruit in free agency they could have chased.
Scott Upham
1:21
Tampa's injury recovering Jose DeLeon was once one of the top pitching prospects in baseball.  What is the best outcome for him now?
Keith Law
1:22
He was a solid prospect, not one of the tops; I think there's league-average starter potential, but it will depend on how his fastball plays. There was some concern it was a little light for him as a starter.
section 34
1:22
Which pitchers historically would have been hurt the most by the 3-batter rule? Jesse Orosco came to mind immediately but he could pitch to righties until the very end.
Keith Law
1:22
Tony Fossas.
Mac
1:22
How much does Vaughn have to hit to justify being picked ahead of Witt Jr or Abrams? Does he have to be the best hitting 1B in baseball for 5+ years?
Keith Law
1:23
There's an implicit assumption there about Witt Jr/Abrams that I'm not sure we entirely agree on, but you omit the other benefit Vaughn might offer: proximity. He's in the majors in 12-18 months. Maybe sooner if he's really this good right now. (I'll see him in a week.) A win today is worth more than a win in five years to contending clubs - and, I believe, in the trade market.
Pat D
1:23
I'm trying to eat better and lose weight.  I need to broaden my horizons in terms of what I eat, and therefore need to learn to cook better.  Are there any dishes you can recommend that are either way
Keith Law
1:24
Center your meals on the plants, not the proteins. I think the American diet has always started with the question of what meat we were cooking, and then what sides go with that (steak, therefore potatoes and something green). Instead, start with vegetable dishes and work 'inward.' Ottolenghi's Simple and Hugh Acheson's The Broad Fork are great vegetable (but not strictly vegetarian) cookbooks.
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