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Klawchat 3/21/19
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Keith Law
1:02
I need for you to be reasonable. Klawchat.
barbeach
1:02
KLaw thanks as always for the chat.  What are your thoughts on Gio Gonzalez...does he have anything left?
Keith Law
1:03
More than that. I think he can be a league-average starter for someone. I find it very hard to believe his claim that he didn't receive *any* offers before yesterday. Maybe he didn't get any offers he thought were fair - I can believe that, in this market - but he would make at least 20 rotations better.
Bay of Puigs
1:03
hey Keith, can you please suggest a few NL starting pitchers who you expect will take a big step forward this year?
Keith Law
1:03
My breakouts column went up this morning: https://klaw.me/2Ctw1us Anyone I feel like that about is in the column.
Kid Koala
1:03
Is this the year Tyler Glasnow puts it all together?
Keith Law
1:03
I would bet no.
Richard
1:03
So it looks like Alex Reyes starts his season in the Cardinals’ pen. Think he can still develop into a Top 50 starter this year, or is health too great an obstacle?
Keith Law
1:04
I see two obstacles: The fact that he has barely pitched the last few years, which would make it unlikely he can jump to 100-120 innings without incident, and a delivery that seems to result in him getting hurt.
Ridley
1:04
With Miley and McHugh in the rotation, Peacock likely joining them and Whitley around in midseason, do you think Josh James can still be an impact starter in Houston this year? (Or ever)?
Keith Law
1:04
Yes, this year and going forward. I'd much rather start James than Peacock.
Moe Mentum
1:04
Besides baseball, what was the last professional sporting event you attended? How about attended *and enjoyed* if that’s a different answer?
Keith Law
1:05
I don't remember. I went to a hockey game in Toronto in 2003 or so. That might be it. Even if I'm not working, being at a professional sporting event feels like I'm at work.
Scotty Jetpack
1:05
Hi Keith - do you see Kingery as anything more than a super-utility player moving forward?  Based on his power/speed combo and success in the minors, I was expecting more, and most likely so were the Phillies' brass when they handed him 6/$24M (with $65 total possible) before he even made his MLB debut.  He was one of the worst position players in the MLB last year statistically, but due to his versatility, he's currently the backup SS, 2B, and 3B and can also play OF in a pinch, which is valuable.  But as long as we have Cesar Hernandez at 2B, I don't see where he fits everyday.  Thoughts?
Keith Law
1:05
He doesn't fit everyday on the current Phillies but I think he's going to end up a regular. He's a ++ defender at second.
Ken
1:05
Chris Russo took a lame shot at you the other day on the radio saying what in the world did you know about sports in reference to a caller who called saying that the Angels were improving with the 7th ranked farm system.  Thoughts?
Keith Law
1:06
I think you wasted your time listening to him. Go watch paint dry instead.
Alex
1:06
Best book for dealing with anxiety you've ever read?
Keith Law
1:06
Fully Present.
Perd Hapley
1:06
K-Law I have a question for you and my question is this.  When does the international signing period begun and end...for those who callers who don't know an international signing period is what?
Keith Law
1:06
Starts July 2nd, although the main prospects have agreements in place long before that, as much as two years before.
Craig Kimbrel
1:07
At this point, am I likely to get a bigger contract if I wait to sign until after the draft in June?
Keith Law
1:07
I don't think so. The draft pick was never the issue; it's the demand for a six-year deal plus the poor performance in October.
Ivan
1:07
Given the 2019 rotation uncertainty, should Atlanta sign Dallas Keuchel to a 1 year deal?
Keith Law
1:07
It wouldn't hurt them but they have so much internal pitching depth I think they benefit less from adding Keuchel than most contenders would.
Alan
1:07
Hunter Bishop. Give us the deets! The helium legit? Is he a CF long-term? Should we expect a jump in your rankings?
Keith Law
1:08
Not a CF. Clearly a first-rounder right now.
Ben
1:08
What are you thoughts on what the Tiger's should look to do at pick 5? Thanks
Keith Law
1:08
Best player available. That's probably a college position player - I don't think there's a college starter in the top ten, and there might be just one HS pitcher up there.
Jarry
1:08
Thoughts on Ichiro's two game farewell?  I know they won so it didn't hurt them, but offensively he's at a Tebow level right now.  Seems crazy that they did this.
Keith Law
1:09
Crazy how? Hall of Famer on both sides of the ocean gets to play his final games in his home country, with the MLB team where he spent most of his career, in two games that really don't mean anything to Seattle since they're not contending.
Zac
1:09
Eloy Jimenez extension good or bad? Will this be the new norm for teams to get 8 years of control?
Keith Law
1:09
Good for him, good for the team (with some risk), perhaps not great for players as a whole, but how could you tell any player to turn down that money when he has yet to earn a single big-league paycheck?
Dr. Bob
1:10
What do you think of Fangraphs incorporation of pitch framing into catcher's WAR? Yadier Molina now moves up to 13th all time. He is in the negative on offense, but has the highest defensive numbers in history. Does this change the debate?
Keith Law
1:11
It doesn't change the debate, although it was funny how many BFIBs seemed to think it did. This isn't new data; it is a combination of data we already had. I said on Twitter, though, that I think Fangraphs made a colossal mistake in doing this. You can no longer use their WAR to compare catchers from this era to those in previous eras - was Johnny Bench a great framer, with his gigantic hands? Fisk? Carter? Maybe one of them was terrible, too, and we have no idea.
Zac
1:11
Are Michael Fulmers best years behind him?
Keith Law
1:11
I hope not.
Sean
1:11
Is durability in position players a real thing? Seems like injuries are randomly distributed and you can't predict future games played based on prior injury history, but not sure which side the data supports, do you have any insights?
Keith Law
1:12
Yes. Staying healthy is a skill for position players. For pitchers, though, I don't think we know much at all; by the time we can say a pitcher is durable his durability may be past tense.
Devin's Cow
1:12
Hi Keith, please moooove this question to the top of your queue: what are your thoughts on these early regular season games in Japan? The week delay between these games and the rest of the opening days seems odd and sort of jarring. These feel more like international exhibition games, especially with the crazy early start times in the US.
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