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Klawchat 3/7/19
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Keith Law
1:55
Very fair. I voted Republican for a while because of such issues, and because I didn't care enough about social policies. I care more about those now - as I should have all along - and as you said, the GOP no longer stands for small government, lower taxes, or transparency, and they stand for reducing regulations without regard to societal costs and benefits.
SEC Guy
1:56
so trading picks is (mostly) not allowed, but could Baltimore accept cash considerations (or even a player) from KC to pass on a guy?  Say for example KC offers Baltimore Yefri Del Rosario to pass on Adley (setting aside whether this is a good deal).  Could Baltimore send the trade to the commissioner's office as "for future considerations" and effectively trade one draft spot like that?
Keith Law
1:56
Illegal. Good way to get smacked like Atlanta did.
Jonathan
1:56
Chances on Jarrett Parker cracking the Angels' roster? Career 112 wRC+ (in 382 PAs) and his approach this spring has been great (7 BBs and opp-approach with power).
Keith Law
1:58
Gotta flag you twice for bad use of wRC+. His career figure is badly skewed by a tiny sample in 2015 where he hit 6 homers in 52 PA; since then his wRC+ is under 100, in most of his career sample. And his limited major league time has also been skewed by platooning - he's a LHB who's faced LHP only about 20% of his PA. On top of that, who cares what he's done in ten spring training games?
Cartoons Plural
1:58
Aaron Boone said that he's not going to start the season with 2 1B bc he'll have a 3 man bench, why haven't they already cut bait with Ellsbury and Bird?
Keith Law
1:59
Ellsbury isn't his call - that's the GM's. Bird they may just cut at the end of spring training if Voit is the 1b and they can't find a trade target for Bird (some bad team without a DH should take a shot at him).
Tom
1:59
Assuming the D-backs get reasonably good value out of their many early draft picks this year, where could their org ranking end up in 2020? Top 5?
Keith Law
1:59
Top 5 is fair.
PhillyJake
1:59
Whole Duck:  Spatchecock,  indirect heat, pan with water underneath the duck to catch fat.  Any standard sauce will work.
Keith Law
1:59
Interesting. I would assume this would overcook the breasts.
Adam
1:59
Any thoughts on the final season of Thrones?
Keith Law
2:00
Yes, glad it's ending so I don't have to hear about it any more. I hated the first book and never watched the show.
Ytics
2:00
I live among Reds fans, and I've never seen a group of people so hyped for the possibility of an 80-82 season. A colleague told me "if (8 or 9 separate things) break right, we could be .500 this year!" Makes me wish they'd traded Senzel and Trammell for Kluber. It'd be the baseball equivalent of blowing your savings on a coked-up weekend in Vegas.
Keith Law
2:00
Was it worth trading two valuable prospects to LA in pursuit of that goal? I don't think so.
Cartoons Plural
2:00
Jasson Dominguez has gotten Wander Franco-level hype, have you any thoughts on the future Yankees prospect?
Keith Law
2:00
If he's getting that kind of hype it's not warranted. But I haven't heard that either.
Mike
2:00
do you watch the NCAA basketball tournament (March Madness) and do you fill out a bracket?
Keith Law
2:00
No and no.
Matthew
2:00
He's stagnated recently, but do you see a future everyday regular in Lucas Erceg?
Keith Law
2:01
Has the ability, but needs to make real adjustments to his approach. Discussed that in the Brewers org report.
Jeff
2:01
Are you planning on seeing Luis Robert next week?  As a White Sox fan, I hope you're not!
Keith Law
2:01
I'm going to try to see him when I get to Arizona and I expect he will be out with a pulled sphincter or something.
Brian
2:02
Can you explain why which position a player plays can impact their bat? I've read/heard numerous times that if a player moves to a different position it can impact his bat? I don't quite understand why that would be the case. I love baseball but never played so I was curious why. Thanks!
Keith Law
2:02
Some positions require more work in-game and can lead to wear and tear; asking a player to play a new position, or one he plays poorly, can require more work pregame/between games so that he might be slightly more worn down when hitting.
Grant
2:02
Keith, have you ever thought about posting your reading activity on Goodreads? I'd be interested to see what you're reading. I'm always looking to expand my TBR list.
Keith Law
2:03
I mention 90% of the books I read in my posts here - I end every book review with a note on what I'm reading next. I'm not giving my content to Goodreads for them to monetize.
Ryan
2:03
I have ESPN+ and The Athletic now. If I want to share something from there with a friend that doesn’t have it, is it okay for me to copy and paste? Also when a writer copies your write up of a prospect and shares it in their own article, is that legal even if they fully credit you?
Keith Law
2:04
Copying and pasting something of mine online, such as in a forum or on reddit, is both not okay and a copyright violation. Quoting me in part while discussing a player, or even just discussing my list/column, is fine, and as long as you link to me I appreciate it. I'm not worried about what people copy/paste into emails. Thank you for asking, though - I appreciate that you've thought about this.
P.J.
2:05
Rio Ruiz is getting good reviews in Orioles camp. He made one of your top 100 lists a few years back. Any chance he’s a late bloomer and an average player at 3B this season for the Birds?
Keith Law
2:05
I really doubt it. Hasn't performed in the high minors at all. When he shines, though, he really shows you all he can.
WAR
2:05
Does this mean fWAR is better than rWAR? Is it just a preference, or are you just saying cherry-picking is bad? I believe the big difference between the two for position players is defense, but I've never been able to pick up on the industry's preference.
Keith Law
2:05
Regarding Harper, that's not what I was saying. I meant that when the two differ that much, you can't cherrypick the worse of the two and wave it around like it's definitive or even directionally correct.
Spencer
2:06
Related to some research I've been doing: if you have three players with identical 8 hit tools, how many HR’s should you expect in a full season if their respective power tools are a 2, 5, and 8?
Keith Law
2:06
This is too abstract to answer.
J
2:06
What is the one ridiculously overplayed classic rock song you NEVER tire of?
Keith Law
2:07
The truth is I've tired of just about all of them, but Boston's "More Than a Feeling" has held up pretty well.
Phillies Prospects
2:09
Hi Keith - I am the one who asked you last week about people reposting your work.  I am happy to make a comment in support, wanted to make sure this is the type of thing that would bother you.
Keith Law
2:09
Thank you, I just emailed the site in question.
Tucci Mane
2:09
Socialism involves the redistribution of the means of production to the workers, eliminating the non-working owners or investors.  The social welfare state is public schools, social security, providing health insurance, etc.  We should stop conflating the two things.
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