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Keith Law
2:03
Now I've lost the plot ... Klawchat.
Pj
2:03
Syndergaard really has no comparables.  In your opinion, what are the odds that he can stay healthy with his current arsenal (93 mph slider!) for 200 ip?
Keith Law
2:05
Lack of comparables is the real issue. He hasn't had a serious arm injury so far, and he actually doesn't seem to throw with that much effort given his velocity. 200 IP may not be the right milestone given usage patterns, but he's gone 179.2 and 183 already; I see no reason he can't do that regularly.
Frank
2:05
Who do you think wins the 4th outfield job in STL? Oneill, Bader, Garcia, or free agent yet to be signed?
Keith Law
2:05
Bader, I'd guess. Not sure signing an OF makes any sense at all for them.
Todd Boss
2:06
Fun question: I don't believe we've yet had a player from the 2016 draft debut in the majors.  Who is your pick for the first one to debut at this point?
Keith Law
2:06
Austin Hays debuted last year. I think he was the first ... but of guys who haven't debuted so far, I'd guess Puk or Senzel for the next one.
Damian
2:06
Hi Keith. Realistically eta for an everyday middle infield of Tatis Jr and Urias? Also, over/under average 3 WAR for Hosmer in his first 5 years?
Keith Law
2:07
Under for Hosmer. Tatis may still move off SS; I've called that an even money proposition, which I think is more optimistic than the industry consensus (which is that he's going to get so big he'll move to 3b or RF). I think Urias debuts this August or so. Tatis more likely 2019.
Perplexed
2:07
Need your help...I love reading a writer's baseball analysis, but every chat he gets off topic and his heart bleeds all over my screen and I end up having to replace it. Your advice?
Keith Law
2:08
Seems like this is your own fault. You should make better decisions.
Florida Project for Best Pic
2:08
How do we get the Braves to flip-flop Albies and Gohara's diets?
Keith Law
2:08
Ironically, they're both pretty big drinkers. That would be my bigger concern.
Dan
2:08
Your fellow coffee connoisseur and baseball junkie, Andy Baggarly, wrote a great article on Chris Stratton's curveball and the amazing spin rate he generates on it. Not sure if it really means it's a great pitch or not, but regardless, do you see Chris Stratton pitching like a solid 4/5? Is there enough stuff, control, command in that arm?
Keith Law
2:09
I'll check that piece out. He had a tremendous slider in college at Miss St, but his arm speed dropped off after he signed and hasn't really come back. A 5, sure, a 4, maaaaaybe.
Jake Burger
2:09
Does this adversely affect my ability to stick at third?
Keith Law
2:10
TBD. Either you'll have no loss in mobility at all, in which case you're still a work in progress, or you'll lose some mobility and then you'll have to go to first. I don't think there's an in between here. But we won't know anything till you're back. (Get well soon.)
Jay
2:10
Over/under 10 pitchers on your top 100 list to succumb to TJ this year? One and counting.
Keith Law
2:10
Under. I'll go with 7.5 as my o/u line.
Jay
2:10
Thoughts on the whole Acuna wearing his cap sideways thing?
Keith Law
2:11
MLB needs to stop asking Latin players to act less Latin. This is fucking stupid - show up on time, play hard, I don't care if you wear your pants backwards like Kris Kross.
The Sloth
2:11
Upside for Alex Speas if he can ever locate?
Keith Law
2:11
It's #1 stuff and athleticism but I don't think there's even a 5% chance of this.
Perry O. Dontist
2:11
You've traditionally given little value to relievers as prospects.  I understand your thinking on that point, but as the relief role seems to be evolving, if a club tried to develop an 'Andrew Miller type' reliever (and he had success) would you think more highly of him as a prospect than you ordinarily would any minor league reliever?
Keith Law
2:11
Yes, if said pitcher showed he could handle the greater workload in fewer games (50 G 100 IP, not 65 G 70 IP).
G Dubya
2:12
What are your thoughts on the Twins signing Logan Morrison instead of another starting pitcher?
Keith Law
2:12
Solid value for them, gives them OBP they could use. Not sure it's "instead" given the cost.
Dunkin' Donuts
2:12
What is the chance Braves OF prospect Drew Waters becomes a star player?
Keith Law
2:12
Very low.
Perry O. Dontist
2:12
Thoughts on Mike Jeffcoat's email?
Keith Law
2:15
For readers who missed it, the Texas Wesleyan coach emailed a potential recruit from Colorado and said he doesn't take HS players from that state because too many of them test positive for weed - pro tip, stop testing for weed, it's irrelevant to baseball and mostly harmless - and then made a crack about blaming "liberal" politicians. (Drug decriminalization isn't liberal so much as libertarian; it has the conservative angle of decreasing government resources spent chasing, prosecuting, and imprisoning weed offenders, while also generating revenues from a new sin tax.) The school has already said it was inappropriate and they seem to be taking corrective actions. That said, if any coach is dumb enough to say he's ignoring an entire state - not Alaska - then it'll show in the standings, won't it?
dave
2:15
I asked about this last week. What's the opposition to requiring a pitcher to face two batters to improve pace of play?
Keith Law
2:16
Basically kills off specialist relievers. And with most players showing modest platoon splits, you might end up with so many unfavorable matchups for the team in the field that the gains are cancelled out by more men on base. (That's speculation.) I'd prefer cutting time between pitching changes myself.
Lyle
2:16
Given how empty the cupboard is, if the Mariners don't manage to pull off a playoff berth this year as the Cano-Cruz-Felix era winds down, how long will it realistically be before they can come up with a playoff berth in the future? 5 years? 7? 10? 50?
Keith Law
2:16
I think Houston has shown what you can do in 5 years if you tear it all down to the studs.
CB
2:16
What person who should already have been shown the door will cost the Angels more wins this year: Mike Scioscia or Albert Pujols?
Keith Law
2:16
Pujols.
Andy
2:16
How much of a mental Rolodex do you have of players? If I ask something about Ben Rortvedt or Austin Gomber (to pick two random nowhere near top 100 guys) do you know exactly about them, or do you have to go to a spreadsheet to find your notes on them?
Keith Law
2:17
I know those guys offhand, but I don't know every player you might throw at me; I could probably answer you on a few hundred guys in the minors, then right now maybe 40-50 guys in this year's draft class. I don't use a spreadsheet, though. Too hard to read quickly.
Andy
2:17
When you read to your daughter with voices do you just resort to the accents/characterizations from the movie? I have a hard time remembering the voice for a character if it's different than the movie accent.
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