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Klawchat 4/1/21
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Todd Boss
1:48
Speaking of kids who graduated early to run off to college: Nate Savino and UVA.  He was 1st round talent projected as a rising HS senior ... now he's UVA's mid-week starter?  If he was that good ... how is he unable to beat out middling upperclassmen starters who are currently leading UVA to a losing record?  Was he over-rated coming out of HS?  Has he regressed?
Keith Law
1:49
I didn't see him on Saturday, but I don't think he's regressed as badly as Mike Vasil, who might have lost $2 million by telling teams not to draft him.
section 34
1:49
Keith, on "service time manipulation" -- it seems to me that smart teams would do it not just to maximize profits (though that's also a benefit), but to keep players for an extra full season. Not every team is the Dodgers or Mets and can afford to pay the market-rate salary of a superstar player. Do you disagree?
Keith Law
1:50
Yes, I do. Sending guys to the minors who don't need to go there stops their development. It might cost you a win or more in the majors that year. And it's always based on the assumption that you know what a player will be worth six or seven years into the future. Any such projections should have enormous error bars around them, at the least.
Nitelight62
1:51
I think a 14 year Major League career qualifies as not missing.....
Keith Law
1:51
Jefferies was supposed to be the best prospect in baseball, or close to it, and he was done as a regular at age 27, with 19 career WAR.
danaez
1:52
You seem to balance a wide variety of interests in addition to your family and professional lives. Are you just naturally good at compartmentalizing? I struggle with it and too often end up not getting much done because I’m overwhelmed/distracted.
Keith Law
1:53
I do compartmentalize, but I'm also fortunate in that I can integrate family and some of those interests - my wife is just as avid a movie fan (and Oscar completist) as I am. She and my daughter both enjoy board games and I think my stepdaughters are headed that way (I concede some possible influence in that department). My wife has also encourage to try or re-try activities I didn't think I'd enjoy, like skiing or running. So a lot of those outside interests become family activities too.
Merrick
1:53
Hi Keith! Was fun seeing Andre Jackson and Michael Grove throw back-to-back innings recently after learning about them from your Dodgers list. Both appear to have exciting stuff. Do you think either might be a bullpen candidate in October?
Keith Law
1:54
Grove more likely. Jackson I think is further away from MLB-ready.
Michael
1:54
Cardinals are batting Goldschmidt 2nd, Arenado 3rd, Dejong 4th and Carlson 7th today. Maybe I’m wrong but the line up seems a lot better moving Carlson into the 2nd spot to give a guy who looks like he will get on base a good amount and hit with some power in front of Goldschmidt and Arenado. What do you think?
Keith Law
1:55
Probably Shildt being conservative with Carlson, who was way better in September in a very small sample. If Carlson is a good OBP guy this year, why not lead him off?
Mike
1:55
Hasnt Vasil been pretty good for UVA?  What happened to him to kill his draft stock?
Keith Law
1:55
Results are fine, stuff has not been what it was in HS.
HashtagSSS
1:56
Find any good coffee places in Charlottesville last weekend?
Keith Law
1:56
I drove down and back in one day. Moe's BBQ has amazing collard greens, though.
Jeff
1:56
Thanks for the chats Keith. Any thoughts on moving the pitchers mound back to help the hitters a bit?
Keith Law
1:57
I don't like the idea of changing field dimensions unless they've already tried changing more mutable things like the strike zone.
Andy 2
1:57
How much are the Cubs going to enjoy the last season of Kris Bryant? 6 years ago this wasn't the plan for what they would be with his extra season.
Keith Law
1:57
Right, but they manipulated his service time as if they were sure they'd be contenders in 2021 and he'd still be a star.
Allen
1:57
Thoughts on Sonny Gray’s next few years? Can he be a #2 starter for a while? Better?
Keith Law
1:58
I'll go with above-average starter but not an ace (top 20 or so in baseball).
devilinlaw
1:58
Who's excited to watch the pitcher bat again in the NL?
Keith Law
1:58
Nobody!
Jay
1:58
How will the Pirates screw up the 1st pick? Take Del Castillo because he'd likely take less and they need MiLB C depth?
Keith Law
1:59
I think Leiter's the most likely guy right now, but if they went college bat, I feel like Davis would be more likely. Taking the next-best guy can be a viable strategy if you get the right overpays later.
Jay
2:00
@devilinlaw Who's excited to see Catchers hit? Nobody
Keith Law
2:02
In 2019, catchers hit .238/.309/.408, and pitchers hit .128/.159/.163. This is a stupid "point" and people need to stop making it, because it is stupid and annoying and wastes everyone's time.
If pitchers hit like catchers, there would be no calls for DHs, and pitchers would win MVP awards all the time.
Trevor
2:02
Looked like Miami (OH)’s Bachman missed a few weeks, not sure if it was injury related or not, but then came back two starts later and struck out all 9 batters he faced. Looking forward to your draft prospect list update
Keith Law
2:02
Injury, yes, supposedly has come back fine. Top half of the first round stuff.
Guest
2:03
What are you thoughts on Amed Rosario playing CF in Cleveland and will they be able to get more production out of his tools than the Mets?
Keith Law
2:03
I'd really like to see him get a long trial there in the minors first. Don't move a SS to CF in the majors and expect him to take to it immediately.
Jesus
2:03
Dom Smith huge year ?
Keith Law
2:03
I've been a believer since he was drafted. He can hit, and he has real power.
Pete
2:04
I’m excited about Alejandro Kirk. Who’s bat would you rather have for the next 5-10 years, his or Will Smith’s?
Keith Law
2:04
I would gladly take either. I feel better about a 10-year projection for Smith than for Kirk, though.
mike t
2:04
Regarding Pirates, wasn't the problem with the previous regime more that they underdeveloped the talent they had, rather than drafting lesser players i  order to sign them for less? Either way,, the jury is still out on Cherington
Keith Law
2:05
Yes, I agree with that. They had some head-scratchers in the draft (Will Craig?), but also had some really good picks that didn't work out as expected or are still TBD.
JR
2:05
Getting my vaccine next week. Excited to see games in person this year. #fyeahbaseball
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