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Klawchat 4/2/19
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Juwan
1:16
If Robles develops 25 hr a year power, is he a superstar?
Keith Law
1:16
Yes but nobody I spoke to about him this winter thought he'd end up with that kind of power.
Deke
1:16
How hard is it for you to overcome initial evaluations on a player that don't pan out? I was right with you on Hosmer as a prospect, and to this day I find myself willing it to still happen, but you've pretty clearly turned on that.
Keith Law
1:17
There's no 'right' time to change an evaluation, but I do think we have to start rethinking probabilities of projections even into a player's first season in the majors ... that 40% chance of a player becoming a star might only be 20-25% a year later. And then...
Marc
1:17
Lucas Giolito had some success with a shortened arm motion in his first start. Can these type of adjustments work long term? Any injury concerns?
Keith Law
1:18
...you get Giolito working with a shorter but clean arm stroke that had him locating his fastball to the corners along with what might be the best changeup I've seen him throw. Prospects are still humans; they don't develop on our schedule.
W&M
1:18
Be glad you didn't go to college at William and Mary. Terrible record on mental health and punishing students who open up about mental health and anxiety issues. If I could do it over, I never would have gone.
Keith Law
1:19
Is that true? Any public record on this? They're a state school, which makes this even more disappointing.
grant
1:19
Do you have any opinion on what education a college kid should get if their trying to go into baseball? Trying to decide if i should study something like stats or computer science
Keith Law
1:19
That combination sounds like a perfect one to me.
Kevin W
1:19
Has ESPN ever asked you to tone down your twitter feed (and I’m so glad you don’t)?
Keith Law
1:19
Sort of. I won't.
Mac
1:19
Is Nick Lodolo going to pitch himself into the top 10 picks?
Keith Law
1:20
Possible but I would not take him there.
Patrick
1:20
How about my team's start? Look like division winners! Absolutely I can project their finish from this excellent first half-week!
But seriously Keith, as April snows hit today, I ask--how much can/do you take weather into account when checking out collegiate players? Do you consciously avoid cold-weather scouting trips?
Keith Law
1:20
I do - I'd rather see a pitcher on a day with at least moderate weather. I did see Logan Gilbert last spring on a 42 degree day in Newark, which got me a fair look at him but was miserable for everyone involved, myself included.
Dr. Bob
1:21
If a team was bad at something last year and they still are through 5 games can any conclusions be drawn or are we still just in SSS-verse?
Keith Law
1:21
If the personnel hasn't changed, then you can carry forward the conclusion you drew from last year.
Dalton
1:21
Time worry about the Braves youth on the mound?
Keith Law
1:21
It's April 2nd.
Luke
1:21
Does Pete Alonso's start mean anything to you or too much of a SSS to mean anything?
Keith Law
1:22
It's April 2nd. Sam-ple size doo doo do do do do...
Nelson
1:22
Ive been trying to read Booker and Pulitzer winning fiction, but I find most are just not very fun reads. Its like Oscars for best picture, maybe great works of fiction, but not the most fan friendly.  Any recent winners that your recommend in a page-turner type of way?
Keith Law
1:22
All the Light We Cannot See, The Sense of an Ending, The Underground Railroad, Lincoln in the Bardo, The Sellout, The Orphan Master's Son.
Dr. Bob
1:23
The transactions made by Toronto the past couple of weeks raises the question: What is Toronto's plan?
Keith Law
1:23
I'm not quite sure, to be honest.
Nick
1:24
I know its super super super early and I think he only has 1 walk, but it looks like Amed Rosario's is really starting to turn a corner from a plate discipline perspective. In his game winning hit yesterday, he laid off 2 nasty breaking balls before ripping a 2-0 fast ball for a hit. No doubt last year he would have swung at least one of those sliders. If Amed reaches his potential and learns to get on base more, he adds some seriously needed athleticism to that roster and can make the Mets have a pretty darn scary lineup.
Keith Law
1:24
Although I generally agree with you, he needs to try to elevate the ball more - when I saw him in March, he was still coming down at the ball at the point of contact enough that I think he's going to hit too many groundballs.
Jeff
1:24
How do you normally finish off a sous vide bath? Smoking hot grill? Sear on cast iron?
Keith Law
1:25
Cast iron/carbon steel.
Michael Conforto
1:25
I haven't seen much downside for Mayor Pete. I don't even love his "religious left" platform, but the justification is thoughtful and admirable. What have you seen?
Keith Law
1:26
I'd agree. I admit that I find his overall intelligence extremely appealing, and might be overreacting to the lack of intelligence of the current occupant. I would like to see Elizabeth Warren getting at least the same kind of adulation for her own, similar practice of putting policy proposals first.
Danny
1:26
You see the Mets Columbia roster? Szapucki, Woods-Richardson, Mauricio, Newton, Vientos!! (side note: what are they going to do playing-time wise? Newton get OF reps?)
Keith Law
1:27
I would guess Newton slides to 2b. Mauricio needs to play most of the time at SS. Continued positive reports on him from minor league ST.
Sarah
1:27
If Vlad Guerrero Jr is up in two weeks does he hit 30 HR? 300 BA?
Keith Law
1:27
I'd guess 20-25 HR, .300ish AVG, OBP in the mid-.300s.
Carl
1:27
Re: your linked-to deadspin piece on ballparks pricing out fans. Do you think this is detrimental to the long-term health of the sport, even if they are maximizing profits now?
Keith Law
1:27
I do. You can absolutely alienate too much of your fan base like that, and if those people stop watching or buying merch or paying for MLB.tv, the sport is in trouble.
Amy
1:27
Is anyone left to be a FA this fall? These extensions are fascinating, and probably too comforting for the owners. Thoughts?
Keith Law
1:28
I don't think any extension so far has looked like a bad one for the owners. Some have looked fair, others too team-friendly.
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