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Klawchat 4/2/25
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Keith Law
1:30
Rafaela's the odd man out, right? 80 defense won't carry a .270 OBP. And Statcast has his defense at -2 runs through 5 games!
Matt
1:30
At what point do you start to give weight to velo bumps in pitching prospects? Is there a certain workload you want to see them hit before you buy in?
Keith Law
1:31
A fair question but I don't have a specific answer in innings or games. I don't buy into a single outing, though, especially early in the year when guys are typically not asked to work as deep into games as they are in May or June.
Mike
1:31
What do you think of the Angels promoting so aggressively?. Do you think the apparent successes get too much attention compared to players who might be handicapped by that? I'm wondering specifically about Nelson Rada, who doesn't seem like he's gotten comfortable at any level he's played.
Keith Law
1:32
I'm not in favor of it. I'm glad Rada isn't in AAA yet, because he is absolutely not ready, and sending a kid who needs to work on things like pitch recognition to the western part of the PCL with all its parks at altitude is not going to help him one iota. Neto's been a success for their practice of pushing guys quickly ... and that's it, right?
NL1992
1:32
Do you think scouting skills are transferable across sports? Are there other sports where you think you could potentially hang or are particularly clueless?
Keith Law
1:33
I think it would take me years and years to figure out what to do in another sport. So much of what scouts do is based on their body of knowledge accumulated over the course of a career - of learning from mistakes, of picking up on patterns or subtle cues in players, etc. I sometimes see a player and know he reminds me of someone else (or several someone elses) but can't quite put my finger on why. I just go with it, either way, because clearly my brain is seeing some pattern there even if I can't articulate it.
Jm
1:34
Seeing the Cubs feast on Sacramento pitching, is run differential kind of a sham? More runs in two games than the other six combined doesn’t really tell you about their bad hitting
Keith Law
1:34
Run differential in a tiny sample is useless.
nelson
1:34
how good is schwellenbach?
Keith Law
1:34
Maybe a #2 starter?
I'm a big fan, to be clear. It was always about health & his ability to handle a starter's workload (he was a SS/closer in college, like Shaun Marcum).
Jm
1:34
Any good non fiction book recos?
Keith Law
1:37
I had to go to my spreadsheet to see what non-fiction I've read recently and it's not that many - only two this year, one of which, Dr. Ellen Hendriksen's How to Be Enough, I liked a ton, but bear in mind I know her a bit so there's some bias there. From last year, Adam Hochschild's To End All Wars was probably the best non-fiction book I read. I didn't realize I'd been so fiction-heavy the last 15 months or so.
Mike
1:37
followup on the Angels - Ben Joyce was pretty good last year in a fairly small number of innings. Do you think the Angels think Schanuel has been a success?
Keith Law
1:38
Joyce was a college senior with a crimson-red flag on him in the injury department. Kind of a different story.
1:39
Like, you are insane to waste that kid's bullets in the minors.
Tom
1:39
Do scouts attempt to scout knuckleballers or is that world just a total guessing game?
Keith Law
1:39
I wouldn't know where to start. And there are so few anyway that it has never come up in my career. Which is a shame, because they're awesome.
Mike
1:39
Should Mason Montgomery ever try starting again?
Keith Law
1:39
I don't think so.
Jm
1:39
In what world does starting Biggio at 1B make sense? Surely there are other players who can actually hit the ball they could have there
Keith Law
1:39
None. You know my opinion on him. Had his one moment in the sun - mostly when the competition was deflated - and then the league figured him out.
Paul
1:40
What would be your breaking point for leaving the US? As someone who is lucky enough to have dual citizenship, I have been debating whether or not I am better off raising my family abroad despite all the difficulty that would entail.
Keith Law
1:41
If I thought my safety or that of anyone in my family was at risk, I'd try to leave. That's more likely for the women in my house than it is for me - they're losing rights much faster than men are. The SAVE act is trying to destroy women's right to vote.
Guest
1:41
Spring training and early results aside, does Leiter's stuff look better?
Keith Law
1:42
He's throwing harder, but that doesn't really address the problem of the four-seamer being too straight and hittable - it's moving less than it did last year. But he's throwing a sinker more than he did last year, and that could be the entire key for him. His other stuff is fine. Hitters really enjoyed his fastball too much. Like the way I enjoy pizza. It's not what you want.
Guest
1:43
Love the Don Hertzfeldt reference. I am a banana!
Keith Law
1:43
I just wish my cable company carried the Family Learning Channel.
Jm
1:43
Elon isn’t handing out checks. He’s giving them to republican donors and operatives
Keith Law
1:44
Which, as I understand it, is illegal, and yet somehow he is not facing any sort of legal threats!
JR
1:44
Men's college football and basketball has been wild to follow of late. The free transfers and NIL give us a idea of what it would be like if every MLB player was a free agent every year. Would every player being on a one year contract be healthy for the game?
Keith Law
1:44
I don't think that's a clear yes/no answer, is it? Imagine the excitement every winter when teams scrambled to fill out their rosters!
Mike Trout
1:44
What is your take on the democrats potentially adopting "abundance?"
Keith Law
1:44
I truly don't know enough about this to comment, sorry.
DNL
1:44
If you were to leave the United States, where would you go? It's not clear that other nations would accept us as immigrants.
Keith Law
1:45
I'll cross that bridge if I come to it.
Saxton
1:45
Kristian Campbell just extended 8 years plus 2 club options. Think Boston will be able to get deals done with Anthony and Mayer as well?
Keith Law
1:45
He'd probably be the easiest of the three as he's the oldest and didn't come into the majors with the same expectations.
Zirinsky
1:45
Hi Keith. What's the rationale behind your notion that Rice isn't a regular? Lack of defense or something in his hitting that you think will be exposed?
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