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Klawchat 4/26/18
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Steve
1:47
Yawkey Way getting changed due to less than absolute evidence of racism by Tom Yawkey? Overreaction to a family that has donated 100s of millions to Boston charities?
Keith Law
1:47
The Red Sox were the last of the original clubs to integrate. That's evidence enough, dude. Also, it's a fucking street name.
Adam
1:48
Now that Chief Wahoo is gone, can we shift our attention back to the Braves and start asking questions about the appropriateness of the Padres nickname as well?
Keith Law
1:48
Chief Wahoo is not gone, and "asking questions" about the Padres is troll behavior.
Zac
1:48
Is Gleyber Torres a 30 homerun guy?
Keith Law
1:48
Isn't everyone?
I think he's a high-average guy but maybe 15-20 HR power. He can hit - swing, recognition, two-strike approach, it's all there.
Charlie
1:48
Is #1 starter still Newcomb's ceiling if he continues to throw in the low 90's? He is walking less but does not have the overpowering fastball.
Keith Law
1:49
This tweet aged very poorly in the five minutes since you submitted it. And no, I don't think Newcomb really has the command or even control for that. I don't think I ever thought he had #1 ceiling, but could be remembering wrong.
Anthony
1:49
I saw Zach Lowther at Aberdeen last year and have been monitoring him at Delmarva. Is he a guy to keep an eye on or will the lack of velocity catch up with him at the higher levels?
Keith Law
1:50
Huge extension and spin on the fastball. Hitters don't see it. Ceiling is limited but he is something.
Joe
1:50
Keith, you've done a good job of educating your readers about the pitfalls of putting too much stock in short sample sizes. At the same time, early knowledge of whether a player has lost or gained a step can provide strategic advantages. How do you strike the appropriate balance?
Keith Law
1:50
That's what scouting, and now Statcast data, can provide, at least for teams.
Amy
1:50
Wait, you think Kelly to SF? And Buster to...1B? With Belt traded?
Keith Law
1:51
The Giants are heavy on Georgia Tech catcher Joey Bart, which would imply a Posey position switch (I can't believe they would ever trade him). That doesn't seem to leave a place for Belt, does it?
Ryan Backster
1:51
Freddy Peralta. Still meh on him?
Keith Law
1:52
Meh is strong. Doesn't have a big ceiling. Pitching *very* well in AAA, two good home starts in unfriendly Colorado Springs, which I like to see, at least.
Steve
1:52
Odds Vladdy Jr is up this year?
Keith Law
1:52
I may have said this before, but strongly believe he will debut in Toronto this year. I'd put money on that.
Jesus Sanchez
1:52
Am I the top prospect in the Rays system at the end of the year and am I the top OF prospect in baseball as well?
Keith Law
1:53
Maybe, and no.
Robbie
1:53
Keith how do you reconcile wanting to be right coinciding with certain players failing? I don't think you would ever necessarily want players to fail, but you are where you are because you are good at evaluating players and I'm sure you want to be right more than not.
Keith Law
1:53
I don't root against players. I may joke about it a little but I can't do that. Any prospect, no matter who it is, is a kid pursuing his dream. What kind of evil SOB would root against that?
Mike B
1:54
Have you seen anything in Corey Ray's start that makes you think he's turning a corner this year? I've heard he finally had a healthy offseason which may lead to better results.
Keith Law
1:54
He's 2 for his last 30 and has a .301 OBP on the year. Yes, SSS, but he hasn't turned a corner.
Mac
1:54
Have Madrigal and Kelenic moved up draft boards simply by not playing?  How much recency bias occurs at the top of the draft?
Keith Law
1:55
I've joked about that - the best thing to do this spring has been to not play. Kelenic is playing now, though; his standing may be a function of last summer/fall, though, since the pitching he's seeing this spring is not good.
Acuna is getting all the hits, BTW.
Carlton
1:56
What was your initial projection for Degrom? Looking through your old ranks and don't see him anywhere.
Keith Law
1:56
He made my Mets top 10 one year before he debuted. At some point after that he went from a four-seamer to whatever he calls it now, with more life/sink than it ever had befoer.
1:57
I never saw him before his debut, which I saw on TV while in Bristol.
parlay
1:57
Hunter Harvey ceiling?
Keith Law
1:57
If healthy, #1 starter. Has not stayed healthy, and I don't love the cross-body delivery.
That was foul? (referring to Dansby)
Jax
1:58
Not just basing this on his hot start but Grandal getting a Russell Martin type of contract next winter seems likely, yes? Or do you think he would get even more?
Keith Law
1:58
I think less, as he's not the kind of defensive catcher teams seem to favor right now.
Joey
1:58
How different is Lewis Brinson now compared to Michael A taylor back when he broke into MLB?
Keith Law
1:59
Brinson's got more whip in his swing and I think both more raw power and a better chance to hit for a decent average.
Joe
1:59
Any new names connected with the Braves in the draft? Could Vasil with their second pick be a possibility after his injury?
Keith Law
1:59
That's a situation where them losing the money associated with pick 3 might hurt them. It'll be hard to go over in the second round. I also think vasil, even hurt, could go before that.
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