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Klawchat 4/6/23
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Keith Law
1:32
Shuster's a starter if healthy. Soroka is too, but he's never healthy. Elder's a 6th starter type for me.
Andrew
1:32
Has Dylan Crews pretty much locked up 1-1 (absent below slot  etc)?
Keith Law
1:32
Absolutely not.
Rahj Da Dodge
1:32
What are your impressions on Gleyber Torres’ strong start? Is he finally reaching his peak?
Keith Law
1:32
It's been one week.
SG
1:32
I know it’s quite early, but do you think Paul Skenes has a shot to overtake Crews or Langford as the number 1 prospect in the draft?
Keith Law
1:33
See above. Any of those three could go 1-1. If I had to bet, because it's Pittsburgh, I'd bet on a position player, though.
Dave
1:33
The new rules seem to have worked exactly as the owners wanted them.  I like all aspects of them but for the limited amount of throw overs to 1st since it drastically changes the game and strategy.  Any chance they change that or do you think we are stuck with it going forward?
Keith Law
1:33
I hate the endless throws to first that have polluted the college game like dioxin in the Love Canal.
Frank
1:33
Does Henry Davis make it to the Majors this season or is next year more likely?  Do you still believe he stays behind the plate?
Keith Law
1:34
This year if healthy, I believe he's a catcher but not everyone agrees.
Zirinsky
1:34
Hi Keith. Thoughts on the impact of the rule changes so far?
Keith Law
1:34
It's been one week.
Mike
1:34
as of right now, is it: crews 1, skenes 2, langford 3?
Keith Law
1:34
See above.
Langford might be ... uh, half the man he used to be, but I don't think he's any less of a prospect.
Guest
1:34
Any new or classic games, etc. to recommend for a soon to be 8 year old (he didn’t type this btw)? Thanks!
Keith Law
1:35
I'm happy to recommend a bunch but it does help to know what he has played and what he likes, so I'm not just saying games you know (e.g., Ticket to Ride is always my first suggestion for that age and new gamers).
Mike
1:35
think masyn winn gets the call by June?
Keith Law
1:35
I do not.
Mike
1:35
can Josh Lowe be an every day regular? How do you evaluate him now?
Keith Law
1:36
Still like him a ton, might end up a platoon guy rather than a regular but does have the fielding/athleticism/power to be a regular if he hits LHP enough.
Shawn
1:36
Can you tell me anything about Luis Perales in the Boston system?  Just starting to hear about him for the first time.
Keith Law
1:37
Very good arm, still a ways off beyond arm strength, not a good delivery for a long-term starter. I believe he's starting on a loaded low-A Salem roster (Bleis, Romero, Anthony, Coffey).
Nick
1:37
Is Clayton Beeter a GUY or do you see him as more of a reliever?
Keith Law
1:37
Probably a reliever between health issues and lack of FB quality.
Shawn
1:37
How can it be that Cleveland has so much success developing pitchers? I watch my team’s prospects come up and get shelled, but theirs just plug in and get good results, year after year. How can one team be doing something that different on the player development front?
Keith Law
1:38
I think there are a lot of ways teams can differentiate themselves on the player development front. Cleveland has identified certain characteristics in pitchers that make them candidates for improved velocity in their system, and they target those guys in the draft & trades.
Alex
1:38
It's early, it's small sample size, but there's a real buzz around Josh Lowe in Tampa.  (1) do you buy that he could still be an impact bat and (2) if so is there anything more to glean from his early struggles than "MLB is really hard and sometimes it takes time?"
Keith Law
1:38
Players don't all develop on our timetables. They develop on their own. Giving up on talented players before they're even 25 is just foolhardy.
Mike
1:38
How excited are you to see a stacked wilmington blue rocks lineup this year?
Keith Law
1:39
Always nice when the home team is stronger. I should be there for the opener, weather permitting.
Evan
1:39
Do you think the padres org will be ranked top 18 or so by end of year? Salas and lesko enough to boost them?
Keith Law
1:39
Top 18 is ... awfully specific?
Michael
1:39
When you talk about a players floor or ceiling, do you consider that in absolute terms (barring a major change in circumstances) or more like X standard deviations from the average possible outcome?
Keith Law
1:39
A floor, to me, is "barring injury or 34 felony counts, this is the worst case scenario."
1:40
Ceiling is really "everything goes right."
ChicagoSteve
1:40
Is Mitch Keller ever going to happen? This has really been an amazing five-year odyssey for a once highly regarded SP prospect who has never been derailed by a major injury, but instead by constant tinkering.
Keith Law
1:41
Two things. One, I think he's never going to be more than a fourth starter if he can't get LHB out consistently, and right now he doesn't have that weapon. Two, I wonder if we'd all have ranked him lower after his big A-ball year if we'd had more advanced data that showed that the fastball was pretty ordinary for its velo.
Kerry Wood
1:41
Is the Padres owner blowing the small market fallacy out of the water or do places like KC, Cleveland, Cinci, etc not actually notice?
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