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Klawchat 5/16/19
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Keith Law
2:08
I didn't call him a bust - that was an editor's decision - and it's not possible to separate the pick from the fact that it was unprotected and they had to have a predraft deal in place. (Of course, Trout would have signed for slot there, no question.)
Ozzie Albies
2:09
Have I ever seen a pitch I don't like?
Keith Law
2:09
Pitch, or contract offer?
addoeh
2:09
What are the odds Keuchel, and perhaps Kimbrel, get close to their original asking price once the draft pick compensation goes away after the draft?
Keith Law
2:09
Keuchel more likely. Kimbrel I think gets one-year offers.
JR
2:10
Should the Mets aggressively be trying to give Conforto one of those extensions that are all the rage these days? I would.
Keith Law
2:10
I would too. Not sure he'd take one, but worth trying.
Dave
2:10
Sorry I should have been more specific:  I was assuming Trout wouldn't suddenly improve markedly in his late 30's for, y'know, whatever reason.  If he does, no argument, but I was wondering if you were assuming a similar path, or discounting Bonds, or really thought Trout was so much better young that he could reach 162 with a normal aging pattern.  I'll take your answer as meaning the latter.
Keith Law
2:11
I don't think we can ever predict anyone to have Bonds' aging pattern, but if there were a player alive today whom you might predict to have it, isn't it Trout? Plus he might enter his 30s with a substantial WAR 'lead.'
Sean
2:11
Gonsolin ceiling?
Keith Law
2:11
He and Balazovic were both on this missed of prospects who just missed my top 100: https://klaw.me/2TiFn2C
AJ
2:11
Balazovic!  Great call on your part.  Do you see him as an above average starter and is it crazy to think we could see him before the end of 2020?
Keith Law
2:11
Above average starter but not in the majors before 2021.
Dr. Bob
2:11
One unknown factor in the redraft discussion is how a team may have mishandled a player's development. It is possible that some 'busts' might have been solid major league regulars given a different course of development, maybe with a different team, right?
Keith Law
2:12
Absolutely. I wonder if Ackley's career is different if he doesn't go right to AA.
Zander
2:12
Hey Keith - any recent non-fiction recommendations?
Keith Law
2:12
Bad Blood, on the Theranos scandal.
Bobby
2:12
Best way to cope with death? Burying a family member tomorrow and it’s been rough.
Keith Law
2:12
See a counselor if you can. I don't know any good way to cope, but I know lots of bad ways and it's important to try not to fall into those traps. I'm very sorry for your loss.
Thornton Mellon
2:12
You ever read the Three Body Problem?
Keith Law
2:12
Yep, three years ago: http://klaw.me/1L90sGR
Drew
2:13
I'm having trouble cutting activities out of my life that I'm pretty sure I don't actually like or enjoy, but just kind of doing them out of obligation or fear of change; any opinions on how to stop?
Keith Law
2:13
Got me wondering what you might mean, but in the absence of that information, what about simply prioritizing other activities you do like or enjoy, so that the choice goes from "not doing X" to "doing something instead of X?"
Thornton Mellon
2:14
Is the new Tommy La Stella legit?  You really see a 4-5 WAR player here?
Keith Law
2:15
It seems incredibly hard to believe, given the absence of any such power in his track record, but there's also nothing obviously fluky in his numbers (other than the sample size).
alex
2:15
You mentioned the possiblity of the O's not drafting Adley R. to save money on tougher signs.  Doesn't AZ have a lot of pool money and picks before the Os 2nd pick to scoop up these folks?   Any candidates  who  are worthy tough signs?
Keith Law
2:15
Lots of HS guys who'd be worth it but the O's can't set their hearts on any one guy, because of Arizona specifically.
2:16
That's all for this week - more phone work to do before the top 100, plus another ESPN project for draft week that needs my attention. Thank you all, as always, for all of your questions. I don't know my exact schedule next week, other than that I'm planning to hit the ACC tournament briefly - I don't think I'll be revisiting the SEC tournament, held in Alabama, any time soon after the law they just passed - and may not be home for a Thursday chat. I'll keep everyone posted on social media, though. Thanks again.
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