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Klawchat 5/21/21
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Kevin
12:26
Would you be totally against a 1st half 2nd half winner baseball playoff format?
Keith Law
12:26
Yes. Like, "man the barricades" against it.
Gary
12:26
I expect the dodgers to trade for some bullpen help seeing as how they only have like 3 guys they trust at the moment. But could Josiah Gray spend some time in the pen?
Keith Law
12:27
I favor that kind of development path.
Jeffrey
12:27
Do you think Larnach stays up and will we see Adley this year?
Keith Law
12:28
When Kirilloff and Buxton return, that's four outfielders for three spots. They could boot Sano and move someone to first, but if that's not happening, one of the two rookies gets sent down.
Deej
12:28
Sat in the vaccinated section of a ballpark earlier this week. It felt incredibly weird to be sitting that close to other people. Have you been back in a crowd yet?
Keith Law
12:29
I've been to an airport, which was the weirdest and most uncomfortable part of the trip. Do most people just not know where their noses are?
Guest
12:30
Would a lower seam and deader baseballs result in a more interesting game?
Keith Law
12:31
Deader baseballs might. Not sure about the lower seams - that seems (no pun intended) like a recipe for unintended consequences.
Punk in Drublic
12:31
SSS not withstanding, any minor leaguers you are hearing about that you are viewing significantly different than you ranked them since there are actual games and players may have added velo, improved or added a pitch, or hitting approach?
Keith Law
12:31
I think it's a little too soon for that.
Guest
12:31
Any hope for Logan Warmouth? He's been a dud at every level and suddenly he's got an .938 OPS in triple A. Or is this just a case of sample size?
Keith Law
12:31
And that's why I think so.
ivy
12:31
Is there any hope of the Orioles being competitive in the next three years?
Keith Law
12:32
Barring a major budget increase, no, I don't think their minor league talent is close enough for that.
Tony LaRussa
12:32
You better be using a typewriter and not a laptop or I’m fining your ass $100.
Keith Law
12:32
And you're going to call me out to the media, too.
Kevin
12:33
What kind of expectations do you still have for Kyle Wright? Maddening inconsistency and already 25
Keith Law
12:34
I can't figure him out. His stuff is good enough, yet he gets hit way harder than he should, especially his fastball. There's no obvious reason why he should be performing this poorly.
JR
12:34
I know you’re not a football guy and like me I’m sure you’re happy the Tebow clown show is gone from baseball but now he’s resurfaced in the nfl. Taking a roster spot from someone more deserving in the name of selling tickets and merchandise.
Keith Law
12:35
I saw some more defenders come out of the woodwork when that news broke. He may really believe what he says he does, but I find it hard to reconcile that with the obvious selfishness of his professional sports careers.
David
12:35
Hi Keith,
Do you think Jaden Hill or Gunnar Hogland will be available when the 2nd round starts? I'm wondering if either would be a worthy gamble for the Pirates.
Keith Law
12:35
I would guess not.
Joe
12:36
Any Orioles minor leaguers you have gotten good reports on so far?
Keith Law
12:36
Yep, and I wrote about it here.
Jordan
12:36
I know there are at least a few MLB scouting departments that are highly skeptical of taking a prep arm in the first round, but should someone like Jackson Jobe be an exception to that thinking with the kind of stuff he possesses at 18-years-old?
Keith Law
12:37
I don't think so - I'd argue that's the sort of base-rate neglect bias that teams should be trying to avoid, the "this guy is DIFFERENT" mentality. Unless you know some tangible reason why Jobe  is more likely to stay healthy than all the other athletic hard-throwing high school pitchers who've gone in the first round and failed, you should be very wary of taking him in the top half of the first. And that has nothing to do with Jobe specifically. High school pitchers fail more often, period.
John Mozeliak
12:37
Is this .250/.300/.500 version of Tyler O'Neill sustainable and can he be a solid regular outfielder moving forward?
Keith Law
12:38
I really have little to no interest in corner players with that profile. They're too easy to find or create in this offensive environment.
12:41
Oh, also, I'm not sure how any hitter can last with plate discipline like his. 35 K and 3 BB? In the last 20 years only one MLB hitter has qualified for the batting title with a K:BB ratio of 11 or higher, and that's Tim Anderson, who has the benefit of being a shortstop.
Aaron C.
12:41
Who, in your opinion, is the most infamous prep draftee who should’ve took the money?
Keith Law
12:43
Oh that's easily Matt Harrington. But I could offer others - Karsten Whitson, who reneged on TWO deals, came up in a chat with a scout recently because Whitson is coaching now. Plus all the kids who take themselves out of the draft entirely because their college coaches conned them into doing so - how many of them have gotten paid? Chris Harvey did it to matriculate early at Vanderbilt, got 217 PA total the whole time he was there, and wasn't even drafted. We'll see how it works out for Mike Vasil, who could have had $2 million easy in 2018, this July.
Michael
12:43
If you had to give a player a 20 rating for a skill, which would be the one that wouldn't stop them from being an impact player?
Keith Law
12:43
Plenty of 20 runners have been superstars.
JR
12:44
Are you still wearing a mask indoors even if the business doesn’t require for those that have been vaccinated (per recent cdc guidance)? I thought I would for a while but am already finding myself ditching it at places that don’t require (and yes I’ve been vaccinated)
Keith Law
12:44
I went to Trader Joes today and still wore my mask, even though I'm two weeks past my second shot. I'm not wearing it outdoors unless required, or if I were too close to other people, although the latter hasn't happened yet.
J
12:45
I know it is early and SSS but Pedro Leon's start is... not great, Roberto.  Anything gleaned or heard?
Keith Law
12:46
First four games: 11 K in 17 PA. Since then: 9 K in 36 PA. Does it mean anything? Probably not. But the problem with these tiny samples so far is that they can be skewed too easily by what amounts to one bad series. He has not been good in any sense of the word, though.
Dr. Bob
12:46
Dylan Carlson is showing why everyone was so high on him. I got to watch him several times here in Springfield, MO. The ball just came off his bat differently than the other players and he was so much faster than everyone else.
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