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Klawchat 5/24/19
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Keith Law
1:01
Let the melody shine. It's Klawchat.
Rob D
1:01
Is Adley a better prospect than Posey was in his draft year?
Keith Law
1:02
No, not in my opinion. I do think there are scouts/execs who disagree; Posey wasn't projected to hit for as much power as he did, and Adley is a better defensive catcher right now than Posey was on draft day, but I think Posey was a much better pure hitter at that time.
Mark
1:02
Has Anthony Kay pushed into a top 100 guy?  Seems like his stuff is back and maybe better than ever.
Keith Law
1:03
Stuff is back, healthy, don't think the stuff is any better but he needed more time to recover his command and be able to hold his stuff deep into games. I'm like a broken record on this but not every guy who has TJ comes back fresh as a daffodil the moment he returns to pro ball. Some guys take way longer, some need a second surgery (Espinoza and Ragans already this year), some just never come back.
Anyway, yeah, Kay's pretty damn good.
TC
1:03
what has been the craziest/most intense high school or college game you have ever scouted at?
Keith Law
1:04
I saw Byron Buxton create the tying run in the bottom of the 7th with his speed when I saw him in HS, in Baxley, Georgia, and his team ended up walking it off a few batters later. I think it was an important game for the team and there were far more people there than at almost any other HS game I've ever attended.
addoeh
1:04
How many Republicans will look the other way when Trump inevitably ignores both the Courts and Congress with regards to investigating his finances?
Keith Law
1:04
All of them? All of them. Susan Collins will express her concern, though.
Eric
1:04
Barring an unexpected drop by Adley, is Abrams the pick at 3 for the White Sox?
Keith Law
1:05
He's a possible pick. If 1-2 are Adley-Witt, I think the White Sox would choose between Vaughn and Abrams. They've been linked to HS guys a few times in recent drafts only to revert to college on draft day.
Justin
1:05
A couple of years ago you correctly predicted the twins regression after a hot start to the season, any thoughts on the team this year?
Keith Law
1:06
Legit. I said this winter I thought they were a more likely contender than people thought. Granted, I don't think they hit 400 homers this year or whatever they're projected to hit, but I do think they are a 90+ win team.
addoeh
1:06
Would you ever take your dog to a bark at the baseball park promotional event?
Keith Law
1:07
I don't have a dog but if I did I wouldn't, mostly because I'd be so focused on the dog that I wouldn't enjoy the game. I was at a Wilmington game recently and sat next to a very large, sweet-tempered dog ... who just didn't like this one other dog who kept walking past us and so he'd briefly lose his mind.
Phil
1:07
Hey Keith. Has Gio Urshela made sustainable changes or is this still small sample size?
Keith Law
1:07
Both of these things can be true at the same time.
Jesse B
1:09
What are your thoughts on the season Dylan Carlson is having so far?
Keith Law
1:09
That kind takes some really exceptional at bats for his age.
Matt B
1:09
I know you weren't a fan of how Jim Penders handled his pitchers, but Anthony Kay and Tim Cate are having darn good years this season. What are you seeing or hearing on them?
Keith Law
1:09
Answered a little above, but I think those guys are succeeding in spite of Uconn's handling of them.
Damien
1:09
Has Giolito finally arrived?
Keith Law
1:09
I'm in. It's weird, the guy who kept asking me in chat when I was going to admit that Giolito would never be more than a fifth starter hasn't asked me that in a long time.
Jeff
1:10
Any truth to the underslot deals for Brett Baty in the top 10 that’s going around? He seems to be either be loved or down on the board because of his age.
Keith Law
1:10
I never want to say never, but I don't think he goes that high. If he were 18, then yes, he'd go top ten, we might even talk about him as a top five talent. But analytical models are going to destroy him for his age. Part of me wonders if that's too extreme because we simply don't have comparables - when was the last really good HS position player who was 19.5 or more on draft day?
Brian
1:11
I know you've commented on the Phillies disastrous first round picks in recent weeks. But is it a little early to give up on Moniak at 21? He's had a very good May after a strong second half last year & his power is up, with it actually being better on the road than at Reading.
Keith Law
1:11
Avoid that kind of thin-slicing unless you know of an actual mechanical or physical change to justify it - and there isn't one here.
G
1:11
So..this version of Josh Bell came out of nowhere, huh? I don't recall ever seeing raw power grades on him equating to the types of bombs he's hitting lately.
Keith Law
1:12
I think he's always had that kind of power, but didn't execute in games in a way that would get to it - like many Pirates hitters he was more focused on contact and going the other way until this year.
Matt
1:12
How does a guy like Torres hit 10 HR's vs 1 specific team but 2 vs the rest of MLB? Is it SSS or is he able to see the ball better in Baltimore?
Keith Law
1:12
There is no "see the ball better in" park X. The Orioles' pitching is kind of terrible. I also think Gleyber's pretty good, BTW.
Jeff
1:13
First player to the big leagues from the 2019 draft?
Keith Law
1:13
I think Vaughn and Rutschman will move very quickly, or a polished starter like Manoah. I don't see a reliever who's going to fly through a system (and half the time that doesn't work anyway).
Chris
1:13
How do you think Kevin Cron will fare in the major leagues?
Keith Law
1:14
I think he's going to strike out way too much. Those 21 HR are a function of real power + Reno's ridiculous environment + AAA using the silly ball now.
Dylan
1:14
Stupid question that likely only I am interested in - any thoughts on which potential top 5 pick has the most fantasy upside?
Keith Law
1:14
Abrams, if he goes top 5, has 80 speed and might be a 30-40 stolen base guy. Rutschman I suppose has a lot of value as a catcher who should hit 20-25 HR a year.
Nate
1:14
If Bryan reynolds has below average power and can only play left field can he still be a major league starter?
Keith Law
1:15
I don't think either part of your premise is true.
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