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Klawchat 5/31/18.
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Keith Law
1:55
It is the last pick in the Competitive Balance Round B.
UGW
1:55
Let's assume Harper and Machado both get 10 yr, 300 million dollar deals.   Given that both will be entering age 26 seasons, will these deals be a net positive for the team in your opinion?
Keith Law
1:55
Yes. They may not fare well in the last few years of the deal (but they still might given how great those players are), but they'll work out just fine.
mike sixel
1:55
Keith, do you drink Rye? If so, recommendations for mixing rye?
Keith Law
1:56
It makes a fine Rye Old-Fashioned. That's about all I know about it.
JJ
1:56
Never been a huge fan of Vonnegut's books, but his cameo in Rodney Dangerfield's "Back to School" was spectacular.
Keith Law
1:56
Salvaged the entire movie for me.
Corey
1:56
speaking of the Boston farm system, other than Pawtucket as a solid true taxi squad but with few rising prospects , the system overall looks bad. obviously you want a strong farm but given how young + stacked with longer term players the MLB club is and will be for a few years, i shouldn't feel that concerned right ?
Keith Law
1:57
Right. The system is down (yo), but two big reasons are all the promotions to the majors, and the trades that brought in Sale, Kimbrel, and, well, the ghost of Tyler Thornburg.
GIO
1:58
I know Swaggerty gets comped to Gardner by some, but Gardner was just a slap hitter when he first came up. I more see Kiermeier in the swing and the set up. What 'ya think?
Keith Law
1:58
Right, Gardner came into power after he got to the majors (I think the ballpark helped, because he realized he could drop the bat head and almost golf balls out to right). Swaggerty is trying to hit like that now, and it's meant more homers but a worse average and a higher strikeout rate.
Paul
1:58
Free case of Oreos if you answer my fantasy question. I bought low on Goldschmidt. Any optimism that he gets it back on track this year? Where do I send the Oreos?
Keith Law
2:01
Any optimism would be based on past performance; he's not just been bad this year, but seems to be trending worse, as if something's physically wrong with him (there is no public evidence of this, I'm just saying that's how bad he's been). I'm also wondering where you're getting all these Oreos.
Chris
2:01
Isn't the downside to teams trading draft picks, that we would see a lot of picks dealt to large market teams for salary relief (thinking about the Dbacks trade of Arroyo a few years ago..and that was before the Brain-trust arrived in Miami)?
Keith Law
2:03
Arroyo was traded with Toussaint to clear the salary, so that's already happening even without trading trade picks. However, the argument that you broached is the one originally made in the 1980s to support banning trades of picks. The environment has flipped today where most low-payroll teams would much rather acquire picks than deal them, because draft picks remain the highest ROI way to add players to your system. It's a screaming bargain when you hit on one, so I doubt any semi-competent GM is going to just deal away these picks on a regular basis.
Chris
2:03
What is stopping a team from telling Mize "listen we pick 20th, but we'll blow our entire draft budget on you, and draft all senior signs besides you?
Keith Law
2:03
He wouldn't fall that far. There's only so much you can do, especially with a college junior, whose leverage is limited; he's certainly not returning to school next year.
2:05
That's all for this week's chat. I will post yet another mock on Monday morning and then chat that afternoon to discuss the draft, which begins Monday evening. I'll also be hosting the BBTN Podcast on Monday while Buster is traveling, so we'll be talking mostly draft there as well. Thanks so much for reading and for all of your questions!
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