Klawchat 5/4/17
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Keith Law
1:41
Maybe he's arguing that Price will be replaced by a pitcher who's three wins below replacement level.
The Sequel
1:41
Smart Cooking possible sequel to Smart Baseball?
Keith Law
1:41
I think that's basically The Food Lab.
Mike
1:41
Going back to last season, Austin Meadows is hitting about .200 in 60 or so games at AAA. Any concern?
Keith Law
1:43
Zero concern. He's really young for the level and didn't have a ton of experience before reaching AAA. Also, 60 games isn't much of a sample anyway.
Samuel
1:44
Which braves pitching prospect has the best chance to be a true number one?
Keith Law
1:44
Probably getting ahead of myself but I wonder if Ian Anderson will be that guy.
Tomas
1:44
Loved The Fifth Season - thanks for the recommendation. Just bought the sequel - have you read it?
Keith Law
1:44
Not yet. Will probably pick it up this summer.
Bob
1:44
Did you by chance, read the latest SI cover story on Hunter Greene by Lee Jenkins? Nice young man - good for him. Doing more OFF the field than on it.
Keith Law
1:45
I thought the piece was ... um ... excessively favorable to its subject.
Tom
1:45
I know I can't trust the Vegas numbers, but are Rosario and Smith ready? Mets need an infusion of offensive talent immediately.
Keith Law
1:46
Your instincts on the numbers are right, but I think there's a good case to be made that even a not-ready Rosario is better than the Mets' current 3b or SS options.
Wave Riders
1:46
Kyle Freeland's command is an obvious issue, but do you feel he has the stuff to stay up? Is he even ready to stay up for the whole season?
Keith Law
1:46
Stuff yes, but hasn't really had any durability - he had medical questions in the draft, keeps getting hurt in pro ball.
John
1:47
Tyler Mahle has some pretty impressive numbers in AA this year and some reports have had him touching 99. What kind of upside is there?
Keith Law
1:47
I don't buy him touching 99 but he just missed my top 100 and I think he's a definite starter, maybe a solid 3. When I asked around about him last winter I got a lot of teams saying he was a reliever, but I disagree with that.
Jimmy
1:47
Without specific numbers is the book selling better or worse then you thought it would. Great read by the way!
Keith Law
1:48
HarperCollins says better. I have no real means for comparison - I didn't have any idea how many copies it would sell.
Josh Nelson
1:48
I noticed you don't have Jordon Adell in your Top 50 Draft prospects. Any reason why?
Keith Law
1:49
Because he was struggling horribly to make any contact earlier in the season, and was throwing like he was hurt - one scout said "he has a 30 arm right now." I did hear just yesterday that he's been hitting better, and teams are rushing back in to get new looks, but there were always hit tool questions with him and I don't think a couple of good weeks would erase that.
Rob from Beloit
1:50
Are we impressed with Jake Gatewood yet? When can I be impressed?
Keith Law
1:50
You can be impressed.
RSO
1:50
Why did most scouts not have an 80 grade on Aaron Judge's power tool when he was a prospect?
Keith Law
1:51
You've talked to all scouts so you can say most didn't have that? Wow. Even I haven't talked to that many.
Trav
1:51
Quick appeal to your readers for last second calls to reps offices. Even if this comically villainous bill passes, they need to hear it from their constituents.
Keith Law
1:51
Agreed. Also, bear in mind the GOP wanted the vote today before any Reps go home tomorrow and face the angry public.
Joe
1:51
Keith, do you see Kevin Smith and Marty Costes of Maryland being drafted somewhere in the first few rounds this year?
Keith Law
1:51
Neither will be on my top 100. They could be drafted there, but I would bet against it.
Oilver
1:52
What do yo make of Jordan Montgomery? Seems like you have been down on him in the past .
Keith Law
1:53
Down compared to what you wanted me to say? I never really understand that sort of comment. He's working with pretty ordinary stuff and his fastball gets hit. I don't think he's going to be a long-term starter.
Brett
1:53
Can Brandon Woodruff becoming a legit MLB starter?
Keith Law
1:53
Yes, I think this year.
Tracy
1:53
Keith, I enjoyed your book and it certainly enlightened me on the way to look at the game beyond simple (and outdated) metrics. It also opened my eyes to the sweeping mobilization organizations took to grasp and parse this advanced data while the social arena has been very slow to adapt and, in many corners, stubbornly cling to such outlandish horse-and-buggy rhetoric (The Will to Win!). Unfortunately, I think the only way we ever get up to speed is to let the old guard fade away. It reminds me of Max Planck’s claim that might be fitting here: “Science advances one funeral at a time.”
Keith Law
1:53
Planck's quote is particularly apposite to Hall of Fame voting.
Henry
1:53
Devers is tearing it up. What kind of numbers do you expect from him in the majors?
Keith Law
1:54
Across the board production - high average, OBP, slugging, 25-30 homer type with everything else. I've had him top 10 in baseball two winters running.
Charles
1:54
Rhys Hoskins keeps hitting after Reading....is it real?
Keith Law
1:55
Yeah. I'm buying it. I wrote about him when he was in low-A that he reminded me of Goldschmidt (I think I said he might be "Goldschmidt Lite") and I'd probably stick to that now. Nothing super flashy, but quiet approach, good eye, more power than you'd think because the swing works really well. But to be completely candid I was concerned the Reading line was a little inflated too. (At least he hit on the road last year, unlike Cozens.)
Chandler
1:55
How much longer until Luis Urias gets on a top 100 list? The youngest player in the Texas League and a .347/439/.551 slash line isn't enough?
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