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Klawchat 5/9/19
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Keith Law
1:35
Gorman's power was bigger, and he had hit better the previous summer and fall than Hinds did.
Eric
1:35
You subpoenaed me to be here, but I'm just not gonna show up, cause, laws are fake, apparently.
Keith Law
1:35
Yep. And an entire party has decided it doesn't care about laws as long as they can retain power.
Michael
1:36
With SSS, it's amazing how batting averages and ERA's can change so quickly.  Fiers ERA went down by 1.4 in his no hitter. At what point in the season do stats not fluctuate so much off of one start or one week?
Keith Law
1:37
It's gradual, but that is one reason I've always said Memorial Day is a good time to start looking at current-season stats in the majors - by then, we can still be in SSS territory, but the daily fluctuations are smaller.
Chris
1:37
Cal Quantrill was throwing hard Tuesday but control seemed iffy. Do you see him as a rotation piece long-term?
Keith Law
1:37
More interesting as a rotation piece now that he's 92-96 again. Didn't think he could start when he was 90-92 like he was last year. Still some concerns - it's not a high quality FB, breaking ball isn't great - but now he has a chance.
Joe
1:38
Sorry if I missed it, but did you do a write up on Deivi Garcia?
Keith Law
1:38
No, that's in my back pocket till I see some more minor league games. I don't usually wait this long but I try to avoid blog posts that are too short because of the subscription format.
Eric
1:38
Do you understand what Jeter et. al are doing with the Marlins, or are they just destined to last place for the rest of time?
Keith Law
1:38
I do understand it, I just don't entirely agree with it.
Tim
1:39
Why was Kyle Hendricks overlooked as a prospect? Purely the radar gun?
Keith Law
1:39
That's a major reason, but it's not like he had some knockout breaking ball too. He's an extreme outlier. That's very fun, but if you figure out a way to identify the next Hendricks among all the minor leaguers throwing in the upper 80s with good control and no plus curveball or slider, please let me know, because I'm not that good.
Chris
1:40
I'm sure you've answered this before, but do you have a Top 5 for baseball movies? I just saw Major League for the first time and it was...fine? Not even sure it'd be in my Top 5, even though I know so many people love it. Just wondering what yours is!
Keith Law
1:42
And it's aged very poorly. Jake flat-out stalks Lynn, and it's supposed to be romantic. Sugar is my go-to rec, since so few people have seen it. Pelotero if you'd consider a documentary. I think Eight Men Out is solid. I enjoy Field of Dreams but it's not much of a baseball movie, and neither is Bull Durham. Most baseball movies get the baseball very wrong, and/or rely on baseball to paper over bad plots.
randplaty
1:42
Is Paddack really a #1 or #2 starter? Or is he pitching over his head?
Keith Law
1:42
At least a #2.
Matt W
1:42
Any recommendations for a good vacation read? Something with a fairly engrossing plot rather than something meandering.
Keith Law
1:42
Eh, depends on your tastes, but one of my absolute favorite recent novels is Anthony Doerr's All The Light We Cannot See.
Texas Bill
1:43
Is there definitive proof that MLB is using a "juiced" ball?
Keith Law
1:43
There is proof that changes to the physical characteristics to the baseball have contributed to the rise in home runs, yes. Dr. Meredith Wills has also argued it has contributed to the rise in blisters among pitchers.
Steve
1:44
What would you do if you are the Mets with Dom Smith?  Have him get everyday ABs in AAA and work out a trade?  What do you think they can get for him?
Keith Law
1:44
I would think you could get a similar player - a young, ready, potential at another position or a back-end starter. I don't think sending him to triple-A helps his trade value, though.
Erin
1:44
Besides McKenzie Gore, which Padres minor leaguer are you most excited about?
Keith Law
1:45
Do I have to choose just one? OK, Luis Patino. Or maybe Tirso Ornelas. Xavier Edwards is really intriguing though.
MikeM
1:45
Deivi Garcia went  5 IP, 5 H, 0 R, 3 BB, 5 K last night.  The strikeouts are there but he seems to have some control issues.  I know you saw him in his first AA start this year.  Do you think he has the athleticism to gain control or will he always be wild?  What is a realistic outcome for him?  There is ace upside there with the pure stuff but you can say that about a lot of guys.
Keith Law
1:45
Definitely not ace upside there - I like Deivi but that is not ace stuff or size. I also don't think he'll always be wild; he wasn't wild last year, certainly.
Jeff
1:45
What type talents are Quin Cotton & Braden Shewmake? Rounds 3-5?
Keith Law
1:45
Shewmake more comp/second. Cotton you are spot on.
Minong
1:46
I really enjoyed Neil Gaiman's American Gods, do you read his stuff?
Keith Law
1:46
I just finished Good Omens yesterday. American Gods is the best of his novels I've read.
Noel
1:46
Miguel Amaya has had an interesting year, with a 17% walk rate but a .226 BABIP. Has his early season results changed his future outlook at all?
Keith Law
1:46
SSS.
Andy
1:46
Rutschman is a switch hitting college catcher,  who can field, with power. I've never seen him, but this screams Wieters, even without the Orioles conncetion.
Keith Law
1:47
He's a much better receiver today than Wieters was, and we have better data to back that up.
Jeff
1:47
Will Brett Baty go out as a 3B? Do you think he stays there long term?
Keith Law
1:47
Yes. Probably not?
Fishing with E
1:47
I think there were 2 first rounders that didn't sign last year.  Do you expect that again this year?
Keith Law
1:48
That was a huge surprise to me, although those two players had several things in common that may have contributed to them not signing. I do not expect a repeat of that.
As in, I don't think those factors are going to become more common, and teams may shy away from certain HS players to avoid that situation.
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