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Klawchat 6/1/23
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Keith Law
1:17
No reason at all. Would be good for him too.
Kevin W
1:17
when should the reds trio be called up? Ces, Abbott, and dlc.
Keith Law
1:18
Abbott should be up already. I don't think there's a rush with Elly - his approach is still a work in progress - and I think Encarnacion-Strand is going to struggle big-time with big league breaking stuff.
Dave
1:18
How much should I believe in Ronny Mauricio's breakout?
Keith Law
1:19
This may sound paradoxical, but I'm more inclined to believe in it because it's not driven by a big bump in BB rate. Walks are way up in AAA because of the use of the automated system - last I looked it was 15% in the IL, 20% in the PCL, although that's from at least two weeks back. Mauricio's just making better contact. He might still come up and walk once a month, which isn't great, but this looks way more like the Alfonso Soriano comp I put on him last year.
Max
1:21
Happy Birthday! Any thoughts on the Astros first base options?
Keith Law
1:22
They're not going to bench Abreu, so I'm not sure what options they have. I hated that contract, and it's biting them sooner than I expected.
Jobu
1:22
Happy Birthday! Friend is turning 50 later this month & was looking to gift him a really nice bottle of rum. He loves Ron Zacapa was wondering if you've had the Negra or XO? Or another comparable brand?
Keith Law
1:24
Ron Diplomatico Ambassador is probably the best rum I've ever had. Zacapa XO is excellent.  If you want something a little more affordable in that quality range, try Ron Zaya Gran Reserva.
Jason
1:24
From before this industry was your work, what is one of your greatest baseball memories?
Keith Law
1:24
I was at Jim Abbott's no-hitter. Nothing will top that.
Zac
1:24
Is Colt Keith start to the season legit? Can he become a top 20 prospect before the end of the year?
Keith Law
1:24
He's a legit hitter, not a top 20 prospect - that's an extremely high bar.
Isaac
1:24
Has your view of Jonathan Clase changed? We could you see him ranking by mid season? Thanks Keith, love the chats!!! Happy birthday 🎂 🥳
Keith Law
1:25
Clase was my sleeper pick for the Mariners going into 2022, and he broke out halfway (to quote my own capsule from February), so my view on him has held steady. He's legit. Probably a top 100 guy at this point.
Drew
1:25
Ceiling on Evan Carter?  Happy Birthday
Keith Law
1:25
Above-average regular in CF.
Josh
1:26
Hey Keith, what is wrong with Jordan Lawlar... should we be concerned? Also, is Brandon Pfaadt overrated or just needs to fine tune some things? his stuff looks pedestrian...
Keith Law
1:27
Lawlar's 20 in AA. If he were destroying high A right now, which would be appropriate for his age, I don't think there'd be any concerns. As for Pfaadt, I think he's overusing the four-seamer right now. Stuff is far from "pedestrian," though.
Guest
1:27
Happy Birthday!
Keith Law
1:27
thank you!
Deke
1:27
What's your opinion on those "mental therapy by text" outlets? I think I could use a therapist in some form, but with the kids home for the summer and my spouse working banker's house, finding time is real rough. Just don't want to throw money after a joke of a service.
Keith Law
1:28
I had no trouble finding a real, PhD/PsyD-level therapist around here who'd do virtual meetings. That's your best option.
Ken
1:28
Should we worry about grayson Rodriguez? I want to think a minor tinker is all that's needed, he seemed like a sure bet to be a 1/2 in a mlb rotation
Keith Law
1:29
Yeah, he was never a sure bet for that. He's had issues with the quality of his breaking stuff forever. I still think he's going to be a mainstay in a rotation for a long time, but he's a good example of how scouting the stat line can lead you to the wrong conclusions - what works in the minors doesn't necessarily work in the majors. His slider especially backed up at the end of last year and it wasn't more than a fringy pitch to begin with. The FB-CH is good enough for him to be a mid-rotation guy but he'll need more to be a 2.
Darin
1:29
Could Spencer Horwitz help the Blue Jays in a reserve role? They need hitting and he seems to be the best of what they've got on the farm at the moment.
Keith Law
1:29
No. There's really no place for a guy like him in the majors right now.
1:30
Although when you're still wasting a roster spot on Cavan Biggio...
Ken
1:30
Would you consider Jackson Holliday the top prospect by the end of the season? Could he be right now??
Keith Law
1:30
I think he's top 5 in baseball right now.
Matt W
1:30
Is there any possible justification to the Reds keeping Elly and CES in the minors while they have a 3rd catcher, Newman, Myers, and Benson wasting active roster spaces?
Keith Law
1:30
See above.
1:31
You don't want to bring those guys up to struggle, or harm their development in any way.
Guest
1:31
Who has more upside Bryce or Mason Miller?
Keith Law
1:31
Bryce. Mason has no history of staying healthy and doesn't have Bryce's full arsenal.
Bob Pollard
1:31
What position do you think Elly de la Cruz ends up playing when he's called up this year and beyond?
Keith Law
1:32
I have a hard time seeing him staying at SS long term but it's not out of the question, and I think he could probably play literally any other position except catcher. He might be a 70 defender in center if they try that, and his arm would make him a natural at third. But I'd leave him at short for now until he proves he can't stay there.
aholla
1:32
If Stephen Strasburg was coming out of San Diego State this year, would he be a unanimous lock to go No. 1 overall or would there be some arguing for a hitter given rising concerns about pitcher durability?
Keith Law
1:32
Paul Skenes is, in effect, Stephen Strasburg in this draft. And Skenes isn't a lock to go 1.
Marc
1:32
Keith, are you a believer in Mitch Keller? Happy birthday
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