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Klawchat, 6/13/17.
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Keith Law
2:39
Also, keep this in mind. If a player I ranked high doesn't get drafted till way later, there are three likely explanations - the three M's: Money, Medicals, or Me. He wanted too much money; there's a bad medical report that steered teams away; or I screwed up the evaluation.
Jeries
2:39
If Hunter Greene insisted on playing the field full time and never pitching, where would he be drafted?
Keith Law
2:39
Late first round. Or maybe still top ten because some team would believe they could convince him to pitch eventually.
Joe-Nathan
2:39
Gigliotti just went to KC in the 4th, why so late? Rough start to the season but finished very well, solid obp and should be a CF.
Keith Law
2:39
Really never played that well and a slew of his hits this year were bunt singles, which doesn't give you a ton of confidence in the stat line.
Marshall MN
2:40
In regard to Lewis' skill set, how do they compare to Buxton's coming out of HS? If Buxton had 80 speed and defensive potential, how would Lewis rate?
Keith Law
2:40
Buxton was way more tooled up, but Lewis probably has a better hit tool today than Buxton did at 19.
Kretin
2:40
Any insight into what is going on with Griffin Canning? Good pick by the Angels?
Keith Law
2:40
MLB reported the other day and I mentioned in my writeup this morning that teams didn't like something on his MRI.
Alex
2:40
Do you think McKay will pitch at all this year, or exclusively hit?
Keith Law
2:41
No chance he pitches. He's at 104 innings and Louisville is going to Omaha.
Paul
2:41
Is Drew Waters an over-slot guy? Seems like he was picked about where he was ranked, and I assume Wright will get full slot. Braves' 3rd and 4th rounders both seemed somewhat off the board (not to say they aren't good, just that I haven't heard of them), so wondering if there is any room down the board to go over-slot. Thinking it would come down to what Waters gets.
Keith Law
2:41
I bet he's an over slot guy.
Leo
2:41
Giants just selected Garret Cave. Do you think he can remain a starter or is he destined for the bullpen?
Keith Law
2:42
I would start him. He seemed totally undeveloped - not bad, not violent, just like someone who'd never been taught a proper delivery.
Jeries
2:42
What successful big leaguer were you most skeptical about turning raw power into actual game power as a prospect?
Keith Law
2:42
AJ Pollock had very little power as an amateur and ended up with quite a bit in the majors.
Robert
2:42
What percentage of time do teams not select the BPA from their draft board due to signability or bonus pool considerations?
Keith Law
2:43
I don't know what percentage of the time that would be. Teams sometimes do that because they took BPA with an earlier pick - we went over at pick one, so we have to shave money at picks four and five. The Pirates seem to be doing that today.
Guest
2:43
Injuries occuring after the draft aside, which Mets pick do you like better as a college prospect - Peterson or Kay last yr? Are they roughly the same sort of prospect (safe, mid-rotation lefty) or is one significantly ahead of the other?
Keith Law
2:43
Peterson more than Kay. Kay was stronger but Peterson has better results and better sink.
Tallulah
2:43
Saw the Dodgers just nabbed Marinan in the 4th (your #56). Are you just higher on him or did he slip due to bonus demands?
Keith Law
2:44
He came on kind of late this spring and I think some teams had 'finished' with him early. He also wasn't very consistent.
Liam
2:44
Non-draft question: I can't access your Top 100 prospects list from '09, '10, '11. Were they taken down or is there still a way to access them?
Keith Law
2:44
The site redesign swallowed a bunch of old content,
Ryan
2:44
At what point do you stop researching potential picks? Do you stop at around the top 200, or are you able to give at least a quick nugget of information on most power conference players?
Keith Law
2:45
I'll stop after the fifth round - if a kid drafted after that wasn't already on my radar, he might still be a prospect, but the odds of him becoming a big leaguer are pretty low.
banksy_
2:45
Would you draft a kid from Alaska?
Keith Law
2:45
Yes. Talent comes from everywhere. There's an Alaskan kid in this class who should be drafted today.
Greg
2:45
Hi Keith! Thoughts on Kevin Smith (the baseball player)? Did decently well on the Cape last year, but overall college numbers are rather underwhelming.
Keith Law
2:46
Thought he was a 4th/5th round guy, probably utility player, just did not perform this spring in a bad conference.
Jeb
2:46
Is Garrett Mitchell also going to school?
Keith Law
2:46
I think so. He's also a type 1 diabetic and I believe some teams were worried about that. There are very few everyday players today or in the past who were type 1 diabetics.
Drew
2:46
What do you think was the cause of Sam Carlson dropping? It seemed likely to me that he was a Twins target since they may have gone underslot and he was thought of pretty highly by a lot of evaluators. Was he overhyped or is this just a "diff'rent strokes for diff'rent folks" thing?
Keith Law
2:47
People assumed he was a Twins target because he's local. That's almost never true in practice. We saw a bunch of good HS arms drafted later than folks like me or Mayo had them ranked because that's how the bonus pools work.
Rod
2:47
Any issues with Kyle Wright's mechanics? Some Braves fans are hating the pick because of the Inverted W
Keith Law
2:47
The Inverted W is Utter Nonsense.
Charlie
2:47
Has anyone been drafted yet where your reaction was "who?". No shame in it just curious, as someone who hasn't know a pick since the 2nd round or so
Keith Law
2:48
Yes, the JC kid the Astros took in the 4th, Tyler Ivey. Had nothing on him. (I do now, of course.)
Dave
2:48
My brother is anti-vaccination. What can I tell him to get him on the correct side of the issue?
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