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Klawchat 6/14/18
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Keith Law
1:59
You lose much more moving Anderson than you do moving Moncada, IMO.
John
1:59
Verducci had a recent article, advocating for (i) lowering the mound, (ii) limit the roster to 12 pitchers, or (iii) implementing a pitch clock.  Any reaction to those proposals?
Keith Law
1:59
You lower the mound if you really want to get more pitchers hurt.
Kenny
1:59
If a 1st day guys were not going to sign, who is the most likely?
Keith Law
2:00
They will also sign unless someone flunks a physical (or the team discovers old tweets threatening to kill the President).
Michael
2:00
You had Kyler Murray ranked in the 30s pre-draft, but didn't seem to have a problem with the A's drafting him with the 9th pick. Was your ranking affected by signability issues, the fact that he's a high risk/reward prospect, or something else?
Keith Law
2:00
He had ~100 AB total in between high school and this spring. He is very high risk, and high reward.
And he wasn't close to the lowest-ranked player taken in the first round, either.
Trevor
2:00
Where is Kevin Maitan?
Keith Law
2:01
Still in extended spring training.
Seth
2:01
It’s been widely reported the Giants held a private workout for Bart in San Francisco.  Is that typical for guys at the top of the draft to have private workouts?
Keith Law
2:01
Yes.
CD
2:01
Two part questions - just based on talent, forget football, do you like the Murray pick for Oakland? Also, just your gut feeling, will the pick end up being "successful" for the team and the player?
Keith Law
2:02
If I said he has, say, a 30% chance of being a successful big leaguer, I'd raise that to 40% if he'd just play this summer and fall instead of going to get his head bashed in playing CTE-ball.
Joe
2:02
Fair to see Witt as similar to Daz Cameron from a few years ago?  I.e. a good player who gets a bit overhyped given his bloodline and the fact that his class hasn't been heavily scouted.
Keith Law
2:02
Yes. That could change as we all turn our lonely eyes to the 2019 class.
Sean
2:02
Approximately what % of the time are you away from home during the season? Do you find this hard on your family? Asking as someone contemplating taking a job that includes a lot of travel.
Keith Law
2:03
I range between 50 and 70 hotel nights per year, concentrated in between Valentine's Day and Memorial Day. The rest of the summer I do a lot of minor league work from the house - there are seven or eight teams I can round-trip in two hours each way or less.
Michael
2:03
For people interested in a career in baseball, do scouts and front office people ever see their families? It looks like most of them are married and have kids, but it's gotta be tough.
Keith Law
2:03
Yes, it's very hard on families. I travel less than most scouts & GMs do, and I know it still upsets my daughter when I have long trips.
Chris
2:04
Lamonte Wade tore up AA and just got promoted.   Major league regular for you?
Keith Law
2:04
Extra OF for me.
Jesse B
2:04
Kevin Smith came out of nowhere. Is he legit? Possibly the BlueJays SS of the future?
Keith Law
2:04
Not a SS. And he was a college guy in low-A until June - you can throw out what he did for Lansing.
Keith Law Disciple
2:05
I just wanted to say I love you!  Please keep doing what you're doing.
Keith Law
2:05
Thanks, but really, I don't think I could do anything else at this point.
Jake
2:06
So, were you of the same frame of mind when President Obama enabled the Iranian authoritarian regime? Going so far as to allegedly help them launder money to get around international sanctions?
Keith Law
2:06
but what about but what about but what about but what about but what about but what about but what about but what about but what about but what about but what about but what about but what about but what about but what about but what about but what about
2:07
(Also, that story is straight from the GOP.)
Harrisburg Hal
2:07
Do you cook, go out or have something prepared for you for Fathers Day?
Keith Law
2:08
I'll cook. I've been eating out a lot lately, and have a vacation coming up, so it'll be nice to cook & have a nice dinner at home.
Jeremy
2:08
Do you think the Mariners can keep up with the Astros throughout the long season? Hard to believe the Astros have over a +100 run diff on the M's and have the same record.
Keith Law
2:08
I do not. Mariners might win the WC, but the Astros will win the division.
Jamie
2:08
No snark, can you explain how 50 games is small sample size for performance, but 1-2 games isn't SSS for scouting?
Keith Law
2:09
Because scouting isn't that kind of data. You don't have the same kind of randomness - a pitcher who averages 94 isn't going to throw 88 one game and 100 the next. A hitter's swing isn't going to vary wildly game to game. A player who's an 80 runner isn't going to run average on a Tuesday night.
2:10
Skills shouldn't vary much at all. Performance is the result of the repeated application of skills against the skills of other players. Performance will vary.
Sean
2:10
Have you seen Frederick Keys outfielder Ryan McKenna this year?  Reports are that he made some mechanical adjustments halfway through 2017, and he's looked great this year.
Keith Law
2:10
I saw him for 2 AB on Sunday before the rainout. I liked what I saw, but would like to see more ... the swing is good as is the body.
Chris
2:11
Re: the Harper comments. I'm not a Harper hater in the least. It appears he works hard, plays hard, etc. I do however think he is a tad overrated and there are probably 10-12 guys I would draft right now over him. Is that a more realistic and reasonable viewpoint than "he sucks, he's a loser."
Keith Law
2:12
I wouldn't agree with you on that, but it is a reasonable, measured position that avoids insulting the player or making unfalsifiable claims.
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