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Klawchat 6/25/20
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Dave
1:36
Do you expect to see Gore and Pearson on OD rosters?
Keith Law
1:36
No but I think both will appear.
Greg
1:37
So... My wife and I are lucky enough to be comfortably middle class. I lost my job, but we're getting by, and actually donating more money and tipping service people more than usual, given the circumstance. This isn't any sort of brag, but just saying WTF BASEBALL OWNERS!? The terrible bar by my house has figured out how to stay open and safe and keep people employed. Are we to believe baseball ownership runs on such paper-thin margins as the third-best falafel restaurant in town?
Keith Law
1:37
That's what they want us to believe, but they have lied about their profits for at least forty years now, so why should we accept their statements now when they won't open their books to anyone?
Andrew Brotherton
1:37
What do you think will be done about the minor league season? Some sort of super AZFL? An instructional league? A taxi-squad league?
Keith Law
1:38
The most likely answer is none. I don't expect any minor league game action this year.
Ben
1:38
The A's acknowledged that Jeff Criswell's delivery needs to be cleaned up in order for him to project as a starter. Do you agree with that assessment and are you optimistic that Oakland can do that given their player/pitcher development history?
Keith Law
1:38
I do agree. I don't think it's that easy to do.
Tom
1:38
Growing up in the 80s and 90s, I used to really believe that it didn't matter who the president was. But now... not being hyperbolic: Has there been an American president, even fiction, who's done more tangible harm to a greater number of people, not just in the US but around the world?
Keith Law
1:38
Not in my lifetime.
Buzz Windrip is close, though.
Rick
1:39
A co-worker I'm around a lot tested positive for COVID-19, so now I'm on day 2 of my 14 day quarantine.  I'm participating in your chat to help me get through my boredom.  Can I get a shout out for being a good person and not going out and putting others at risk?
Keith Law
1:39
Indeed. Sorry for the tough break, though.
Tommy
1:39
Again, not questioning, just genuinely curious, but there's nothing about masks and building immunity against the virus?
Keith Law
1:39
No. People pushing 'immunity' as a counterargument to masks are doing so without facts to back them up - we still don't know what kind of immunity people who are infected have against future reinfection.
1:40
There's an assumption - because science education in the US largely sucks - that if you get a virus once, you can't get it a second time. That's obviously not true with the common cold or the flu, but for whatever reason there are who people who assume this is true of COVID-19, and we do not know that.
Rob
1:41
Finally saw Knives Out now that it is streaming free.  As someone who has tried and failed to read it twice, the Gravity's Rainbow joke had me rolling. Any advice for getting through books that are particularly tough reads?
Keith Law
1:41
I try to set reasonable per-day reading goals (e.g., 40 pages), and go into it knowing it'll take me, say, three weeks to finish the book. That makes it more mentally manageable, and I don't end up procrastinating.
1:42
That said, Gravity's Rainbow is not worth your time.
Dave C
1:44
Do u think teams will run milb camps out of their Dominican camps and/or minor league affiliates?
Keith Law
1:44
No. There are multiple reasons why not.
Matt
1:45
I'm a 44 year old white guy. Yesterday I got pulled over for a broken taillight. Cop frisked me, asked if I had drugs and demanded he search my car. I refused and he called K9. K9 sniffed my car for 5 minutes and both let me go. I'm a stereotypical white dude with a pickup truck. I can't even imagine what might have happened if I was a POC. Cops have way too much power. Something needs to be done.
Keith Law
1:45
We need a paradigm shift. I don't like the phrase "defund the police" because I don't think that's the solution. Demilitarize the police. Shift to community policing models. Change hiring practices. But you're never getting a majority of people to buy into a model with no police.
Jon
1:46
I read that Ed Howard was a possible Top 5 pick but for the HS season being entirely halted and therefore nobody seeing him play this year and a result was a lot of college prospects instead. Any truth to that or just Cubs homer-talk? What's his ceiling?
Keith Law
1:46
Extreme homer talk. Arrant nonsense.
Alex
1:46
I can't believe there haven't been any Braves prospect questions so... has the ship sailed on Touki Toussaint and Bryse Wilson as starters? The 60-game season makes it hard to work in these kind of bubble players. Are they change of scenery guys?
Keith Law
1:46
Jeez, why are you giving up on them so quickly?
Doug
1:46
Would you rather have Hassell/Wilcox or Veen and an underslot 3rd rounder?
Keith Law
1:46
Hassell/Wilcox.
Brian
1:47
Quick math for the herd immunity crowd. The CDC estimates 70% of the population would need to have recovered from COVID-19 to get us there (assuming you're permanently immune). That equates to roughly 200 million US citizens. At a death rate of .4% (which seems to be the bare minimum), you'd need to be okay with 800,000 deaths.
Keith Law
1:47
Well, there's a pretty significant portion of the GOP that is okay with that.
Doug
1:47
Is WAR going to be adjusted based on the short season? Wouldn’t homers and strikeouts this year be worth 3 times more than a previous year?
Keith Law
1:48
No. You'll just see WAR leaders of about 3-4 this year.
Dave C
1:48
any Idea how service time will work for shuttle team? Actually days on active roster?
Keith Law
1:48
I believe that's correct.
Mattey
1:48
How do you think Utley will fare on first Hall of Fame ballot?
Keith Law
1:48
I'm just hopeful he'll get the 5% to stay on it.
Guest
1:48
I just wanted to let you know that I really enjoy your work and for your reasoned opinions on a host of issues in addition to baseball. I don't always agree with you, but I respect that your opinions are based on reason and conviction. Keep up the good work!
Keith Law
1:49
Thank you. I appreciate that.
Nick
1:49
I don't read as much as I'd prefer, and when I do I have a bad habit of choosing dense literary masterpieces. They're great, but very time consuming. Any advice on authors/genres that are better to build a constructive habit?
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