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Klawchat 6/4/18
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Keith Law
1:13
I think Mize could, in relief. A few college relievers probably could too, guys like Mulholland way down my 100. Singer maybe as a right-handed specialist.
Frigga
1:13
i know teams typically draft BPA. However do they break the BPA down by position? Or is BPA just the player that will provide the most value either on the field or via trade?
Keith Law
1:13
Up top it's BPA. Maybe in the fifth or sixth round that starts to break down and teams would split their pref lists by position.
Tim Ackins
1:14
Re: Heimlich. He fulfilled his legal obligations based on the sentence he accepted. Is it ethical to insist on placing further punishment on him that the state did not seek in their plea? Or am I too concerned about the difficulties faced by ex-convicts once they serve their punishments?
Keith Law
1:15
No one is insisting on further punishment, at least not around here. You can't jail him now after the justice system has finished with him. I object to him gaining the privilege of playing professional baseball, on the basis of what he has admitted to doing, and how he put many scouts' and baseball execs' livelihoods at risk by failing to disclose the guilty plea last spring until he was outed.
Andrew
1:15
I keep reading reports that the Tigers are undecided on who they're taking. Is that likely a bluff? I remember your review of Trouble with the Curve (shout out for convincing me to not watch it), where you eluded that teams usually know reasonably before the draft who they want.
Keith Law
1:15
Right, I think they already know.
someguynamedkenny
1:15
What are the odds Alec Bohm ends up being able to stick at a position other than first base long term?
Keith Law
1:16
Maybe 35%. I think he's a better athlete than people realize from his body, but he's a big boy for 3b.
JP
1:16
Not draft related, but what do you think about the Yankees potentially boycotting ESPN interviews because of a scheduling dispute?
Keith Law
1:16
I've never heard about this but I also don't really do those interviews.
Chris
1:16
Call me crazy but I think Tigers would be dumb to take Mize. This is based on unpredictability and higher likelihood of arm injuries for any and all starting pitchers.
Keith Law
1:16
OK. You're crazy. Any selection depends entirely on who else is available; if Mize, discounted appropriately for the risk of any pitcher, is still the best value available, as i believe he is, then you take him.
Jay
1:16
If Bohm and India are sitting at 6, which way do the Mets go?
Keith Law
1:17
I think India. But I also have them taking someone else over those guys.
Matt
1:18
Have you ever considered actually going to Secaucus or been there, if so, could we get a rundown on the fine dining establishments there?
Keith Law
1:18
I went to the draft two years ago. MLB & MLBN people were all wonderful to deal with, but there wasn't any real advantage to me in being on site.
Robbie
1:18
At what point can I start to to be encouraged by the angels' drafting capability? Do I have to wait until there is Major league success or should I at least look at the prospects they drafted last year and be excited they have added or kept their value?
Keith Law
1:18
oh, you can now, for sure. Much improved the last two draft classes.
Tortoise Joe
1:19
You mention Adams to the Rangers -- there is a line of thought among some Ranger fans that drafting toolsy high ceiling athletes hasn't worked for Texas, and so they need to start going a different direction.  Is that a reasonable critique?
Keith Law
1:19
Adams is toolsy and high ceiling, but he has also shown some feel to hit already. He's way better than Eric Jenkins.
Brian
1:19
How similar is Matt Liberatore to Mackenzie Gore? Are they similar type of lefties regarding stuff and potential or only similar in that they are left handed?
Keith Law
1:19
No, just that they're lefthanded.
Chris
1:19
Saw you retweeted Wursthall this morning. you planning on making it out to the Bay Area to scout anytime soon?
Keith Law
1:20
I'd love to eat there, but I didn't retweet anything from them. I was in SF in March but probably won't be back this year.
Aaron C.
1:20
Appreciate your candidness on the challenge of putting out mock drafts. Since you've been doing this, has a team ever made a first round pick of someone who wasn't anywhere on your radar?
Keith Law
1:22
Yes. Cubs with Hayden Simpson - not on my top 100, and someone had to remind me who that was when it happened, because the little I had on him was so bad that I had dismissed him from my mind. Same year, Yanks took Cito Culver, whom I knew but expected wouldn't go till the 4th round. Rangers took Kevin Matthews in 2011 at the end of the first or early comp and he was another guy who wouldn't have been on my top 200 if i'd gone that far. I had virtually nothing on him either; he was released after 2015 and walked almost a man an inning in the minors.
Neal Huntington
1:22
Who should I take if Liberatore, Winn Gorman and Kelenic are there?
Keith Law
1:23
They won't all be there. My Big Board (top 100) is updated; I would tell any GM who called to take the best guy. https://klaw.me/2s4CE10
Joe
1:23
Hearing any possible locations for Nick Decker?
Keith Law
1:23
No, but he might go later today in the second round.
Brian
1:23
How many players in this draft do you see as being top 100 prospects by years end?
Keith Law
1:24
I think the historical average (for my lists) is about 13-14 each January drawn from the most recent draft. It varies more by MLB graduations than by the draft classes themselves, I believe.
Chris
1:24
Drew Parrish coming back after a 2 hour delay and ALREADY throwing 108 pitches is scary. How do college managers live in such a bubble?
Keith Law
1:24
There are few if any consequences. Now, if a Florida State recruit withdrew his commitment today because he saw how Parrish was abused, that would get some coaches' attention.
Dave
1:24
Keith, lot of talk about the TCU coaching situation...Schlossnagle staying, pitching coach Saarloos may be leaving.  How does that impact Kloffenstein and what are the chances he goes pro?
Keith Law
1:25
I've heard he's a very tough sign. Shame if Saarloos is gone so soon - I thought he might be a good moderating influence on Schlossnagel, who has seen a lot of arms break down in his tenure there, and I think bears responsibility for at least two of them (Purke and Winkler).
EL
1:25
Can Bart play anywhere else but catcher (in case the Giants draft him)?
Keith Law
1:26
You don't take him if you're not going to catch him. Posey is 31 with over 800 games caught in the majors. His future at that position is limited now.
Chris
1:26
Is it just me, or is this draft weak compared to recent years, especially at the very top?
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