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Klawchat 6/5/18
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Dan
2:14
Did Blaine Knight slide to the O's at 87 because of sign-ability concerns?
Keith Law
2:14
No, he doesn't have a ton of leverage.
AGirlHasNoName
2:14
What is your opinion on the Cubs draft so far? Seem to be taking guys ahead of where you ranked them down the line.
Keith Law
2:15
Yeah, definitely surprised by several of these. Davis I liked, but a round after that, not a 7-figure guy.
Ben
2:15
Luis Robert assigned to Kannapolis, rather than W-S. Surprised at all?
Keith Law
2:15
I'm 90% certain that's where I predicted he'd be assigned back in March.
Newt
2:15
How much harder was it to complete the final mock with the knowledge that you housed a three-legged predator with murder in its heart?
Keith Law
2:15
I live with this fear all the time.
Mike
2:15
Thoughts on Yanks taking two catchers with top 2 picks despite a young established catcher in Sanchez
Keith Law
2:16
Well catching is hardly Sanchez's strong suit, and the two they took may both be better catchers in the end. Plus there is so much value in having good catching prospects.
HH
2:17
Cleveland has gone HS have the past two drafts, including multiple high picks of 17-year olds. Does that tell you anything about where they see their system, or am I overthinking this?
Keith Law
2:18
Tells me more that their draft model weighs age more heavily than other teams' do.
Mat Ji
2:18
What I have read on Triston Casas indicates that he has an OK approach and a fair amount of raw power but has some holes in his swing. Assuming this is true, is this typically a fairly correctable issue?
Keith Law
2:18
That's not what I've seen at all. I think he can really hit, but the power projects to maybe 60, not 70-80.
Brian
2:18
You had Carter Stewart #2 on your big board - given the high risk associated with prep pitchers is it safe to say that he is the most talented player in the class but was discounted to #2 because of the risk?
Keith Law
2:18
No, he was #2 because he was not as good as Mize.
Cooper
2:19
What do you think of the Royals grabbing 5 straight college pitchers with their 5 of top 58 picks... and Singer falling to them at 18?
Keith Law
2:19
Singer "falling" is relative; I don't think Singer was worth a top 15 pick. I thought they got a lot of probability with those arms, and given their trouble with prep arms taken with high picks recently, it may be a worthy correction to their strategy.
AJ
2:20
Jose Suarez has been promoted twice already with absolutely huge SO numbers (also big BB numbers).  Is he a legit frontline SP prospect?
Keith Law
2:20
I like him a lot - wrote him up in March - but he's not a frontline (1 or 2) guy.
Nick
2:20
What happened to Nander de Sedas? He was projected to be a top 15 pick preseason, but then I stopped hearing anything about him.
Keith Law
2:21
He had a terrible spring at the plate, and I had more than one scout say he looked disinterested. I guess he'll end up at FSU now.
Steve
2:21
Having been picked by the Rays, McClanahan seems like he's going to end up as Jake McGee 2.0.  Fair projection or can he make it as a starter?
Keith Law
2:21
I'd consider that an excellent outcome.
Brandon
2:21
Has there been anyone drafted that you just don't know yet? What round does that normally start?
Keith Law
2:22
Grove (Dodgers' last pick yesterday) was the first one.
Noah
2:22
It feels like in both the draft and in trades, the Phillies target safe but low upside players that project as back of the rotation players or utilitymen.  It seems to be that you'd be better off devoting high draft picks and trade returns on lottery tickets with higher ceilings and find depth players elsewhere.  Would love to hear your thoughts on this approach.
Keith Law
2:22
I don't think that's a fair assessment. Randolph was a high-ceiling bat who hasn't panned out yet. JoJo Romero was a big gamble that's paying off already.
Nick
2:23
Thoughts on Colton Eastman?
Keith Law
2:23
I like him, even though it's a tough profile. Hitters don't see the ball out of his hand at all.
Dr. Bob
2:23
Sometimes football and basketball players are better off not being drafted in a late round. Much less money and at the mercy of the team with no mobility. Is that true in baseball? Or is being drafted late still better than not being drafted at all?
Keith Law
2:23
In baseball, what matters most is what you're paid, not where you're taken.
ar
2:23
how much do you think about/are you concerned about recency bias and small sample size when looking at draft prospects? it makes sense that evaluations for growing kids be heavily weighted to recent events, but at the same time, the draft board has changed a ton since before the season.
Keith Law
2:26
Well, guys do get hurt, they change physically, they have to respond to the extra stresses of the draft season, and more than anything else we scout them more heavily. I saw a few 2019 guys over the course of this spring - Logan Davidson with Clemson comes to mind - but I didn't focus on him because I was watching other players and chatting with scouts & advisers too. The next time I see Davidson, I'll be bearing down on him.
Saman
2:26
Thoughts on the last two Dodgers' picks? (Michael Grove and John Rooney)
Keith Law
2:26
I'm not really clear where their money is going now, unless they're going way over on Ginn.
Zach
2:26
How much do you think Trackman stuff and makeup contribute to whether or not someone gets drafted? Ie how much stuff does the public not know about that influences where/when a player is drafted.
Keith Law
2:26
There are teams that weigh Trackman extremely heavily - Astros and Yankees for sure.
Sergio Q
2:27
Padres scouts mentioned that Weathers was hitting 94-95 in his final inning of his last start? Hype or real info?
Keith Law
2:27
He did that in a few starts - first outing back in March, at least his final two starts of the spring.
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