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Klawchat 6/9/17 (nice)
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Keith Law
1:18
They release a bunch of guys when extended spring ends, on top of releases at the end of March.
Ray Grace
1:18
I know it's a small sample size but where in the hell did Chris Taylor come from? Did his scouting report when drafted give any hit that he could turn into this type of hitter?
Keith Law
1:18
Small sample size. I don't think he's turned into anything.
PhillyJake
1:18
In your last mock you had the Pirates taking J.B. Bukauskas. I don't see it. They usually go for the six and a half foot (give or take an inch) pitchers, Bukauskas is only 6'0". What's different about this guy?
Keith Law
1:19
"I don't see it" doesn't work as an argument unless you've been talking to sources about the draft.
Mike M
1:19
Did you think Devers would be this good in AA right away?
Keith Law
1:30
I've ranked him very highly for two-plus years, putting him over Moncada both years they've been on the the top 100.
1:31
So, yes, I would say I expected him to be good fast. (Sorry for the lag there - my PC blue-screened.)
Jim
1:31
Do you think the Mets would take Jake Burger at 20? And do you think he's too fat for third?
Keith Law
1:31
I think he'd be on their list, but not necessarily their first choice, and he's not fat, but he's going to end up at 1b.
Sterling Mallory Chris Archer
1:31
Is there any way to see past newsletters? I wanted to read the anxiety one you wrote three weeks ago but for some reason I wasn't getting the emails.
Keith Law
1:32
yes, on the signup page you can see some past newsletter, including the one you want.
JP
1:32
Based solely on climate, culture, and politics, where would you choose to live (domestically and internationally)?
Keith Law
1:32
Italy. Good weather. Great people. Amazing food. Government too unstable and incompetent to do much harm.
Len
1:32
So let's assume the top 4 is Wright, Greene, Gore, McKay like most expect. Atlanta would take Lewis, right? I hope they don't get cute again and try to float someone when it would be really tough to do for them this year.
Keith Law
1:32
That is my current top 5. Beck 6, then I think Haseley or Smith 7.
Matt
1:32
From what you've heard, are Seth Romero's issues related more to immaturity or is he, for lack of a better phrase, a bad guy.
Keith Law
1:33
More than immaturity. Also, that's not a great delivery.
Brett
1:33
If someone asked you to do a commencement speech, would you? Are you afraid of public speaking, or has your time on TV mitigated that?
Keith Law
1:34
Done plenty of public speaking - including another one at Pitch Talks in Toronto on 6/26, tix still available! - and have never been "afraid" of it. I'll be more anxious right before I start, and then once it begins, I get extremely focused and will always lose track of time. I did this once in Boston to a CMU alumni group, thought I had talked for about 20 minutes, and was told over an hour had gone by.
Brad
1:34
Any chance of you coming to the Tattered Cover out here in Denver for a book signing? It was a great read, by the way - I gave it to my dad when he was recuperating from back surgery.
Keith Law
1:35
Glad you enjoyed it. All scheduled book signings have come from stores or venues contacting HarperCollins to invite me. If that happens, I can try to work it into my schedule (usually tied into a trip I'm taking for another reason). I'll be at Books & Books in Miami the day before the Futures Game, for example.
Marshall MN
1:35
Despite wanting Greene to the Twins, I have come to accept taking Wright #1 overall. What level do you seem him starting out at after signing, High-A ball?
Keith Law
1:36
I would expect him to start 2018 in high-A. He probably won't pitch much this summer.
Macabe
1:36
Where do you think Stanford SS Nico Hoerner gets drafted next year? Looks like he has had success but I don't really know what evaluators think of him at the next level
Keith Law
1:36
I can't think about next year's draft until I've survived this one.
Hey J.P.
1:36
Lamonte Wade, Brandon Lowe, or Mike Shawryn on your next top 100 list?
Keith Law
1:36
No.
Bret
1:36
How much does Nick Allen's height concern you? It may be recency bias, but my instinct is that worrying about a player's height tends to be a bit overblown?
Keith Law
1:37
It doesn't. Dude can hit and can play short. He's fine.
j
1:37
Thoughts on Jordan Montgomery? He's looked pretty solid here early on
Keith Law
1:37
It's extremely average stuff. I expect the K rate to decline with more looks. He'll have to cut the walk rate to compensate.
Phils Guy
1:38
When my twin sons were in middle school, I had to verbally twist my pediatrician's to get the Gardasil regimen started. Parents of boys, please insist that your pre-teen sons get vaccinated for HSV, It may not happen if you don't force the issue.
Keith Law
1:38
Our daughter's doctors - PCP and metabolic specialist - both encouraged us to get her the HPV vaccine when she turned 11 (which she *just* did so we haven't gone yet). It's really weird that they do so for girls but not boys.
Andy
1:38
It seems like Kendall has a really high ceiling, and a seemingly more possible floor of never making the majors. Does he have like a Cameron Maybin middle, ending up as a good fielder with huge Ks, but still a serviceable player?
Keith Law
1:39
That's a reasonable point of view.
cj
1:39
Can you tell me about Bubba Thomson? Is he a potential top 10 so a team can go overslot later?
Keith Law
1:39
Not a potential top 10. I have him ranked right around where I think he'll go (coincidence), in the 20s.
FG
1:39
how many of the top 50 draft prospects do you get to scout in person?
Keith Law
1:39
In a typical year, maybe 30-35. This year, half that, because my book came out during draft season.
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